Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | ÖVP | SPÖ | FPÖ | Grüne | NEOS | JETZT | GILT | HC | BIER | KPÖ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 2019 | General Election | 34.6% 7 |
23.9% 5 |
17.2% 3 |
14.1% 2 |
8.4% 1 |
1.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 17–23% 4–5 |
21–27% 4–6 |
24–30% 5–7 |
10–14% 2–3 |
11–15% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
| 22–25 April 2024 | Market Der Standard |
17–23% 4–5 |
21–27% 4–6 |
24–30% 5–7 |
10–14% 2–3 |
11–15% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
| 26 May 2019 | General Election | 34.6% 7 |
23.9% 5 |
17.2% 3 |
14.1% 2 |
8.4% 1 |
1.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- ÖVP: Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
- SPÖ: Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
- FPÖ: Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID)
- Grüne: Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
- NEOS: NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
- JETZT: JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
- GILT: Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)
- HC: Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)
- BIER: Bierpartei (*)
- KPÖ: Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 34.6% | 20.0% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.3% | 17.4–22.8% | 16.6–23.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 23.9% | 24.0% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.2–27.0% | 20.4–27.9% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) | 17.2% | 27.0% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% | 24.1–30.1% | 23.2–31.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.3–14.0% | 10.0–14.4% | 9.4–15.1% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 8.4% | 13.0% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.8–15.4% | 10.2–16.2% |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bierpartei (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.8% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 11% | 97% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 23% | 86% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 28% | 63% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 21% | 35% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 13% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 22% | 85% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 27% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 24.5–25.5% | 21% | 36% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 11% | 16% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 12% | 95% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 22% | 83% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 26% | 61% | Median |
| 27.5–28.5% | 20% | 36% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 11% | 16% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 24% | 92% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 34% | 67% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 23% | 33% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 8% | 10% | Last Result |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 25% | 90% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 34% | 66% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 22% | 32% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 61% | 81% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 19% | 21% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 7 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 1 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bierpartei (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 80% | 98% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 79% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 16% | 16% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 19% | 100% | |
| 6 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 75% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 25% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 42% | 100% | |
| 3 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) page.
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) page.
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) page.
Bierpartei (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID) | 3 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 5 | 5 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 7 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 2 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 1 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (ID)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 19% | 100% | |
| 6 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 79% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 16% | 16% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 80% | 98% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 75% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 25% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 42% | 100% | |
| 3 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 1
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.88%