Socialni demokrati (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 10.8% | 9.1–12.7% | 8.6–13.3% | 8.3–13.7% | 7.6–14.7% |
9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
11.6% | 10.2–13.3% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.4–14.2% | 8.8–15.0% |
2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
9.9% | 8.6–11.5% | 8.3–11.9% | 8.0–12.3% | 7.4–13.1% |
18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
11.3% | 9.9–13.0% | 9.5–13.4% | 9.1–13.9% | 8.5–14.7% |
4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
9.1% | 7.9–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.2–11.5% | 6.7–12.2% |
21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
9.8% | 8.5–11.4% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.8–12.2% | 7.3–13.0% |
14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
9.9% | 8.5–11.4% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.9–12.3% | 7.3–13.1% |
30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialni demokrati (S&D).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 4% | 99.6% | |
8.5–9.5% | 14% | 96% | |
9.5–10.5% | 24% | 81% | |
10.5–11.5% | 26% | 57% | Median |
11.5–12.5% | 19% | 31% | |
12.5–13.5% | 9% | 13% | |
13.5–14.5% | 3% | 3% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialni demokrati (S&D).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 99.1% | 99.8% | Median |
2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
3 | 0% | 0% |