Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 12 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.7–20.9% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 16.1% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 32 | 30–34 | 30–34 | 28–35 | 27–38 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 28 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 23–36 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 25 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–33 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 11–19 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 0–17 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 30 | 18% | 96% | |
| 31 | 14% | 79% | |
| 32 | 39% | 64% | Median |
| 33 | 7% | 25% | |
| 34 | 14% | 18% | |
| 35 | 2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 27 | 4% | 93% | |
| 28 | 43% | 89% | Median |
| 29 | 2% | 46% | |
| 30 | 5% | 44% | |
| 31 | 9% | 39% | |
| 32 | 28% | 31% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 45% | 98% | |
| 25 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 26 | 2% | 40% | |
| 27 | 3% | 37% | |
| 28 | 3% | 35% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 31 | 28% | 29% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 5% | 97% | |
| 13 | 34% | 91% | Last Result |
| 14 | 4% | 57% | |
| 15 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 16 | 15% | 46% | |
| 17 | 14% | 31% | |
| 18 | 16% | 17% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 4% | 95% | |
| 11 | 19% | 91% | |
| 12 | 6% | 72% | |
| 13 | 30% | 66% | Median |
| 14 | 33% | 36% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 37% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 5% | 62% | |
| 12 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 38% | |
| 14 | 18% | 22% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 48% | 96% | Median |
| 12 | 11% | 48% | |
| 13 | 4% | 36% | |
| 14 | 29% | 33% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 40% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 60% | |
| 2 | 0% | 60% | |
| 3 | 0% | 60% | |
| 4 | 0% | 60% | |
| 5 | 0% | 60% | |
| 6 | 0% | 60% | |
| 7 | 0% | 60% | |
| 8 | 0% | 60% | |
| 9 | 34% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 4% | 26% | |
| 11 | 16% | 22% | |
| 12 | 7% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 85% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 15% | |
| 2 | 0% | 15% | |
| 3 | 0% | 15% | |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 0% | 15% | |
| 7 | 0% | 15% | |
| 8 | 0% | 15% | |
| 9 | 7% | 15% | |
| 10 | 5% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 35% | |
| 3 | 0% | 35% | |
| 4 | 0% | 35% | |
| 5 | 0% | 35% | |
| 6 | 0% | 35% | |
| 7 | 0% | 35% | |
| 8 | 0% | 35% | |
| 9 | 33% | 35% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 76 | 55% | 72–83 | 70–83 | 68–83 | 64–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 76 | 55% | 72–83 | 70–83 | 68–83 | 64–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 74 | 22% | 71–76 | 68–77 | 67–80 | 63–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 63 | 0.2% | 61–69 | 60–69 | 59–69 | 56–71 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 46 | 0% | 41–55 | 41–55 | 41–55 | 35–55 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 46 | 0% | 41–55 | 41–55 | 41–55 | 35–55 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 44 | 0% | 40–51 | 37–51 | 35–51 | 30–52 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 44 | 0% | 40–51 | 37–51 | 35–51 | 30–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 46 | 0% | 41–47 | 41–47 | 39–49 | 35–52 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 42 | 0% | 39–45 | 36–45 | 35–47 | 30–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 34 | 0% | 30–41 | 30–41 | 30–41 | 28–41 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 32 | 0% | 28–37 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 23–40 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 32 | 0% | 30–34 | 30–34 | 28–35 | 27–38 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 73 | 16% | 89% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 73% | |
| 75 | 11% | 66% | |
| 76 | 17% | 55% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 37% | |
| 80 | 2% | 36% | |
| 81 | 2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 33% | |
| 83 | 32% | 32% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 16% | 89% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 73% | |
| 75 | 11% | 66% | |
| 76 | 17% | 55% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 37% | |
| 80 | 2% | 36% | |
| 81 | 2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 33% | |
| 83 | 32% | 32% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 70 | 3% | 93% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 72 | 2% | 89% | |
| 73 | 16% | 88% | Median |
| 74 | 38% | 71% | |
| 75 | 11% | 33% | |
| 76 | 16% | 22% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 5% | 96% | Median |
| 61 | 2% | 91% | |
| 62 | 31% | 89% | |
| 63 | 17% | 57% | |
| 64 | 3% | 40% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 37% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 36% | |
| 67 | 2% | 36% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 69 | 32% | 33% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 16% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 82% | |
| 43 | 7% | 79% | |
| 44 | 13% | 72% | |
| 45 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 4% | 54% | |
| 47 | 11% | 50% | |
| 48 | 2% | 38% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 55 | 31% | 32% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 16% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 82% | |
| 43 | 7% | 79% | |
| 44 | 13% | 72% | |
| 45 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 4% | 54% | |
| 47 | 11% | 50% | |
| 48 | 2% | 38% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 55 | 31% | 32% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 35 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 39 | 2% | 93% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 41 | 12% | 90% | Median |
| 42 | 3% | 78% | |
| 43 | 20% | 75% | |
| 44 | 7% | 55% | |
| 45 | 11% | 48% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 47 | 2% | 36% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 51 | 32% | 33% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 39 | 2% | 93% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 41 | 12% | 90% | Median |
| 42 | 3% | 78% | |
| 43 | 20% | 75% | |
| 44 | 7% | 55% | |
| 45 | 11% | 48% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 47 | 2% | 36% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 51 | 32% | 33% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 41 | 16% | 96% | |
| 42 | 3% | 80% | |
| 43 | 7% | 77% | |
| 44 | 14% | 69% | |
| 45 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 46 | 34% | 51% | |
| 47 | 11% | 16% | |
| 48 | 2% | 5% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 3% | 95% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 39 | 2% | 91% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 41 | 12% | 87% | Median |
| 42 | 35% | 75% | |
| 43 | 20% | 40% | |
| 44 | 5% | 20% | |
| 45 | 11% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 17% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 14% | 81% | |
| 32 | 7% | 67% | Median |
| 33 | 7% | 60% | |
| 34 | 14% | 53% | |
| 35 | 2% | 39% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 37 | 2% | 36% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 34% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 33% | |
| 41 | 32% | 32% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 95% | |
| 28 | 12% | 91% | Median |
| 29 | 1.5% | 80% | |
| 30 | 5% | 78% | |
| 31 | 8% | 74% | |
| 32 | 28% | 65% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 34 | 2% | 37% | |
| 35 | 2% | 35% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 37 | 32% | 33% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 30 | 18% | 96% | |
| 31 | 14% | 79% | |
| 32 | 39% | 64% | Median |
| 33 | 7% | 25% | |
| 34 | 14% | 18% | |
| 35 | 2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 12 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.55%