Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Nova 24TV, 12–14 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) |
24.8% |
31.2% |
29.1–33.5% |
28.5–34.1% |
28.0–34.6% |
27.1–35.7% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D) |
8.1% |
17.7% |
16.0–19.6% |
15.6–20.1% |
15.2–20.6% |
14.4–21.5% |
Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) |
0.0% |
16.9% |
15.3–18.8% |
14.8–19.3% |
14.4–19.8% |
13.7–20.7% |
Levica (GUE/NGL) |
5.5% |
10.0% |
8.7–11.5% |
8.3–11.9% |
8.0–12.3% |
7.5–13.1% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) |
16.5% |
6.4% |
5.4–7.7% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.9–8.4% |
4.5–9.1% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) |
0.0% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.9–5.7% |
2.5–6.3% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) |
16.5% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.9–5.7% |
2.5–6.3% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) |
4.0% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.6–4.8% |
2.4–5.1% |
2.1–5.6% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) |
8.2% |
2.5% |
1.9–3.4% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.6–3.9% |
1.4–4.3% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.3% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.4% |
0.6–2.8% |
Stranka modernega centra (RE) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.1% |
0.4–2.4% |
Dobra država (*) |
0.5% |
0.3% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
83% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
17% |
17% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
9% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stranka modernega centra (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dobra država (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) – Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) |
5 |
3 |
0.3% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialni demokrati (S&D) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Levica (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) – Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
18% |
18% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result, Majority |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Parsifal
- Commissioner(s): Nova 24TV
- Fieldwork period: 12–14 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 762
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.23%