Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 7–13 February 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–16.0% | 11.1–16.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 32 | 31–35 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 28–38 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 28–31 | 28–33 | 27–33 | 25–35 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 25 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 21–28 | 20–30 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–18 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–16 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 9–16 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98% | |
| 31 | 36% | 97% | |
| 32 | 37% | 61% | Median |
| 33 | 9% | 24% | |
| 34 | 2% | 15% | |
| 35 | 11% | 13% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 13% | 96% | |
| 29 | 16% | 83% | |
| 30 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 31 | 35% | 44% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 33 | 8% | 9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 23 | 35% | 96% | |
| 24 | 4% | 61% | |
| 25 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 26 | 25% | 38% | |
| 27 | 2% | 12% | |
| 28 | 9% | 10% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 9% | 98% | |
| 13 | 27% | 90% | Last Result |
| 14 | 29% | 62% | Median |
| 15 | 5% | 33% | |
| 16 | 27% | 28% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 27% | 98% | |
| 12 | 47% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 13% | 24% | |
| 14 | 9% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 11% | 96% | |
| 13 | 37% | 85% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 48% | |
| 15 | 33% | 35% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 9% | 98% | |
| 11 | 38% | 89% | |
| 12 | 28% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 23% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 16% | 91% | |
| 11 | 31% | 75% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 44% | |
| 13 | 34% | 37% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 76 | 56% | 75–78 | 74–78 | 72–79 | 68–83 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 76 | 56% | 75–78 | 74–78 | 72–79 | 68–83 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 76 | 55% | 74–77 | 72–78 | 71–78 | 68–82 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 62 | 0% | 61–66 | 61–66 | 59–67 | 56–70 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 46 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 42–49 | 40–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 45 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 42–49 | 40–52 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 46 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 42–49 | 40–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 44 | 0% | 42–45 | 42–45 | 40–47 | 35–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 44 | 0% | 42–45 | 42–45 | 40–47 | 35–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 44 | 0% | 42–45 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 35–47 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 32 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–35 | 30–37 | 28–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 30 | 0% | 28–33 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 25–38 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 0% | 28–31 | 28–33 | 27–33 | 25–35 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 95% | |
| 75 | 35% | 91% | Median |
| 76 | 15% | 56% | Majority |
| 77 | 30% | 41% | |
| 78 | 8% | 11% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 95% | |
| 75 | 35% | 91% | Median |
| 76 | 15% | 56% | Majority |
| 77 | 30% | 41% | |
| 78 | 8% | 11% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 74 | 4% | 94% | |
| 75 | 35% | 90% | Median |
| 76 | 15% | 55% | Majority |
| 77 | 30% | 40% | |
| 78 | 8% | 10% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 17% | 95% | |
| 62 | 54% | 78% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 24% | |
| 64 | 2% | 14% | |
| 65 | 2% | 12% | |
| 66 | 7% | 10% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 38% | 97% | |
| 45 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 47 | 34% | 50% | |
| 48 | 3% | 16% | |
| 49 | 11% | 13% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 44 | 38% | 96% | |
| 45 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 46 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 47 | 34% | 48% | |
| 48 | 3% | 14% | |
| 49 | 11% | 11% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 38% | 97% | |
| 45 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 47 | 34% | 50% | |
| 48 | 3% | 16% | |
| 49 | 11% | 13% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 13% | 95% | |
| 43 | 3% | 82% | Median |
| 44 | 50% | 79% | |
| 45 | 25% | 30% | |
| 46 | 2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 13% | 95% | |
| 43 | 3% | 82% | Median |
| 44 | 50% | 79% | |
| 45 | 25% | 30% | |
| 46 | 2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 42 | 13% | 94% | |
| 43 | 3% | 81% | Median |
| 44 | 50% | 78% | |
| 45 | 25% | 28% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 36% | 97% | |
| 32 | 36% | 61% | Median |
| 33 | 9% | 25% | |
| 34 | 2% | 16% | |
| 35 | 11% | 15% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 12% | 97% | |
| 29 | 16% | 84% | |
| 30 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 31 | 35% | 46% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 33 | 8% | 11% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 13% | 96% | |
| 29 | 16% | 83% | |
| 30 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 31 | 35% | 44% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 33 | 8% | 9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 7–13 February 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.71%