Socialni demokrati (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 9.6% | 7.0–12.5% | 6.6–13.1% | 6.3–13.6% | 5.7–14.5% |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
7.8% | 6.6–9.2% | 6.3–9.6% | 6.0–10.0% | 5.5–10.7% |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
11.4% | 10.0–13.1% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.3–14.0% | 8.6–14.8% |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
9.5% | 8.2–11.0% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.5–11.8% | 7.0–12.6% |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
10.0% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.4–12.1% | 8.0–12.5% | 7.5–13.2% |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
12.9% | 11.3–14.7% | 10.9–15.2% | 10.5–15.6% | 9.8–16.5% |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
10.1% | 8.8–11.6% | 8.4–12.1% | 8.1–12.5% | 7.5–13.3% |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 4.9–9.6% |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
10.9% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.8–13.4% | 8.1–14.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialni demokrati (S&D).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 4% | 99.7% | |
6.5–7.5% | 15% | 96% | |
7.5–8.5% | 19% | 81% | |
8.5–9.5% | 12% | 62% | |
9.5–10.5% | 11% | 51% | Median |
10.5–11.5% | 16% | 40% | |
11.5–12.5% | 14% | 24% | |
12.5–13.5% | 7% | 10% | |
13.5–14.5% | 2% | 3% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialni demokrati (S&D).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
3 | 0% | 0% |