Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 4–11 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 14.1% | 12.8–15.6% | 12.4–16.0% | 12.1–16.4% | 11.5–17.1% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 34 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 28–37 | 25–39 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 30 | 27–33 | 24–33 | 23–33 | 23–36 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 26 | 21–31 | 21–31 | 20–31 | 20–31 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 17 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–21 | 11–21 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 14 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 29 | 7% | 92% | |
| 30 | 10% | 85% | |
| 31 | 4% | 75% | |
| 32 | 6% | 71% | |
| 33 | 2% | 66% | |
| 34 | 52% | 64% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 12% | |
| 36 | 7% | 9% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 26 | 3% | 94% | |
| 27 | 3% | 91% | |
| 28 | 8% | 87% | |
| 29 | 3% | 79% | |
| 30 | 51% | 77% | Median |
| 31 | 6% | 25% | |
| 32 | 7% | 19% | |
| 33 | 10% | 12% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 17% | 97% | |
| 22 | 2% | 81% | |
| 23 | 4% | 79% | |
| 24 | 6% | 74% | |
| 25 | 12% | 69% | |
| 26 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 27 | 2% | 50% | |
| 28 | 5% | 48% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 43% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 41% | |
| 31 | 41% | 41% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 14% | 96% | Last Result |
| 14 | 14% | 82% | |
| 15 | 8% | 68% | |
| 16 | 2% | 59% | |
| 17 | 46% | 57% | Median |
| 18 | 2% | 11% | |
| 19 | 4% | 9% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 21 | 5% | 5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 16% | 97% | |
| 12 | 6% | 82% | |
| 13 | 19% | 76% | |
| 14 | 48% | 57% | Median |
| 15 | 7% | 9% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98% | |
| 10 | 4% | 94% | |
| 11 | 9% | 90% | |
| 12 | 8% | 81% | |
| 13 | 20% | 73% | |
| 14 | 49% | 52% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 42% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 58% | |
| 2 | 0% | 58% | |
| 3 | 0% | 58% | |
| 4 | 0% | 58% | |
| 5 | 0% | 58% | |
| 6 | 0% | 58% | |
| 7 | 0% | 58% | |
| 8 | 0% | 58% | |
| 9 | 6% | 58% | |
| 10 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 14% | 45% | |
| 12 | 13% | 31% | |
| 13 | 6% | 18% | |
| 14 | 6% | 13% | |
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 82% | |
| 2 | 0% | 82% | |
| 3 | 0% | 82% | |
| 4 | 0% | 82% | |
| 5 | 0% | 82% | |
| 6 | 0% | 82% | |
| 7 | 0% | 82% | |
| 8 | 0% | 82% | |
| 9 | 7% | 82% | |
| 10 | 49% | 76% | Median |
| 11 | 9% | 26% | |
| 12 | 12% | 17% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 14% | |
| 2 | 0% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0% | 14% | |
| 7 | 0% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 14% | |
| 9 | 6% | 9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 19% | |
| 4 | 0% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 19% | |
| 6 | 0% | 19% | |
| 7 | 0% | 19% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 19% | |
| 9 | 5% | 19% | |
| 10 | 13% | 14% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 78 | 73% | 72–80 | 71–80 | 70–83 | 68–86 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 78 | 73% | 72–80 | 71–80 | 70–83 | 68–86 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 78 | 65% | 70–80 | 67–80 | 64–81 | 64–86 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 64 | 0.3% | 60–67 | 59–68 | 56–69 | 55–75 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 48 | 0% | 43–50 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 38–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 48 | 0% | 43–50 | 41–51 | 41–51 | 38–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 48 | 0% | 41–49 | 40–51 | 40–51 | 38–52 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 44 | 0% | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–50 | 35–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 44 | 0% | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–50 | 35–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 44 | 0% | 39–46 | 34–47 | 34–48 | 34–49 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 34 | 0% | 30–38 | 28–38 | 28–39 | 25–44 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 30 | 0% | 28–35 | 27–39 | 26–39 | 24–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 34 | 0% | 29–35 | 28–36 | 28–37 | 25–39 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 72 | 6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 73 | 10% | 89% | |
| 74 | 2% | 79% | |
| 75 | 4% | 77% | |
| 76 | 2% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 71% | |
| 78 | 42% | 69% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 27% | |
| 80 | 9% | 14% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 86 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 72 | 6% | 95% | |
| 73 | 10% | 89% | |
| 74 | 2% | 79% | |
| 75 | 4% | 77% | |
| 76 | 2% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 71% | |
| 78 | 42% | 69% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 27% | |
| 80 | 9% | 14% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 86 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 68 | 2% | 94% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 70 | 8% | 92% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 73 | 11% | 81% | |
| 74 | 2% | 71% | |
| 75 | 4% | 69% | |
| 76 | 2% | 65% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 63% | |
| 78 | 41% | 61% | Median |
| 79 | 8% | 20% | |
| 80 | 8% | 11% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 7% | 94% | |
| 61 | 7% | 87% | |
| 62 | 7% | 81% | |
| 63 | 3% | 74% | |
| 64 | 47% | 71% | Median |
| 65 | 3% | 25% | |
| 66 | 4% | 22% | |
| 67 | 9% | 19% | |
| 68 | 6% | 9% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 93% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 5% | 85% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 46 | 2% | 79% | |
| 47 | 11% | 78% | |
| 48 | 43% | 67% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 24% | |
| 50 | 2% | 11% | |
| 51 | 7% | 9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 93% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 5% | 85% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 46 | 2% | 79% | |
| 47 | 11% | 78% | |
| 48 | 43% | 67% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 24% | |
| 50 | 2% | 11% | |
| 51 | 7% | 9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 13% | 93% | |
| 42 | 2% | 81% | |
| 43 | 6% | 79% | |
| 44 | 5% | 73% | |
| 45 | 2% | 68% | |
| 46 | 2% | 66% | |
| 47 | 11% | 65% | |
| 48 | 43% | 53% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 11% | |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 5% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 92% | |
| 42 | 6% | 86% | |
| 43 | 6% | 80% | |
| 44 | 43% | 74% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 31% | |
| 46 | 9% | 23% | |
| 47 | 4% | 15% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 49 | 3% | 10% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 92% | |
| 42 | 6% | 86% | |
| 43 | 6% | 80% | |
| 44 | 43% | 74% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 31% | |
| 46 | 9% | 23% | |
| 47 | 4% | 15% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 49 | 3% | 10% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 38 | 2% | 94% | |
| 39 | 3% | 92% | |
| 40 | 4% | 89% | |
| 41 | 11% | 85% | |
| 42 | 2% | 73% | |
| 43 | 6% | 71% | |
| 44 | 43% | 66% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 23% | |
| 46 | 8% | 15% | |
| 47 | 4% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 30 | 6% | 93% | |
| 31 | 3% | 87% | |
| 32 | 5% | 84% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 34 | 52% | 77% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 25% | |
| 36 | 7% | 23% | |
| 37 | 2% | 16% | |
| 38 | 10% | 14% | Last Result |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 2% | 96% | |
| 28 | 8% | 94% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 30 | 46% | 85% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 39% | |
| 32 | 7% | 28% | |
| 33 | 10% | 21% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 39 | 6% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 29 | 7% | 92% | |
| 30 | 10% | 85% | |
| 31 | 4% | 75% | |
| 32 | 6% | 71% | |
| 33 | 2% | 66% | |
| 34 | 52% | 64% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 12% | |
| 36 | 7% | 9% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 4–11 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.13%