Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Nova 24TV, 12–14 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 24.8% 31.2% 29.1–33.5% 28.5–34.1% 28.0–34.6% 27.1–35.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 8.1% 17.7% 16.0–19.6% 15.6–20.1% 15.2–20.6% 14.4–21.5%
Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) 0.0% 16.9% 15.3–18.8% 14.8–19.3% 14.4–19.8% 13.7–20.7%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 5.5% 10.0% 8.7–11.5% 8.3–11.9% 8.0–12.3% 7.5–13.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 16.5% 6.4% 5.4–7.7% 5.1–8.1% 4.9–8.4% 4.5–9.1%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.7% 2.5–6.3%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 16.5% 4.1% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.7% 2.5–6.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) 4.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) 8.2% 2.5% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.6–3.9% 1.4–4.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.8%
Stranka modernega centra (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1% 0.4–2.4%
Dobra država (*) 0.5% 0.3% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 1 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) 1 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 83% 100% Last Result, Median
4 17% 17%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100% Last Result
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 1.3% 1.3% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka modernega centra (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobra država (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) – Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 5 3 0.3% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 1 2 0% 2 2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) – Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 82% 100% Median
4 18% 18%  
5 0.3% 0.3% Last Result, Majority
6 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100% Last Result
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations