Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 6–12 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 16.1% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.4–14.6% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 39 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 30–40 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 23–33 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 19 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 16–24 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 18 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 14–21 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 16 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 12–16 | 11–19 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 31% | 98% | |
| 34 | 3% | 68% | |
| 35 | 2% | 64% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 63% | |
| 37 | 2% | 62% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 39 | 52% | 60% | Median |
| 40 | 7% | 8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 27 | 9% | 97% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 30 | 51% | 87% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 36% | |
| 32 | 3% | 34% | |
| 33 | 30% | 30% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 53% | 97% | Median |
| 20 | 10% | 44% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 24 | 31% | 31% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 8% | 98% | |
| 17 | 3% | 89% | |
| 18 | 83% | 87% | Median |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 15 | 40% | 94% | |
| 16 | 52% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 13 | 10% | 96% | |
| 14 | 31% | 86% | |
| 15 | 53% | 55% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 9% | 97% | |
| 11 | 3% | 88% | |
| 12 | 2% | 85% | |
| 13 | 82% | 83% | Median |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0% | 17% | |
| 8 | 0% | 17% | |
| 9 | 9% | 17% | |
| 10 | 4% | 8% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 84 | 98% | 80–84 | 77–84 | 76–84 | 72–86 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 84 | 98% | 80–84 | 77–84 | 76–84 | 72–86 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 84 | 96% | 80–84 | 77–84 | 74–84 | 69–84 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 69 | 0% | 66–69 | 66–69 | 63–70 | 58–72 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 54 | 0% | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 | 45–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 54 | 0% | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 | 44–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 54 | 0% | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–54 | 45–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 45 | 0% | 42–47 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 37–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 45 | 0% | 42–47 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 37–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 45 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–47 | 39–47 | 37–48 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 39 | 0% | 33–39 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 30 | 0% | 28–33 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 24–38 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 0% | 27–33 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 23–33 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 37% | 93% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 84 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 37% | 93% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 84 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 80 | 37% | 92% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 54% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 53% | |
| 84 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 66 | 33% | 95% | |
| 67 | 7% | 63% | |
| 68 | 2% | 55% | |
| 69 | 51% | 54% | Median |
| 70 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 47 | 30% | 97% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 65% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 52 | 3% | 64% | |
| 53 | 7% | 60% | |
| 54 | 51% | 53% | Median |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 30% | 96% | |
| 48 | 2% | 66% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 64% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 62% | |
| 52 | 3% | 61% | |
| 53 | 7% | 59% | |
| 54 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 47 | 30% | 97% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 65% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 52 | 3% | 64% | |
| 53 | 7% | 60% | |
| 54 | 51% | 53% | Median |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 43 | 2% | 90% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 45 | 52% | 87% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 35% | |
| 47 | 30% | 33% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 43 | 2% | 90% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 45 | 52% | 87% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 35% | |
| 47 | 30% | 33% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 9% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 43 | 2% | 87% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 45 | 52% | 84% | Median |
| 46 | 2% | 32% | |
| 47 | 30% | 31% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 31% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 3% | 69% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 66% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 65% | |
| 37 | 2% | 64% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 39 | 52% | 62% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 8% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 30 | 51% | 89% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 38% | |
| 32 | 3% | 36% | |
| 33 | 30% | 32% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 27 | 9% | 97% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 30 | 51% | 87% | Median |
| 31 | 2% | 36% | |
| 32 | 3% | 34% | |
| 33 | 30% | 30% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.05%