Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 16–22 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
22.8% |
21.6–24.1% |
21.2–24.5% |
20.9–24.8% |
20.4–25.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.8% |
11.9–13.9% |
11.6–14.2% |
11.4–14.4% |
10.9–14.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.3% |
10.4–12.3% |
10.1–12.6% |
9.9–12.8% |
9.5–13.3% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.9% |
8.1–9.8% |
7.9–10.1% |
7.7–10.3% |
7.3–10.7% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
8.5% |
7.7–9.4% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.3–9.9% |
7.0–10.3% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.0–9.1% |
6.8–9.3% |
6.5–9.7% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
7.0% |
6.3–7.8% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.9–8.3% |
5.6–8.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.5% |
5.8–7.3% |
5.6–7.5% |
5.5–7.7% |
5.2–8.1% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.8% |
3.3–4.4% |
3.1–4.6% |
3.0–4.8% |
2.8–5.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.6% |
3.1–4.2% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.8–4.5% |
2.6–4.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.3% |
2.2–3.4% |
2.1–3.6% |
1.9–3.9% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.8–3.7% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.8% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
9% |
100% |
|
5 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
36% |
100% |
|
3 |
64% |
64% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
98.9% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
39% |
39% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.3% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Venstre (RE) – Liberal Alliance (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.9% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
94% |
99.1% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
9% |
100% |
|
5 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
36% |
100% |
|
3 |
64% |
64% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
39% |
39% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.3% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 16–22 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1842
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.01%