Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 6–9 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.7–17.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 26–36 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 31 | 26–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 25 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 23–28 | 21–29 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 13 | 12–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 30 | 9% | 95% | |
| 31 | 7% | 86% | |
| 32 | 24% | 79% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 55% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 35 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 49% | 50% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 11% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 3% | 88% | |
| 28 | 10% | 85% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 76% | |
| 30 | 4% | 74% | |
| 31 | 39% | 70% | Median |
| 32 | 28% | 31% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 8% | 98% | |
| 24 | 11% | 90% | |
| 25 | 47% | 79% | Median |
| 26 | 2% | 33% | |
| 27 | 27% | 31% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 94% | |
| 12 | 10% | 92% | |
| 13 | 41% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 6% | 41% | |
| 15 | 23% | 35% | |
| 16 | 12% | 12% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 44% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 31% | 43% | |
| 13 | 4% | 12% | |
| 14 | 3% | 8% | |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 10 | 3% | 96% | |
| 11 | 15% | 93% | |
| 12 | 4% | 78% | |
| 13 | 70% | 73% | Median |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 10 | 66% | 89% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 24% | |
| 12 | 8% | 19% | |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 43% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 2% | 57% | |
| 11 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 46% | 48% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 29% | |
| 2 | 0% | 29% | |
| 3 | 0% | 29% | |
| 4 | 0% | 29% | |
| 5 | 0% | 29% | |
| 6 | 0% | 29% | |
| 7 | 0% | 29% | |
| 8 | 5% | 29% | |
| 9 | 22% | 24% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 79 | 68% | 73–80 | 73–80 | 72–82 | 68–83 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 79 | 68% | 73–80 | 73–80 | 72–82 | 68–83 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 73 | 42% | 68–79 | 67–79 | 66–79 | 65–79 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 67 | 0.1% | 64–71 | 63–71 | 62–71 | 58–72 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 67 | 0.1% | 64–71 | 63–71 | 62–71 | 58–72 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 48 | 0% | 41–54 | 41–54 | 41–54 | 40–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 48 | 0% | 41–54 | 41–54 | 41–54 | 40–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 43 | 0% | 41–48 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 36–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 43 | 0% | 41–48 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 36–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 45 | 0% | 39–48 | 39–48 | 37–48 | 37–48 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 41 | 0% | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–45 | 34–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 36 | 0% | 32–45 | 31–45 | 31–45 | 30–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 36 | 0% | 32–45 | 31–45 | 31–45 | 30–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 0 | 32 | 0% | 31–37 | 30–40 | 30–41 | 26–41 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 32 | 0% | 31–37 | 30–40 | 30–41 | 26–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 26–36 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 73 | 21% | 97% | |
| 74 | 7% | 75% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 76 | 8% | 68% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 60% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 60% | |
| 79 | 39% | 58% | |
| 80 | 14% | 18% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 21% | 97% | |
| 74 | 7% | 75% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 76 | 8% | 68% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 60% | Median |
| 78 | 2% | 60% | |
| 79 | 39% | 58% | |
| 80 | 14% | 18% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 70 | 2% | 90% | |
| 71 | 15% | 88% | |
| 72 | 2% | 73% | |
| 73 | 22% | 71% | |
| 74 | 6% | 49% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 43% | |
| 76 | 2% | 42% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 40% | Median |
| 78 | 0.3% | 39% | |
| 79 | 39% | 39% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 95% | |
| 64 | 24% | 91% | |
| 65 | 2% | 67% | |
| 66 | 3% | 65% | Median |
| 67 | 43% | 62% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 71 | 17% | 18% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 95% | |
| 64 | 24% | 91% | |
| 65 | 2% | 67% | |
| 66 | 3% | 65% | Median |
| 67 | 43% | 62% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 71 | 17% | 18% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 21% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 43 | 2% | 75% | |
| 44 | 4% | 73% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 46 | 2% | 69% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 67% | |
| 48 | 48% | 65% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 51 | 2% | 16% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 54 | 13% | 14% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 21% | 98% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 43 | 2% | 75% | |
| 44 | 4% | 73% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 46 | 2% | 69% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 67% | |
| 48 | 48% | 65% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 51 | 2% | 16% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 54 | 13% | 14% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 23% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 75% | Median |
| 43 | 41% | 72% | |
| 44 | 10% | 31% | |
| 45 | 2% | 21% | |
| 46 | 4% | 19% | |
| 47 | 5% | 15% | |
| 48 | 4% | 10% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 50 | 5% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 23% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 75% | Median |
| 43 | 41% | 72% | |
| 44 | 10% | 31% | |
| 45 | 2% | 21% | |
| 46 | 4% | 19% | |
| 47 | 5% | 15% | |
| 48 | 4% | 10% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 50 | 5% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 8% | 96% | |
| 40 | 3% | 88% | |
| 41 | 22% | 84% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 62% | |
| 43 | 4% | 61% | |
| 44 | 4% | 58% | |
| 45 | 11% | 54% | |
| 46 | 3% | 43% | Median |
| 47 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 48 | 39% | 39% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 37 | 4% | 88% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 39 | 8% | 83% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 41 | 28% | 74% | |
| 42 | 3% | 46% | Median |
| 43 | 40% | 43% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 24% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 35 | 2% | 69% | Median |
| 36 | 39% | 67% | |
| 37 | 2% | 28% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 25% | Last Result |
| 39 | 10% | 25% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 43 | 3% | 14% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 45 | 10% | 10% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 24% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 35 | 2% | 69% | Median |
| 36 | 39% | 67% | |
| 37 | 2% | 28% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 25% | Last Result |
| 39 | 10% | 25% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 43 | 3% | 14% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 45 | 10% | 10% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 39% | 95% | Median |
| 32 | 23% | 56% | |
| 33 | 3% | 33% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 35 | 12% | 29% | |
| 36 | 4% | 17% | |
| 37 | 7% | 13% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 5% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 39% | 95% | Median |
| 32 | 23% | 56% | |
| 33 | 3% | 33% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 35 | 12% | 29% | |
| 36 | 4% | 17% | |
| 37 | 7% | 13% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 5% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 30 | 9% | 95% | |
| 31 | 7% | 86% | |
| 32 | 24% | 79% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 55% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 35 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 49% | 50% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 6–9 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%