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Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) KPÖ KEINE Grüne JETZT SPÖ NEOS ÖVP FPÖ BIER DNA LMP GILT HC
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
6–10%
1–2
N/A
N/A
18–23%
4–5
8–14%
1–3
18–26%
4–5
30–39%
6–9
0–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17–18 December 2024 IFDD
Kronen Zeitung
2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
7–10%
1–2
N/A
N/A
18–22%
4–5
8–12%
1–2
19–23%
4–5
34–40%
7–9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16–17 December 2024 Market
ÖSTERREICH
2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
7–9%
1–2
N/A
N/A
17–21%
4–5
9–11%
2
18–22%
4–5
34–38%
7–9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2–4 December 2024 Unique Research
Heute
1–3%
0
N/A
N/A
6–10%
1–2
N/A
N/A
18–24%
4–5
10–14%
2–3
17–23%
4–5
32–38%
7–9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2–4 December 2024 INSA
eXXpress
2–4%
0–1
N/A
N/A
6–10%
1–2
N/A
N/A
18–23%
4–5
7–11%
1–2
19–24%
4–5
31–37%
7–8
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
25–26 November 2024 OGM N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6–9%
1
N/A
N/A
18–23%
4–5
10–14%
2–3
21–27%
4–6
29–35%
6–8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.9% 1.9–3.6% 1.7–3.8% 1.5–4.0% 1.2–4.4%
Wandel (GUE/NGL) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.9% 6.7–9.0% 6.4–9.4% 6.1–9.7% 5.5–10.3%
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0.0% 20.0% 18.4–21.9% 18.0–22.5% 17.7–23.0% 17.0–24.0%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0.0% 10.5% 8.8–12.8% 8.4–13.3% 8.0–13.8% 7.4–14.6%
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0.0% 20.9% 19.1–24.1% 18.6–24.9% 18.2–25.6% 17.3–26.7%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0.0% 35.0% 31.7–37.6% 30.9–38.2% 30.3–38.8% 29.2–39.8%
Bierpartei (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 3% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 26% 97%  
2.5–3.5% 59% 71% Median
3.5–4.5% 12% 12%  
4.5–5.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.5% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 7% 99.5%  
6.5–7.5% 28% 92%  
7.5–8.5% 43% 65% Median
8.5–9.5% 18% 22%  
9.5–10.5% 3% 3%  
10.5–11.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.1% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 99.9%  
17.5–18.5% 11% 98%  
18.5–19.5% 25% 87%  
19.5–20.5% 28% 62% Median
20.5–21.5% 20% 34%  
21.5–22.5% 10% 14%  
22.5–23.5% 3% 4%  
23.5–24.5% 0.9% 1.1%  
24.5–25.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0.1% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0.7% 99.9%  
29.5–30.5% 2% 99.1%  
30.5–31.5% 5% 97%  
31.5–32.5% 9% 91%  
32.5–33.5% 11% 83%  
33.5–34.5% 14% 71%  
34.5–35.5% 16% 58% Median
35.5–36.5% 18% 41%  
36.5–37.5% 13% 24%  
37.5–38.5% 7% 10%  
38.5–39.5% 3% 3%  
39.5–40.5% 0.7% 0.8%  
40.5–41.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
41.5–42.5% 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0.8% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 6% 99.1%  
8.5–9.5% 18% 93%  
9.5–10.5% 27% 75% Median
10.5–11.5% 20% 48%  
11.5–12.5% 15% 28%  
12.5–13.5% 9% 13%  
13.5–14.5% 3% 4%  
14.5–15.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
15.5–16.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.1% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.7% 99.9%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 99.2%  
18.5–19.5% 13% 96%  
19.5–20.5% 23% 83%  
20.5–21.5% 22% 59% Median
21.5–22.5% 14% 37%  
22.5–23.5% 9% 23%  
23.5–24.5% 7% 14%  
24.5–25.5% 4% 7%  
25.5–26.5% 2% 3%  
26.5–27.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
27.5–28.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 0%  

Bierpartei (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 3% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 89% 97% Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Wandel (GUE/NGL) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0 2 2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0 8 7–8 7–9 6–9 6–9
Bierpartei (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.1% 1.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Wandel (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wandel (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 76% 100% Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.8% 100%  
4 79% 99.2% Median
5 20% 20%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 86% 94% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 53% 99.6% Median
5 45% 46%  
6 1.2% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 3% 100%  
7 31% 97%  
8 57% 66% Median
9 9% 9%  
10 0% 0%  

Bierpartei (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) 0 8 0% 7–8 7–9 6–9 6–9
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) 0 2 0% 2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 3% 100%  
7 31% 97%  
8 57% 66% Median
9 9% 9%  
10 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.8% 100%  
4 79% 99.2% Median
5 20% 20%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 53% 99.6% Median
5 45% 46%  
6 1.2% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 86% 94% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 76% 100% Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information