Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 14–22 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0.0% 36.1% 34.2–38.1% 33.6–38.7% 33.2–39.2% 32.3–40.1%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.2–18.1%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–14.0% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.5%
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0.0% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.5%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.6% 5.0–9.1%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 3.3% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.0–5.0%
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 0.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Величие (*) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.6–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0 7 7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 3 3 3 2–3 2–4
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Демократична България (EPP) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Възраждане (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Прогресивна България (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 7% 100%  
7 88% 93% Median
8 5% 5%  
9 0% 0% Majority

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 96% 97% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 26% 100%  
3 74% 74% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 69% 95% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 92% 100% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 80% 84% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 80% 84% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations