Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 8 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | KPÖ | KEINE | Grüne | JETZT | SPÖ | NEOS | ÖVP | FPÖ | BIER | DNA | LMP | GILT | HC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 1–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
19–23% 4–5 |
8–11% 1–2 |
20–25% 4–6 |
30–35% 6–8 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
6–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
19–24% 4–5 |
7–11% 1–2 |
20–25% 4–5 |
29–35% 6–8 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
7–9% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
19–23% 4–5 |
8–10% 1–2 |
21–25% 4–6 |
31–35% 7–8 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- KPÖ: Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
- KEINE: Wandel (GUE/NGL)
- Grüne: Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
- JETZT: JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
- SPÖ: Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
- NEOS: NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
- ÖVP: Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
- FPÖ: Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
- BIER: Bierpartei (*)
- DNA: Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*)
- LMP: Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)
- GILT: Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)
- HC: Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.4–3.7% | 1.2–4.0% |
| Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.2–10.2% |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 21.0% | 19.7–22.5% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.9–23.3% | 18.1–24.2% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.1–11.3% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 22.6% | 20.9–24.1% | 20.4–24.5% | 19.9–24.8% | 19.1–25.5% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 32.6% | 30.7–34.2% | 30.1–34.7% | 29.6–35.0% | 28.7–35.8% |
| Bierpartei (*) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Bierpartei (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 11% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 73% | 89% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 16% | 16% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 5% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 41% | 95% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 48% | 53% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 22% | 98% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 52% | 76% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 21% | 24% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 24% | 91% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 36% | 67% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 23% | 31% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 23% | 98% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 49% | 74% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 22% | 25% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 6% | 98% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 14% | 92% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 26% | 77% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 28% | 51% | Median |
| 33.5–34.5% | 17% | 23% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 14% | 94% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 28% | 79% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 31% | 52% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 17% | 21% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Bierpartei (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Wandel (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wandel (GUE/NGL) page.
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) page.
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 47% | 100% | |
| 5 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 12% | 100% | |
| 5 | 85% | 88% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 72% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 25% | 25% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) page.
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) page.
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) page.
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 72% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 25% | 25% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 12% | 100% | |
| 5 | 85% | 88% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 47% | 100% | |
| 5 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 32% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 2
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 0.47%