Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 15–21 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
21.5% |
19.9–23.2% |
19.5–23.7% |
19.1–24.1% |
18.3–25.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.6% |
13.3–16.1% |
12.9–16.6% |
12.6–16.9% |
12.0–17.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.8–13.0% |
9.5–13.4% |
8.9–14.1% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.4% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
9.2% |
8.2–10.5% |
7.8–10.9% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.1–11.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.1–9.3% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.5–8.1% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–8.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.7% |
4.4–8.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–6.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–5.0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
25% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
73% |
75% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
49% |
100% |
|
3 |
51% |
51% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
54% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
46% |
46% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
31% |
31% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
99.0% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
53% |
99.3% |
Median |
5 |
44% |
46% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
25% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
73% |
75% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
49% |
100% |
|
3 |
51% |
51% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
31% |
31% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
99.0% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–21 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1019
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.15%