Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 30 October–5 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
23.0% |
21.4–24.8% |
20.9–25.2% |
20.5–25.7% |
19.7–26.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.0% |
11.7–14.4% |
11.3–14.8% |
11.0–15.2% |
10.5–15.9% |
Liberal Alliance (RE) |
2.9% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.3% |
10.3–13.7% |
10.0–14.0% |
9.5–14.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
6.9–11.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.8–11.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.1–10.5% |
6.6–11.2% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.0–8.0% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.5–8.6% |
5.1–9.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.8% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–6.0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.1% |
1.2–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
27% |
100% |
|
5 |
71% |
73% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
67% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
33% |
33% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
99.7% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
83% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
17% |
17% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
45% |
100% |
|
2 |
55% |
55% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
|
1 |
95% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Liberal Alliance (RE) – Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
33% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
6 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
27% |
100% |
|
5 |
71% |
73% |
Median |
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
67% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
33% |
33% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
83% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
17% |
17% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 October–5 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1018
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.86%