Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 10–13 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
23.0% |
21.5–24.6% |
21.1–25.1% |
20.8–25.5% |
20.1–26.2% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.7% |
11.6–14.0% |
11.2–14.4% |
11.0–14.7% |
10.5–15.3% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
10.5% |
9.4–11.7% |
9.1–12.0% |
8.9–12.3% |
8.4–12.9% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
9.7% |
8.7–10.8% |
8.4–11.2% |
8.1–11.4% |
7.7–12.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.3% |
7.9–10.6% |
7.7–10.9% |
7.2–11.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.2–9.2% |
7.0–9.5% |
6.7–9.8% |
6.3–10.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.5% |
6.6–8.5% |
6.4–8.8% |
6.1–9.1% |
5.7–9.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.0% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.8–7.5% |
4.5–8.0% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
5.0–6.7% |
4.7–6.9% |
4.6–7.2% |
4.2–7.6% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.1% |
2.6–4.4% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.3–4.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.5–2.8% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.2–3.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.4% |
1.3–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.0–3.0% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
71% |
97% |
Median |
5 |
25% |
25% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
85% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
15% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
30% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
2–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
71% |
97% |
Median |
5 |
25% |
25% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
25% |
100% |
|
3 |
61% |
75% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
15% |
15% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
- Commissioner(s): B.T.
- Fieldwork period: 10–13 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1242
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.26%