Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Levica | PSS | VESNA | SD | DeSUS | DL | LMŠ | SMC | SAB | GS | K | PoS | SDS–SLS | SDS | NSi | SLS | SNS | Res | PS | GOD | GOD–NLS | NLS | DD | ZS | ND | LRG | LIDE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 5–9% 0–1 |
3–6% 0 |
3–6% 0 |
6–14% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
19–27% 2–3 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
31–38% 3–5 |
5–10% 0–1 |
2–5% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
2–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
5–8% 0–1 |
3–6% 0 |
3–6% 0 |
6–10% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
19–25% 2–3 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
31–38% 4–5 |
5–8% 0–1 |
2–5% 0 |
1–4% 0 |
2–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
6–10% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–7% 0 |
9–14% 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
21–28% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
31–38% 3–5 |
7–11% 0–1 |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- Levica: Levica (GUE/NGL)
- PSS: Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
- VESNA: VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
- SD: Socialni demokrati (S&D)
- DeSUS: Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE)
- DL: Državljanska lista (RE)
- LMŠ: Lista Marjana Šarca (RE)
- SMC: Stranka modernega centra (RE)
- SAB: Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE)
- GS: Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
- K: Konkretno (RE)
- PoS: Povežimo Slovenijo (EPP)
- SDS–SLS: Slovenska demokratska stranka–Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
- SDS: Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
- NSi: Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
- SLS: Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
- SNS: Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
- Res: Resni.ca (NI)
- PS: Pozitivna Slovenija (*)
- GOD: Glas za otroke in družine (*)
- GOD–NLS: Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*)
- NLS: Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*)
- DD: Dobra država (*)
- ZS: Zeleni Slovenije (*)
- ND: Naša dežela (*)
- LRG: Lista Roberta Goloba (*)
- LIDE: Liberalni demokrati (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.2–9.0% | 4.9–9.4% | 4.4–10.2% |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.7–5.6% | 2.4–6.1% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.7% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.3–6.4% | 2.9–7.0% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.6% | 7.0–12.5% | 6.6–13.1% | 6.3–13.6% | 5.7–14.5% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Državljanska lista (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stranka modernega centra (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 22.9% | 20.2–25.9% | 19.5–26.6% | 19.0–27.2% | 18.0–28.4% |
| Konkretno (RE) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
| Povežimo Slovenijo (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka–Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 34.7% | 32.4–37.0% | 31.8–37.7% | 31.2–38.2% | 30.1–39.4% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 5.6–9.6% | 5.2–10.1% | 4.9–10.5% | 4.4–11.3% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.4–5.3% | 2.1–5.8% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.2–4.2% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.0–4.6% | 1.7–5.1% |
| Pozitivna Slovenija (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Glas za otroke in družine (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dobra država (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Zeleni Slovenije (*) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% | 0.4–2.6% |
| Naša dežela (*) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% | 0.4–2.6% |
| Lista Roberta Goloba (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Liberalni demokrati (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 26% | 98.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 51% | 73% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 20% | 22% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 39% | 96% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 45% | 57% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 13% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 38% | 93% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 40% | 55% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 13% | 15% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 53% | 96% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 39% | 43% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 99.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 26% | 90% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 32% | 64% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 22% | 32% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Konkretno (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 15% | 96% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 19% | 81% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 12% | 62% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 16% | 40% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 14% | 24% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 7% | 10% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Zeleni Slovenije (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 21% | 21% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 57% | 84% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 25% | 27% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 8% | 99.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 21% | 91% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 21% | 69% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 21% | 48% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 17% | 28% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 8% | 96% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 15% | 88% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 21% | 74% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 21% | 53% | Median |
| 35.5–36.5% | 16% | 31% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 9% | 15% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% |
Naša dežela (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 21% | 21% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 9% | 95% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 14% | 86% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 16% | 72% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 15% | 40% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 12% | 25% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 8% | 13% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 29% | 29% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) page.
Državljanska lista (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Državljanska lista (RE) page.
Lista Marjana Šarca (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) page.
Stranka modernega centra (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra (RE) page.
Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) page.
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 18% | 100% | |
| 3 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Konkretno (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Povežimo Slovenijo (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo (EPP) page.
Slovenska demokratska stranka–Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka–Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 56% | 97% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 41% | Majority |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pozitivna Slovenija (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pozitivna Slovenija (*) page.
Glas za otroke in družine (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine (*) page.
Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*) page.
Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije (*) page.
Dobra država (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država (*) page.
Zeleni Slovenije (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Naša dežela (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Lista Roberta Goloba (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Roberta Goloba (*) page.
Liberalni demokrati (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalni demokrati (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) – Povežimo Slovenijo (EPP) – Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) – Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 88% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) – Državljanska lista (RE) – Gibanje Svoboda (RE) – Konkretno (RE) – Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) – Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) – Stranka modernega centra (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dobra država () – Glas za otroke in družine () – Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije () – Liberalni demokrati () – Lista Roberta Goloba () – Naša dežela () – Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije () – Pozitivna Slovenija () – Zeleni Slovenije (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) – Povežimo Slovenijo (EPP) – Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) – Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 12% | 100% | |
| 5 | 85% | 88% | Median, Majority |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) – Državljanska lista (RE) – Gibanje Svoboda (RE) – Konkretno (RE) – Lista Marjana Šarca (RE) – Stranka Alenke Bratušek (RE) – Stranka modernega centra (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 18% | 100% | |
| 3 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 71% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 29% | 29% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dobra država () – Glas za otroke in družine () – Glas za otroke in družine–Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije () – Liberalni demokrati () – Lista Roberta Goloba () – Naša dežela () – Nova ljudska stranka Slovenije () – Pozitivna Slovenija () – Zeleni Slovenije (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 2
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 2.26%