Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 19–26 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
21.1% |
20.0–22.3% |
19.7–22.6% |
19.4–22.9% |
18.9–23.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
15.3% |
14.3–16.3% |
14.1–16.6% |
13.8–16.9% |
13.4–17.4% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
12.6% |
11.7–13.6% |
11.5–13.8% |
11.3–14.1% |
10.9–14.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.0% |
8.3–9.8% |
8.0–10.1% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.5–10.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.9–9.4% |
7.7–9.6% |
7.5–9.9% |
7.1–10.3% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
6.6% |
6.0–7.3% |
5.8–7.6% |
5.6–7.7% |
5.3–8.1% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.4% |
5.8–7.1% |
5.6–7.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.2–7.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.7% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.8–7.5% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.2% |
3.7–4.8% |
3.6–5.0% |
3.4–5.1% |
3.2–5.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.1% |
3.6–4.7% |
3.5–4.9% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.7–3.6% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.4–3.9% |
2.2–4.2% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
2.0–2.9% |
1.9–3.0% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
99.2% |
99.2% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
39% |
100% |
|
3 |
61% |
61% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
36% |
36% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
38% |
38% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
99.2% |
99.2% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
39% |
100% |
|
3 |
61% |
61% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 19–26 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2165
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.14%