Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 30 November–7 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 15.8% | 14.4–17.3% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–18.9% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.1–13.0% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.2–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 34 | 33–38 | 30–40 | 30–40 | 29–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 26 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–33 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 18 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 15–22 | 15–22 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–17 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 12 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 32 | 2% | 94% | |
| 33 | 21% | 92% | |
| 34 | 36% | 71% | Median |
| 35 | 4% | 35% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 38 | 21% | 29% | |
| 39 | 2% | 8% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 25% | 77% | |
| 26 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 1.3% | 48% | |
| 28 | 4% | 47% | |
| 29 | 4% | 43% | |
| 30 | 7% | 39% | |
| 31 | 30% | 31% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 2% | 97% | |
| 17 | 42% | 95% | |
| 18 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 19 | 3% | 36% | |
| 20 | 4% | 33% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 29% | |
| 22 | 28% | 28% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 18% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 3% | 82% | |
| 14 | 39% | 79% | Median |
| 15 | 6% | 40% | |
| 16 | 30% | 34% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 31% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 4% | 68% | |
| 13 | 17% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 24% | 46% | |
| 15 | 8% | 23% | |
| 16 | 11% | 15% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 4% | 97% | |
| 12 | 10% | 93% | |
| 13 | 6% | 84% | |
| 14 | 46% | 78% | Median |
| 15 | 30% | 32% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 26% | 95% | |
| 12 | 51% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 1.3% | 18% | |
| 14 | 6% | 17% | |
| 15 | 3% | 11% | |
| 16 | 7% | 8% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 28% | 98% | |
| 10 | 25% | 70% | Median |
| 11 | 4% | 46% | |
| 12 | 36% | 42% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 48% | |
| 2 | 0% | 48% | |
| 3 | 0% | 48% | |
| 4 | 0% | 48% | |
| 5 | 0% | 48% | |
| 6 | 0% | 48% | |
| 7 | 0% | 48% | |
| 8 | 0% | 48% | |
| 9 | 4% | 48% | |
| 10 | 40% | 44% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 77 | 61% | 72–79 | 70–80 | 70–81 | 68–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 77 | 60% | 72–79 | 70–80 | 70–81 | 68–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 77 | 60% | 72–79 | 70–80 | 70–80 | 68–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 0% | 57–65 | 57–67 | 57–69 | 55–71 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 42–52 | 41–55 | 41–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 42–52 | 41–55 | 41–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 42–52 | 41–55 | 41–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 40 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–45 | 37–45 | 36–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 39 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–45 | 37–45 | 35–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 40 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–45 | 37–45 | 35–48 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 34 | 0% | 33–38 | 30–40 | 30–41 | 29–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 26 | 0% | 24–31 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–33 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 26 | 0% | 24–31 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–34 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 72 | 23% | 94% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 71% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 70% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 61% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 60% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 43% | |
| 79 | 37% | 43% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 72 | 23% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 71% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 70% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 60% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 60% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 43% | |
| 79 | 37% | 43% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 72 | 23% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 71% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 70% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 60% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 60% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 43% | |
| 79 | 37% | 42% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 21% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 59 | 4% | 77% | |
| 60 | 2% | 73% | Median |
| 61 | 3% | 71% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 63 | 22% | 67% | |
| 64 | 9% | 46% | |
| 65 | 30% | 36% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 45 | 2% | 94% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 48 | 50% | 91% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 41% | |
| 50 | 7% | 31% | |
| 51 | 2% | 24% | |
| 52 | 17% | 22% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 45 | 2% | 94% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 48 | 50% | 91% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 41% | |
| 50 | 8% | 31% | |
| 51 | 2% | 23% | |
| 52 | 17% | 21% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 45 | 2% | 94% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 48 | 50% | 91% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 41% | |
| 50 | 7% | 31% | |
| 51 | 2% | 24% | |
| 52 | 17% | 21% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 8% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 3% | 91% | |
| 39 | 37% | 88% | |
| 40 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 41 | 1.1% | 42% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 43 | 2% | 40% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 38% | |
| 45 | 35% | 37% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 3% | 91% | |
| 39 | 37% | 87% | |
| 40 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 41 | 1.1% | 41% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 40% | |
| 43 | 2% | 39% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 45 | 35% | 37% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 3% | 91% | |
| 39 | 37% | 88% | |
| 40 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 41 | 1.1% | 42% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 43 | 2% | 40% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 38% | |
| 45 | 35% | 37% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 32 | 2% | 94% | |
| 33 | 21% | 92% | |
| 34 | 36% | 71% | Median |
| 35 | 4% | 36% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 30% | |
| 38 | 21% | 29% | |
| 39 | 2% | 8% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 25% | 77% | |
| 26 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 1.3% | 48% | |
| 28 | 4% | 47% | |
| 29 | 4% | 43% | |
| 30 | 7% | 39% | |
| 31 | 30% | 31% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 25% | 77% | |
| 26 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 1.3% | 48% | |
| 28 | 4% | 47% | |
| 29 | 4% | 43% | |
| 30 | 7% | 39% | |
| 31 | 30% | 32% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 30 November–7 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.61%