Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 22–28 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.3–17.2% | 13.9–17.6% | 13.5–18.0% | 12.9–18.8% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.1–13.0% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.9–10.2% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 36 | 33–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 30–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–34 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–23 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 14 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 14 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 10–18 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 13 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 10–19 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–18 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 11 | 9–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 3% | 94% | |
| 33 | 6% | 91% | |
| 34 | 3% | 86% | |
| 35 | 15% | 82% | |
| 36 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 43% | |
| 38 | 14% | 27% | |
| 39 | 6% | 13% | |
| 40 | 2% | 7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 4% | 96% | |
| 26 | 3% | 92% | |
| 27 | 15% | 89% | |
| 28 | 29% | 75% | Median |
| 29 | 15% | 45% | |
| 30 | 17% | 30% | |
| 31 | 8% | 13% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 97% | |
| 17 | 11% | 94% | |
| 18 | 21% | 83% | |
| 19 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 20 | 20% | 34% | |
| 21 | 7% | 14% | |
| 22 | 4% | 7% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 16% | 94% | |
| 14 | 34% | 78% | Median |
| 15 | 12% | 45% | |
| 16 | 16% | 33% | |
| 17 | 8% | 17% | |
| 18 | 7% | 9% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98% | |
| 13 | 37% | 95% | Last Result |
| 14 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 15 | 25% | 46% | |
| 16 | 6% | 21% | |
| 17 | 11% | 14% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 97% | |
| 12 | 25% | 93% | |
| 13 | 28% | 68% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 40% | |
| 15 | 13% | 27% | |
| 16 | 6% | 14% | |
| 17 | 6% | 8% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 16% | 94% | |
| 12 | 11% | 78% | |
| 13 | 34% | 67% | Median |
| 14 | 16% | 33% | |
| 15 | 14% | 17% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0% | 91% | |
| 9 | 3% | 91% | |
| 10 | 32% | 88% | |
| 11 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 12 | 17% | 37% | |
| 13 | 14% | 20% | |
| 14 | 6% | 7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 9 | 5% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 78 | 81% | 73–81 | 72–83 | 72–84 | 69–86 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 78 | 81% | 73–81 | 72–83 | 72–84 | 69–86 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 78 | 81% | 73–81 | 72–83 | 72–84 | 69–86 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 65 | 0.1% | 60–68 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–71 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 43–54 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 43–54 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 43–54 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 42 | 0% | 39–44 | 38–45 | 36–46 | 35–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 42 | 0% | 39–44 | 38–45 | 36–46 | 35–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 42 | 0% | 39–44 | 38–45 | 36–46 | 35–49 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 30–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 28 | 0% | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–34 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 28 | 0% | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–34 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 88% | |
| 75 | 2% | 83% | |
| 76 | 14% | 81% | Majority |
| 77 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 78 | 6% | 53% | |
| 79 | 32% | 47% | |
| 80 | 2% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 88% | |
| 75 | 2% | 83% | |
| 76 | 14% | 81% | Majority |
| 77 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 78 | 6% | 53% | |
| 79 | 32% | 47% | |
| 80 | 2% | 14% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 88% | |
| 75 | 2% | 83% | |
| 76 | 14% | 81% | Majority |
| 77 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 78 | 6% | 53% | |
| 79 | 32% | 47% | |
| 80 | 2% | 15% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 6% | |
| 84 | 3% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 7% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 90% | |
| 62 | 12% | 85% | |
| 63 | 4% | 73% | |
| 64 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 65 | 19% | 62% | |
| 66 | 23% | 43% | |
| 67 | 9% | 20% | |
| 68 | 4% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 71 | 4% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 46 | 10% | 92% | |
| 47 | 11% | 82% | |
| 48 | 7% | 70% | |
| 49 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 50 | 13% | 49% | |
| 51 | 22% | 36% | |
| 52 | 6% | 14% | |
| 53 | 2% | 8% | |
| 54 | 5% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 46 | 10% | 92% | |
| 47 | 11% | 82% | |
| 48 | 7% | 70% | |
| 49 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 50 | 13% | 49% | |
| 51 | 22% | 36% | |
| 52 | 6% | 14% | |
| 53 | 2% | 8% | |
| 54 | 5% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 46 | 10% | 92% | |
| 47 | 11% | 82% | |
| 48 | 7% | 70% | |
| 49 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 50 | 13% | 49% | |
| 51 | 22% | 36% | |
| 52 | 6% | 14% | |
| 53 | 2% | 8% | |
| 54 | 5% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 10% | 91% | |
| 40 | 11% | 81% | |
| 41 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 42 | 23% | 52% | |
| 43 | 15% | 29% | |
| 44 | 6% | 13% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 10% | 91% | |
| 40 | 11% | 81% | |
| 41 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 42 | 23% | 52% | |
| 43 | 15% | 28% | |
| 44 | 6% | 13% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 10% | 91% | |
| 40 | 11% | 81% | |
| 41 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 42 | 23% | 52% | |
| 43 | 15% | 28% | |
| 44 | 6% | 13% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 3% | 94% | |
| 33 | 6% | 91% | |
| 34 | 3% | 86% | |
| 35 | 15% | 82% | |
| 36 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 43% | |
| 38 | 14% | 27% | |
| 39 | 6% | 13% | |
| 40 | 2% | 7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 4% | 96% | |
| 26 | 3% | 92% | |
| 27 | 15% | 89% | |
| 28 | 29% | 75% | Median |
| 29 | 15% | 45% | |
| 30 | 17% | 30% | |
| 31 | 8% | 13% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 4% | 96% | |
| 26 | 3% | 92% | |
| 27 | 15% | 89% | |
| 28 | 29% | 75% | Median |
| 29 | 15% | 45% | |
| 30 | 17% | 30% | |
| 31 | 8% | 13% | |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IPSOS
- Commissioner(s): Denník N
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1023
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%