Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 13–19 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0.0% 38.1% 36.0–40.3% 35.4–40.9% 34.9–41.4% 33.9–42.5%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 12.2% 10.9–13.7% 10.5–14.2% 10.2–14.6% 9.5–15.3%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 11.4% 10.1–12.9% 9.7–13.3% 9.4–13.7% 8.8–14.4%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.1% 6.7–11.8%
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0.0% 6.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.2% 5.1–8.5% 4.7–9.1%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6% 3.9–6.9% 3.5–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0 7 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Демократична България (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Прогресивна България (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 19% 100%  
7 75% 81% Median
8 5% 5%  
9 0% 0% Majority

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 76% 99.8% Median
3 24% 24%  
4 0% 0%  

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 96% 99.7% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 32% 100%  
2 68% 68% Median
3 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 79% 83% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations