Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 19–26 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.8–20.9% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.6–16.1% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.4% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 37 | 29–38 | 28–40 | 28–40 | 28–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 35 | 29–40 | 27–40 | 27–40 | 27–40 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 27 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 20–30 | 20–32 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 18 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 12 | 9–14 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 13 | 10–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–15 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 0 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–15 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 7% | 94% | |
| 30 | 8% | 86% | |
| 31 | 3% | 78% | |
| 32 | 9% | 75% | |
| 33 | 4% | 66% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 61% | |
| 35 | 4% | 60% | |
| 36 | 3% | 56% | |
| 37 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 38 | 37% | 46% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 40 | 7% | 9% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 29 | 7% | 92% | |
| 30 | 7% | 86% | |
| 31 | 11% | 78% | |
| 32 | 11% | 68% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 34 | 3% | 55% | |
| 35 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 36 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 37 | 5% | 48% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 43% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 40 | 42% | 42% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 22 | 3% | 96% | |
| 23 | 7% | 93% | |
| 24 | 17% | 86% | |
| 25 | 9% | 69% | |
| 26 | 9% | 60% | |
| 27 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 28 | 44% | 49% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 17 | 11% | 96% | |
| 18 | 39% | 85% | Median |
| 19 | 16% | 46% | |
| 20 | 8% | 30% | |
| 21 | 18% | 22% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 9 | 5% | 91% | |
| 10 | 3% | 86% | |
| 11 | 12% | 83% | |
| 12 | 47% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 5% | 24% | |
| 14 | 9% | 19% | |
| 15 | 9% | 9% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 10 | 9% | 94% | |
| 11 | 4% | 85% | |
| 12 | 18% | 81% | |
| 13 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 14 | 45% | 48% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 48% | |
| 2 | 0% | 48% | |
| 3 | 0% | 48% | |
| 4 | 0% | 48% | |
| 5 | 0% | 48% | |
| 6 | 0% | 48% | |
| 7 | 0% | 48% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 48% | |
| 9 | 6% | 48% | |
| 10 | 16% | 42% | |
| 11 | 10% | 26% | |
| 12 | 10% | 16% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 64% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 36% | |
| 2 | 0% | 36% | |
| 3 | 0% | 36% | |
| 4 | 0% | 36% | |
| 5 | 0% | 36% | |
| 6 | 0% | 36% | |
| 7 | 0% | 36% | |
| 8 | 0% | 36% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 36% | |
| 10 | 16% | 36% | |
| 11 | 17% | 20% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 90% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 10% | |
| 2 | 0% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0% | 10% | |
| 6 | 0% | 10% | |
| 7 | 0% | 10% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 10 | 4% | 10% | |
| 11 | 3% | 6% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 10 | 6% | 7% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 6% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 83 | 75% | 68–90 | 68–90 | 68–90 | 64–90 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 82 | 69% | 68–90 | 68–90 | 68–90 | 64–90 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 83 | 75% | 68–90 | 68–90 | 68–90 | 64–90 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 71 | 37% | 59–78 | 57–78 | 57–78 | 57–84 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 51 | 0% | 38–52 | 32–55 | 32–55 | 29–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 48 | 0% | 38–52 | 32–55 | 32–55 | 29–55 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 51 | 0% | 38–52 | 32–55 | 32–55 | 29–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 50 | 0% | 40–51 | 37–54 | 37–54 | 35–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 50 | 0% | 40–51 | 37–54 | 37–54 | 35–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 48 | 0% | 40–50 | 37–51 | 37–51 | 35–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 38 | 0% | 29–40 | 28–42 | 28–42 | 28–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 37 | 0% | 29–38 | 28–40 | 28–40 | 28–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 39 | 0% | 30–40 | 27–40 | 27–40 | 27–46 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 71 | 2% | 88% | |
| 72 | 8% | 86% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 77% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 75% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 74% | |
| 78 | 2% | 72% | |
| 79 | 2% | 70% | |
| 80 | 4% | 68% | |
| 81 | 7% | 65% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 83 | 8% | 57% | |
| 84 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 85 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 42% | |
| 87 | 3% | 41% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 38% | |
| 90 | 37% | 37% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 11% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 71 | 2% | 87% | |
| 72 | 8% | 85% | |
| 73 | 6% | 77% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 70% | |
| 76 | 2% | 69% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 68% | |
| 78 | 2% | 65% | |
| 79 | 3% | 63% | |
| 80 | 4% | 61% | |
| 81 | 6% | 57% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 83 | 2% | 50% | |
| 84 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 85 | 0.4% | 40% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 40% | |
| 87 | 2% | 39% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 37% | |
| 90 | 36% | 36% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 71 | 2% | 88% | |
| 72 | 8% | 86% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 77% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 75% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 74% | |
| 78 | 2% | 72% | |
| 79 | 2% | 70% | |
| 80 | 4% | 68% | |
| 81 | 7% | 65% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 83 | 8% | 57% | |
| 84 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 85 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 42% | |
| 87 | 3% | 41% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 38% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 38% | |
| 90 | 37% | 37% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 59 | 7% | 94% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 63 | 2% | 85% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 83% | |
| 65 | 3% | 82% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 67 | 10% | 78% | |
| 68 | 2% | 68% | |
| 69 | 8% | 66% | |
| 70 | 2% | 58% | |
| 71 | 6% | 56% | |
| 72 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 73 | 4% | 43% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 37% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 78 | 36% | 37% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 93% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 38 | 6% | 92% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 40 | 6% | 86% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 42 | 2% | 79% | |
| 43 | 3% | 76% | |
| 44 | 10% | 73% | |
| 45 | 4% | 64% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 60% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 59% | Median |
| 48 | 3% | 58% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 55% | |
| 50 | 2% | 54% | |
| 51 | 8% | 52% | |
| 52 | 35% | 44% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 55 | 7% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 93% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 38 | 6% | 91% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 40 | 6% | 85% | |
| 41 | 6% | 79% | |
| 42 | 3% | 72% | |
| 43 | 3% | 70% | |
| 44 | 10% | 67% | |
| 45 | 4% | 57% | |
| 46 | 2% | 53% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 51% | Median |
| 48 | 2% | 50% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 50 | 2% | 47% | |
| 51 | 2% | 45% | |
| 52 | 35% | 43% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 7% | |
| 55 | 7% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 93% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 38 | 6% | 92% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 40 | 6% | 86% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 42 | 2% | 79% | |
| 43 | 3% | 76% | |
| 44 | 10% | 73% | |
| 45 | 4% | 64% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 60% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 59% | Median |
| 48 | 3% | 58% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 55% | |
| 50 | 2% | 54% | |
| 51 | 8% | 52% | |
| 52 | 35% | 44% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 55 | 7% | 8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 40 | 8% | 93% | |
| 41 | 7% | 85% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 78% | |
| 43 | 4% | 77% | |
| 44 | 7% | 72% | |
| 45 | 2% | 65% | |
| 46 | 2% | 63% | |
| 47 | 3% | 61% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 49 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 50 | 40% | 55% | |
| 51 | 6% | 15% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 54 | 6% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 40 | 8% | 93% | |
| 41 | 7% | 85% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 78% | |
| 43 | 4% | 77% | |
| 44 | 7% | 72% | |
| 45 | 2% | 65% | |
| 46 | 2% | 63% | |
| 47 | 3% | 61% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 49 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 50 | 40% | 55% | |
| 51 | 6% | 15% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 54 | 6% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 40 | 8% | 93% | |
| 41 | 8% | 85% | |
| 42 | 2% | 77% | |
| 43 | 4% | 75% | |
| 44 | 13% | 71% | |
| 45 | 3% | 58% | |
| 46 | 2% | 56% | |
| 47 | 3% | 54% | |
| 48 | 2% | 51% | |
| 49 | 2% | 49% | Median |
| 50 | 39% | 47% | |
| 51 | 6% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 7% | 94% | |
| 30 | 7% | 86% | |
| 31 | 3% | 79% | |
| 32 | 4% | 76% | |
| 33 | 3% | 72% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 69% | |
| 35 | 4% | 68% | |
| 36 | 3% | 64% | |
| 37 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 38 | 37% | 54% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 40 | 7% | 16% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 42 | 6% | 8% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 7% | 94% | |
| 30 | 8% | 86% | |
| 31 | 3% | 78% | |
| 32 | 9% | 75% | |
| 33 | 4% | 66% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 61% | |
| 35 | 4% | 60% | |
| 36 | 3% | 56% | |
| 37 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 38 | 37% | 46% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 40 | 7% | 9% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 30 | 7% | 92% | |
| 31 | 10% | 85% | |
| 32 | 11% | 75% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 64% | |
| 34 | 3% | 63% | |
| 35 | 3% | 60% | Median |
| 36 | 0.7% | 56% | |
| 37 | 5% | 56% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 51% | |
| 39 | 6% | 50% | |
| 40 | 42% | 44% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 19–26 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.27%