Продължаваме промяната (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.5% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.7–9.7% | 5.2–10.4% |
| 17–21 March 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
7.9% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.3–9.9% | 5.8–10.6% |
| 12–20 March 2026 | Алфа рисърч bTV |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 13–19 March 2026 | Тренд 24 часа |
7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 7–16 March 2026 | Мяра | 7.8% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.4–9.5% | 6.1–9.8% | 5.6–10.5% |
| 7–15 March 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.0% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–12.0% |
| 7–12 March 2026 | Sova Harris Trud |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 23 February–2 March 2026 | Алфа рисърч | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 10–28 February 2026 | Gallup International | 6.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.5–8.5% | 5.2–8.8% | 4.8–9.5% |
| 17–24 February 2026 | Център за анализи и маркетинг | 8.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.3% | 6.2–10.9% |
| 12–18 February 2026 | Тренд 24 часа |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 9–15 February 2026 | Мяра | 7.6% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.2–9.3% | 6.0–9.7% | 5.5–10.3% |
| 7–13 February 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.3% | 8.1–10.8% | 7.8–11.2% | 7.5–11.5% | 7.0–12.3% |
| 18–29 December 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 December 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 12.3% | 11.0–13.9% | 10.6–14.3% | 10.3–14.7% | 9.7–15.5% |
| 3–7 December 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
9.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 9.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Продължаваме промяната (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 15% | 98% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 35% | 83% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 32% | 48% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 13% | 16% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 17–21 March 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 12–20 March 2026 | Алфа рисърч bTV |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 13–19 March 2026 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 7–16 March 2026 | Мяра | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 7–15 March 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–12 March 2026 | Sova Harris Trud |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 23 February–2 March 2026 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 10–28 February 2026 | Gallup International | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 17–24 February 2026 | Център за анализи и маркетинг | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 12–18 February 2026 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 9–15 February 2026 | Мяра | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 7–13 February 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–29 December 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 5–12 December 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 3–7 December 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
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| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | |||||
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | |||||
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | |||||
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
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| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | |||||
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
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| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | |||||
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
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| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | |||||
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | |||||
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
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| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | |||||
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
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| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
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| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | |||||
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | |||||
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
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| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | |||||
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
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| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Продължаваме промяната (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 75% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 22% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |