Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 14–22 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.6% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.7–20.9% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.9–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.7–14.9% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.1% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 33 | 30–36 | 29–39 | 29–42 | 27–42 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 31 | 28–35 | 26–37 | 26–37 | 26–39 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 18–29 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 18 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 14–22 | 14–23 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 15 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–18 | 10–20 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98% | |
| 30 | 6% | 94% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 32 | 30% | 86% | |
| 33 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 34 | 31% | 49% | |
| 35 | 5% | 17% | |
| 36 | 5% | 12% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0% | 4% | |
| 42 | 4% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 28 | 7% | 92% | |
| 29 | 8% | 85% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 77% | |
| 31 | 33% | 76% | Median |
| 32 | 21% | 42% | |
| 33 | 4% | 21% | |
| 34 | 7% | 17% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 36 | 2% | 9% | |
| 37 | 4% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 20 | 21% | 98% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 22 | 8% | 76% | |
| 23 | 34% | 67% | Median |
| 24 | 12% | 34% | |
| 25 | 5% | 22% | |
| 26 | 11% | 17% | |
| 27 | 5% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 31% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 7% | 69% | |
| 16 | 3% | 62% | |
| 17 | 5% | 59% | |
| 18 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 33% | 41% | |
| 20 | 4% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 10% | 95% | |
| 13 | 4% | 85% | |
| 14 | 6% | 80% | |
| 15 | 59% | 74% | Median |
| 16 | 4% | 15% | |
| 17 | 5% | 11% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0% | 90% | |
| 4 | 0% | 90% | |
| 5 | 0% | 90% | |
| 6 | 0% | 90% | |
| 7 | 0% | 90% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 9 | 7% | 90% | |
| 10 | 28% | 82% | |
| 11 | 4% | 54% | |
| 12 | 14% | 50% | Median |
| 13 | 34% | 36% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 68% | |
| 2 | 0% | 68% | |
| 3 | 0% | 68% | |
| 4 | 0% | 68% | |
| 5 | 0% | 68% | |
| 6 | 0% | 68% | |
| 7 | 0% | 68% | |
| 8 | 0% | 68% | |
| 9 | 3% | 68% | |
| 10 | 45% | 65% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 20% | |
| 12 | 4% | 8% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 47% | |
| 2 | 0% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 47% | |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0% | 47% | |
| 7 | 0% | 47% | |
| 8 | 0% | 47% | |
| 9 | 5% | 47% | |
| 10 | 5% | 42% | |
| 11 | 8% | 37% | |
| 12 | 28% | 29% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 71% | |
| 2 | 0% | 71% | |
| 3 | 0% | 71% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0% | 71% | |
| 7 | 0% | 71% | |
| 8 | 0% | 71% | |
| 9 | 4% | 71% | |
| 10 | 63% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 3% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 7% | |
| 8 | 4% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 80 | 82% | 73–87 | 69–92 | 66–93 | 66–94 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 80 | 82% | 73–87 | 69–92 | 66–93 | 66–94 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 80 | 82% | 73–87 | 69–92 | 66–93 | 66–94 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 65 | 5% | 61–71 | 56–75 | 55–79 | 55–79 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 46 | 0% | 41–51 | 38–52 | 37–57 | 37–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 46 | 0% | 41–51 | 38–52 | 37–57 | 37–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 48 | 0% | 44–53 | 42–56 | 40–56 | 40–61 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 48 | 0% | 44–53 | 41–56 | 40–56 | 40–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 48 | 0% | 44–53 | 42–56 | 40–56 | 40–61 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 46 | 0% | 41–51 | 38–52 | 37–54 | 37–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 33 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–39 | 29–42 | 27–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 33 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–40 | 29–42 | 27–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 31 | 0% | 28–36 | 26–37 | 26–38 | 26–41 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 4% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 93% | Last Result |
| 73 | 8% | 93% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 76 | 8% | 82% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 75% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 79 | 19% | 73% | Median |
| 80 | 31% | 54% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 82 | 5% | 22% | |
| 83 | 2% | 17% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 15% | |
| 86 | 2% | 13% | |
| 87 | 3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 7% | |
| 93 | 4% | 5% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 73 | 8% | 93% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 76 | 8% | 82% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 74% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 79 | 19% | 73% | Median |
| 80 | 31% | 54% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 82 | 5% | 22% | |
| 83 | 2% | 16% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 14% | |
| 86 | 2% | 12% | |
| 87 | 3% | 10% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 93 | 4% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 4% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 73 | 8% | 93% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 76 | 8% | 82% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 75% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 73% | |
| 79 | 19% | 73% | Median |
| 80 | 31% | 54% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 82 | 5% | 22% | |
| 83 | 2% | 17% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 15% | |
| 86 | 2% | 13% | |
| 87 | 3% | 11% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 7% | |
| 93 | 4% | 5% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 61 | 16% | 92% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 64 | 20% | 74% | Median |
| 65 | 32% | 53% | |
| 66 | 4% | 22% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 68 | 3% | 17% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 70 | 2% | 13% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 72 | 2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 2% | 8% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 4% | |
| 79 | 4% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 43 | 7% | 84% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 77% | |
| 45 | 2% | 76% | |
| 46 | 32% | 74% | Median |
| 47 | 22% | 42% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 49 | 2% | 20% | |
| 50 | 4% | 18% | |
| 51 | 6% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 43 | 7% | 84% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 77% | |
| 45 | 2% | 76% | |
| 46 | 32% | 74% | Median |
| 47 | 22% | 42% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 49 | 2% | 20% | |
| 50 | 4% | 18% | |
| 51 | 6% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 2% | 93% | |
| 44 | 10% | 91% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 47 | 19% | 80% | |
| 48 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 33% | 49% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 14% | |
| 53 | 3% | 11% | |
| 54 | 2% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 56 | 5% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 2% | 93% | |
| 44 | 10% | 91% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 47 | 19% | 80% | |
| 48 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 33% | 49% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 51 | 2% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 13% | |
| 53 | 3% | 11% | |
| 54 | 2% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 56 | 5% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 2% | 93% | |
| 44 | 10% | 91% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 47 | 19% | 80% | |
| 48 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 33% | 49% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 16% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 14% | |
| 53 | 3% | 11% | |
| 54 | 2% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 56 | 5% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 43 | 7% | 84% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 77% | |
| 45 | 2% | 76% | |
| 46 | 32% | 74% | Median |
| 47 | 22% | 42% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 49 | 3% | 19% | |
| 50 | 4% | 17% | |
| 51 | 6% | 12% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98% | |
| 30 | 6% | 94% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 32 | 30% | 86% | |
| 33 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 34 | 31% | 49% | |
| 35 | 5% | 17% | |
| 36 | 5% | 12% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0% | 4% | |
| 42 | 4% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 4% | 98% | |
| 30 | 6% | 94% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 32 | 30% | 86% | |
| 33 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 34 | 31% | 49% | |
| 35 | 4% | 17% | |
| 36 | 5% | 13% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 7% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 28 | 7% | 93% | |
| 29 | 8% | 85% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 77% | |
| 31 | 32% | 76% | Median |
| 32 | 21% | 43% | |
| 33 | 4% | 22% | |
| 34 | 7% | 18% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 36 | 2% | 10% | |
| 37 | 4% | 8% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 14–22 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1018
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.74%