Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 28 August–3 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
23.9% |
22.3–25.7% |
21.8–26.2% |
21.4–26.7% |
20.6–27.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.4% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.8–14.2% |
10.5–14.6% |
9.9–15.3% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
10.9% |
9.7–12.2% |
9.4–12.6% |
9.1–13.0% |
8.6–13.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.9% |
8.7–11.2% |
8.4–11.6% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.5% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.0% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–12.0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.4–6.9% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
10% |
10% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
96% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
6 |
0% |
5–6 |
5–6 |
5–6 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
10% |
98% |
|
6 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
5 |
10% |
10% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 August–3 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.22%