Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 18–20 January 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0.0% 18.2% 16.7–19.9% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
SMER–sociálna demokracia 18.3% 13.6% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.6%
Progresívne Slovensko 7.0% 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 25.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
REPUBLIKA 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
SME RODINA 8.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Sloboda a Solidarita 6.2% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 3.9% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Slovenská národná strana 3.2% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Za ľudí 5.8% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0 32 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–38
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 24 21–26 21–28 21–28 19–30
Progresívne Slovensko 0 24 22–26 21–27 20–27 19–28
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 53 15 13–18 12–18 12–18 11–20
REPUBLIKA 0 14 13–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
SME RODINA 17 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Sloboda a Solidarita 13 12 11–14 11–15 10–15 10–16
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 12 9–14 9–14 9–15 0–16
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 17 0 0 0 0 0
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí 12 0 0 0 0 0

HLAS–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.8% 99.7%  
29 3% 98.8%  
30 12% 95%  
31 15% 83%  
32 26% 69% Median
33 8% 43%  
34 24% 35%  
35 7% 12%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.6% 2%  
38 0.9% 1.3%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.8% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.2%  
21 9% 98.8%  
22 6% 90%  
23 25% 84%  
24 22% 59% Median
25 7% 37%  
26 20% 30%  
27 2% 10%  
28 6% 8%  
29 0.8% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.8%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Progresívne Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.9% 99.7%  
20 2% 98.9%  
21 3% 97%  
22 23% 93%  
23 9% 70%  
24 23% 61% Median
25 4% 38%  
26 28% 34%  
27 5% 6%  
28 1.0% 1.3%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 3% 98%  
13 9% 95%  
14 19% 85%  
15 30% 67% Median
16 6% 36%  
17 5% 30%  
18 23% 25%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.6%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

REPUBLIKA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.7%  
13 12% 96%  
14 39% 84% Median
15 13% 45%  
16 8% 32%  
17 20% 24%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.5% 0.9%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.8%  
12 6% 99.4%  
13 13% 93%  
14 26% 80%  
15 10% 55% Median
16 31% 45%  
17 7% 14% Last Result
18 5% 7%  
19 1.2% 1.5%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0.2% 99.8%  
10 4% 99.6%  
11 19% 96%  
12 34% 77% Median
13 27% 43% Last Result
14 10% 16%  
15 5% 6%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 0% 99.2%  
9 17% 99.2%  
10 5% 82%  
11 8% 77%  
12 34% 69% Median
13 17% 34%  
14 12% 17%  
15 3% 4%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0% 0.3%  
5 0% 0.3%  
6 0% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.3%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 72 72 9% 68–75 67–76 67–77 66–80
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 72 8% 68–75 67–76 67–77 66–80
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 72 8% 68–75 67–76 67–77 66–80
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 57 0% 54–60 52–62 52–62 52–64
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 34 46 0% 44–51 44–52 43–52 42–54
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 17 46 0% 44–51 44–52 43–52 42–54
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 17 46 0% 44–51 44–52 43–52 42–54
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 72 39 0% 36–42 35–43 35–44 34–46
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 39 0% 36–42 35–43 35–44 34–46
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 39 0% 36–42 35–43 35–44 34–46
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 0 32 0% 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–38
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 24 0% 21–26 21–28 21–28 19–30
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 24 0% 21–26 21–28 21–28 19–30

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.6%  
67 7% 99.0%  
68 6% 92%  
69 8% 85%  
70 12% 77%  
71 5% 65% Median
72 25% 61% Last Result
73 21% 35%  
74 1.1% 14%  
75 4% 13%  
76 4% 9% Majority
77 2% 4%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.8% 1.4%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.6%  
67 7% 98.9%  
68 6% 91%  
69 8% 85%  
70 12% 77%  
71 5% 65% Median
72 25% 60%  
73 21% 35%  
74 1.1% 14%  
75 4% 13%  
76 4% 8% Majority
77 2% 4%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.8% 1.4%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100% Last Result
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.6%  
67 7% 98.9%  
68 6% 91%  
69 8% 85%  
70 12% 77%  
71 5% 65% Median
72 25% 61%  
73 21% 35%  
74 1.1% 14%  
75 4% 13%  
76 4% 8% Majority
77 2% 4%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.8% 1.4%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 6% 99.6%  
53 1.2% 94%  
54 16% 92%  
55 7% 77%  
56 14% 70% Median
57 22% 56%  
58 20% 34%  
59 3% 14%  
60 5% 11%  
61 0.5% 6%  
62 4% 6%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.5% 1.0%  
65 0.2% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100% Last Result
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 2% 99.6%  
43 2% 98%  
44 7% 96%  
45 6% 89%  
46 35% 83%  
47 4% 48% Median
48 8% 44%  
49 8% 35%  
50 17% 27%  
51 5% 11%  
52 4% 6%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.2% 0.6%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 2% 99.6%  
43 2% 98%  
44 7% 96%  
45 6% 89%  
46 35% 83%  
47 4% 48% Median
48 8% 44%  
49 8% 35%  
50 17% 27%  
51 5% 10%  
52 4% 6%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.1% 0.5%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 2% 99.6%  
43 2% 98%  
44 7% 96%  
45 6% 89%  
46 35% 83%  
47 4% 48% Median
48 8% 44%  
49 8% 35%  
50 17% 27%  
51 5% 11%  
52 4% 6%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.2% 0.6%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.7%  
35 5% 99.5%  
36 13% 94%  
37 6% 82%  
38 8% 75%  
39 17% 67% Median
40 30% 50%  
41 6% 20%  
42 8% 14%  
43 3% 6%  
44 1.4% 3%  
45 0.6% 2%  
46 0.7% 1.0%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.7%  
35 5% 99.5%  
36 13% 94%  
37 6% 82%  
38 8% 75%  
39 17% 67% Median
40 30% 50%  
41 6% 20%  
42 8% 14%  
43 3% 6%  
44 1.3% 3%  
45 0.6% 2%  
46 0.6% 0.9%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.7%  
35 5% 99.5%  
36 13% 94%  
37 6% 82%  
38 8% 75%  
39 17% 67% Median
40 30% 50%  
41 6% 20%  
42 8% 14%  
43 3% 6%  
44 1.4% 3%  
45 0.6% 2%  
46 0.7% 0.9%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.8% 99.7%  
29 3% 98.8%  
30 12% 95%  
31 15% 83%  
32 26% 69% Median
33 7% 43%  
34 24% 35%  
35 7% 12%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.6% 2%  
38 0.9% 1.4%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.8% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.2%  
21 9% 98.8%  
22 6% 90%  
23 25% 84%  
24 22% 59% Median
25 7% 37%  
26 20% 30%  
27 2% 10%  
28 6% 8%  
29 0.8% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.8%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.8% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.2%  
21 9% 98.8%  
22 6% 90%  
23 25% 84%  
24 22% 59% Median
25 7% 37%  
26 20% 30%  
27 2% 10%  
28 6% 8%  
29 0.8% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.1% 0.3%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations