Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | KPÖ | KEINE | Grüne | JETZT | SPÖ | NEOS | ÖVP | FPÖ | BIER | DNA | LMP | GILT | HC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
N/A | Poll Average | 2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
6–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
18–23% 4–5 |
8–14% 1–3 |
18–26% 4–5 |
30–39% 6–9 |
0–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
18–22% 4–5 |
8–12% 1–2 |
19–23% 4–5 |
34–40% 7–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
7–9% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
17–21% 4–5 |
9–11% 2 |
18–22% 4–5 |
34–38% 7–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
6–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
18–24% 4–5 |
10–14% 2–3 |
17–23% 4–5 |
32–38% 7–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
6–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
18–23% 4–5 |
7–11% 1–2 |
19–24% 4–5 |
31–37% 7–8 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
25–26 November 2024 | OGM | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
6–9% 1 |
N/A N/A |
18–23% 4–5 |
10–14% 2–3 |
21–27% 4–6 |
29–35% 6–8 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- KPÖ: Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
- KEINE: Wandel (GUE/NGL)
- Grüne: Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
- JETZT: JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
- SPÖ: Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
- NEOS: NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
- ÖVP: Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
- FPÖ: Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
- BIER: Bierpartei (*)
- DNA: Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*)
- LMP: Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)
- GILT: Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)
- HC: Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.7–3.8% | 1.5–4.0% | 1.2–4.4% |
Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.9% | 6.7–9.0% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.1–9.7% | 5.5–10.3% |
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.9% | 18.0–22.5% | 17.7–23.0% | 17.0–24.0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0.0% | 10.5% | 8.8–12.8% | 8.4–13.3% | 8.0–13.8% | 7.4–14.6% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 20.9% | 19.1–24.1% | 18.6–24.9% | 18.2–25.6% | 17.3–26.7% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 35.0% | 31.7–37.6% | 30.9–38.2% | 30.3–38.8% | 29.2–39.8% |
Bierpartei (*) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 3% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 26% | 97% | |
2.5–3.5% | 59% | 71% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 12% | 12% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 7% | 99.5% | |
6.5–7.5% | 28% | 92% | |
7.5–8.5% | 43% | 65% | Median |
8.5–9.5% | 18% | 22% | |
9.5–10.5% | 3% | 3% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
17.5–18.5% | 11% | 98% | |
18.5–19.5% | 25% | 87% | |
19.5–20.5% | 28% | 62% | Median |
20.5–21.5% | 20% | 34% | |
21.5–22.5% | 10% | 14% | |
22.5–23.5% | 3% | 4% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
28.5–29.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
29.5–30.5% | 2% | 99.1% | |
30.5–31.5% | 5% | 97% | |
31.5–32.5% | 9% | 91% | |
32.5–33.5% | 11% | 83% | |
33.5–34.5% | 14% | 71% | |
34.5–35.5% | 16% | 58% | Median |
35.5–36.5% | 18% | 41% | |
36.5–37.5% | 13% | 24% | |
37.5–38.5% | 7% | 10% | |
38.5–39.5% | 3% | 3% | |
39.5–40.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
40.5–41.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 6% | 99.1% | |
8.5–9.5% | 18% | 93% | |
9.5–10.5% | 27% | 75% | Median |
10.5–11.5% | 20% | 48% | |
11.5–12.5% | 15% | 28% | |
12.5–13.5% | 9% | 13% | |
13.5–14.5% | 3% | 4% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
17.5–18.5% | 4% | 99.2% | |
18.5–19.5% | 13% | 96% | |
19.5–20.5% | 23% | 83% | |
20.5–21.5% | 22% | 59% | Median |
21.5–22.5% | 14% | 37% | |
22.5–23.5% | 9% | 23% | |
23.5–24.5% | 7% | 14% | |
24.5–25.5% | 4% | 7% | |
25.5–26.5% | 2% | 3% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 89% | 97% | Median |
1.5–2.5% | 9% | 9% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
Bierpartei (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 98.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
2 | 0% | 0% |
Wandel (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wandel (GUE/NGL) page.
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 76% | 100% | Median |
2 | 24% | 24% | |
3 | 0% | 0% |
JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) page.
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0.8% | 100% | |
4 | 79% | 99.2% | Median |
5 | 20% | 20% | |
6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 6% | 100% | |
2 | 86% | 94% | Median |
3 | 8% | 8% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
4 | 53% | 99.6% | Median |
5 | 45% | 46% | |
6 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 3% | 100% | |
7 | 31% | 97% | |
8 | 57% | 66% | Median |
9 | 9% | 9% | |
10 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei (*) page.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratisch – Neutral – Authentisch (*) page.
Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic (*) page.
Meine Stimme Gilt! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Meine Stimme Gilt! (*) page.
Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 3% | 100% | |
7 | 31% | 97% | |
8 | 57% | 66% | Median |
9 | 9% | 9% | |
10 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0.8% | 100% | |
4 | 79% | 99.2% | Median |
5 | 20% | 20% | |
6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
4 | 53% | 99.6% | Median |
5 | 45% | 46% | |
6 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (RE)
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 6% | 100% | |
2 | 86% | 94% | Median |
3 | 8% | 8% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) – JETZT–Liste Pilz (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 76% | 100% | Median |
2 | 24% | 24% | |
3 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs (GUE/NGL) – Wandel (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 99.1% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 5
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 10,485,760
- Error estimate: 0.81%