Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 1–8 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 20.8% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.5–23.5% | 17.7–24.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 38 | 35–41 | 35–41 | 34–41 | 34–43 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 27 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 21–31 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 20 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 16–24 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 12 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 0–15 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 16% | 96% | |
| 36 | 3% | 80% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 38 | 27% | 76% | Median |
| 39 | 0.6% | 49% | |
| 40 | 19% | 48% | |
| 41 | 28% | 30% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 11% | 98% | |
| 25 | 14% | 87% | |
| 26 | 2% | 73% | |
| 27 | 43% | 70% | Median |
| 28 | 24% | 28% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 27% | 93% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 20 | 17% | 65% | Median |
| 21 | 11% | 48% | |
| 22 | 17% | 37% | |
| 23 | 4% | 21% | |
| 24 | 16% | 17% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 22% | 96% | |
| 15 | 35% | 74% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 39% | |
| 17 | 21% | 24% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 24% | 98% | |
| 13 | 19% | 74% | |
| 14 | 31% | 55% | Median |
| 15 | 21% | 24% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 17% | 96% | |
| 12 | 22% | 78% | |
| 13 | 4% | 57% | |
| 14 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 15 | 30% | 36% | |
| 16 | 6% | 6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 17% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 11 | 30% | 80% | |
| 12 | 19% | 50% | Median |
| 13 | 6% | 31% | |
| 14 | 9% | 25% | |
| 15 | 16% | 17% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 73% | |
| 2 | 0% | 73% | |
| 3 | 0% | 73% | |
| 4 | 0% | 73% | |
| 5 | 0% | 73% | |
| 6 | 0% | 73% | |
| 7 | 0% | 73% | |
| 8 | 0% | 73% | |
| 9 | 31% | 73% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 43% | |
| 11 | 23% | 23% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 33% | |
| 3 | 0% | 33% | |
| 4 | 0% | 33% | |
| 5 | 0% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0% | 33% | |
| 7 | 0% | 33% | |
| 8 | 3% | 33% | |
| 9 | 6% | 30% | |
| 10 | 24% | 24% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 78 | 73% | 73–83 | 73–83 | 73–83 | 70–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 78 | 73% | 73–83 | 73–83 | 73–83 | 70–88 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 78 | 73% | 73–83 | 73–83 | 72–83 | 70–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 66 | 0.1% | 60–68 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 58–73 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 52 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–59 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 52 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 52 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 40 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–43 | 35–44 | 35–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 40 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–43 | 35–44 | 35–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 40 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–43 | 35–44 | 35–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 38 | 0% | 35–41 | 35–41 | 34–41 | 34–43 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 27 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 21–31 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 27 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 21–31 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 17% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 80% | |
| 75 | 4% | 77% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 16% | 73% | |
| 78 | 7% | 57% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 50% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 82 | 30% | 49% | |
| 83 | 17% | 19% | |
| 84 | 0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 17% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 80% | |
| 75 | 4% | 77% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 16% | 73% | |
| 78 | 7% | 57% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 50% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 82 | 30% | 49% | |
| 83 | 17% | 19% | |
| 84 | 0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 73 | 17% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 80% | |
| 75 | 4% | 77% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 16% | 73% | |
| 78 | 7% | 57% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 50% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 82 | 30% | 49% | |
| 83 | 17% | 19% | |
| 84 | 0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 16% | 93% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 62 | 4% | 77% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 65 | 16% | 72% | Median |
| 66 | 9% | 56% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 68 | 43% | 46% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 14% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 84% | |
| 50 | 26% | 80% | |
| 51 | 4% | 55% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 51% | Median |
| 53 | 0.5% | 49% | |
| 54 | 2% | 49% | |
| 55 | 43% | 47% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 14% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 84% | |
| 50 | 26% | 80% | |
| 51 | 4% | 55% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 51% | Median |
| 53 | 0.5% | 49% | |
| 54 | 2% | 49% | |
| 55 | 43% | 47% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 14% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 84% | |
| 50 | 26% | 80% | |
| 51 | 4% | 55% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 51% | Median |
| 53 | 0.5% | 49% | |
| 54 | 2% | 49% | |
| 55 | 43% | 47% | |
| 56 | 3% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 17% | 94% | |
| 39 | 19% | 76% | |
| 40 | 7% | 57% | |
| 41 | 28% | 50% | Median |
| 42 | 2% | 21% | |
| 43 | 16% | 19% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 17% | 93% | |
| 39 | 19% | 76% | |
| 40 | 7% | 57% | |
| 41 | 28% | 50% | Median |
| 42 | 2% | 21% | |
| 43 | 16% | 19% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 17% | 94% | |
| 39 | 19% | 76% | |
| 40 | 7% | 57% | |
| 41 | 28% | 50% | Median |
| 42 | 2% | 21% | |
| 43 | 16% | 19% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 16% | 97% | |
| 36 | 3% | 81% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 38 | 27% | 76% | Median |
| 39 | 0.6% | 49% | |
| 40 | 19% | 49% | |
| 41 | 28% | 30% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 11% | 98% | |
| 25 | 14% | 87% | |
| 26 | 2% | 73% | |
| 27 | 43% | 70% | Median |
| 28 | 24% | 28% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 24 | 11% | 98% | |
| 25 | 14% | 87% | |
| 26 | 2% | 73% | |
| 27 | 43% | 71% | Median |
| 28 | 24% | 28% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 1–8 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1017
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.04%