Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 24–30 April 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
21.6% |
20.0–23.4% |
19.6–23.9% |
19.2–24.3% |
18.5–25.1% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.9% |
13.6–16.4% |
13.2–16.9% |
12.8–17.3% |
12.2–18.0% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.2–13.0% |
8.7–13.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
10.8% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.3–12.5% |
9.0–12.8% |
8.5–13.5% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.7–11.4% |
7.2–12.0% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.3% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.3–9.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.2% |
4.0–7.8% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
13% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
85% |
87% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
42% |
100% |
|
3 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
43% |
100% |
|
2 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
22% |
100% |
|
2 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
19% |
100% |
|
1 |
81% |
81% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
73% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
27% |
27% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–5 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
3–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
32% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
44% |
68% |
Median |
5 |
24% |
24% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
13% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
85% |
87% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
42% |
100% |
|
3 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
22% |
100% |
|
2 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 April 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%