Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 22–28 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
20.8% |
19.7–21.9% |
19.4–22.2% |
19.1–22.5% |
18.7–23.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.1% |
12.2–14.0% |
12.0–14.3% |
11.8–14.5% |
11.3–15.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
11.0% |
10.2–11.9% |
10.0–12.1% |
9.8–12.4% |
9.4–12.8% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.1% |
8.4–9.9% |
8.2–10.2% |
8.0–10.4% |
7.7–10.8% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
8.3–9.8% |
8.1–10.1% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.6–10.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.9% |
8.2–9.7% |
8.0–9.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.4–10.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.9–8.4% |
6.7–8.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.3–9.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.5% |
4.9–6.2% |
4.7–6.3% |
4.6–6.5% |
4.4–6.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.6–6.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.9% |
2.8–4.0% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.2% |
2.2–3.3% |
2.1–3.5% |
1.9–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.9–2.7% |
1.8–2.8% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.1% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
32% |
100% |
|
2 |
68% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
74% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
26% |
26% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
28% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
71% |
72% |
Median |
6 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
74% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
26% |
26% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2262
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.22%