Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 26.4% | 24.3–28.5% | 23.7–29.1% | 23.2–29.7% | 22.2–30.6% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.5–28.5% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 26.7% | 25.0–28.5% | 24.6–29.0% | 24.2–29.5% | 23.4–30.3% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.8% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
27.2% | 25.5–29.1% | 25.0–29.6% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.7–31.0% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
25.6% | 23.7–27.7% | 23.2–28.3% | 22.7–28.8% | 21.8–29.8% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 27.6% | 25.8–29.5% | 25.3–30.0% | 24.9–30.5% | 24.1–31.4% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 25.7% | 23.8–27.7% | 23.2–28.3% | 22.8–28.8% | 21.9–29.8% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.4–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.5–28.5% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
26.2% | 24.5–28.0% | 24.0–28.5% | 23.6–29.0% | 22.8–29.9% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
25.2% | 23.3–27.2% | 22.8–27.8% | 22.3–28.3% | 21.4–29.3% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 9% | 96% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 17% | 87% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 23% | 70% | Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 22% | 47% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 15% | 25% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 7% | 10% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–7 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–7 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 72% | 96% | Median |
| 6 | 24% | 24% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |