Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 10–15 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
Venstre 23.4% 24.2% 22.6–26.0% 22.1–26.5% 21.7–27.0% 20.9–27.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 43–48 42–51 42–51 40–51
Venstre 43 43 41–49 40–49 39–49 37–49
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–20 15–20 14–20 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–16 12–17 12–17 12–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 12–15 11–16 11–18 9–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 11–16 10–17 10–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 4–6 4–6 0–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 5 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–8
Stram Kurs 0 5 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 1.2% 99.6%  
41 0.6% 98%  
42 5% 98%  
43 18% 93%  
44 28% 76% Median
45 14% 48%  
46 5% 34%  
47 16% 29%  
48 6% 13% Last Result
49 0.9% 7%  
50 0.3% 6%  
51 5% 5%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.7%  
38 0.3% 99.5%  
39 4% 99.2%  
40 3% 95%  
41 23% 92%  
42 6% 69%  
43 17% 63% Last Result, Median
44 11% 46%  
45 17% 35%  
46 2% 18%  
47 6% 16%  
48 0.5% 11%  
49 10% 10%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.5%  
15 13% 97%  
16 35% 84% Last Result, Median
17 21% 48%  
18 9% 28%  
19 4% 19%  
20 13% 15%  
21 0.9% 1.4%  
22 0.2% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 6% 99.7%  
13 17% 94%  
14 11% 77% Last Result
15 29% 66% Median
16 29% 37%  
17 6% 8%  
18 1.5% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.7% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.3%  
11 6% 98%  
12 28% 92%  
13 35% 64% Median
14 16% 29%  
15 6% 13%  
16 3% 7% Last Result
17 0.9% 4%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.2%  
12 18% 94% Last Result
13 31% 76% Median
14 32% 45%  
15 5% 13%  
16 6% 7%  
17 1.1% 1.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 3% 99.7%  
11 30% 97%  
12 14% 66%  
13 8% 52% Last Result, Median
14 34% 44%  
15 3% 10%  
16 4% 7%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 9% 95% Last Result
5 44% 87% Median
6 38% 42%  
7 3% 4%  
8 0.9% 1.0%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 33% 89%  
5 44% 56% Last Result, Median
6 8% 12%  
7 3% 4%  
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 22% 74%  
5 43% 51% Median
6 7% 9%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Median
1 0% 29%  
2 0% 29%  
3 0% 29%  
4 13% 29% Last Result
5 16% 17%  
6 0.2% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 26%  
2 0% 26%  
3 0% 26%  
4 25% 26%  
5 0.5% 0.6%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 93 95% 91–98 89–102 86–102 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 89 49% 87–94 86–97 85–97 81–98
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 73–82 73–82 73–85 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 71–82 71–82 71–85 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 73–82 72–83 70–84 68–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 76 0% 74–80 73–83 72–83 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 69–77 69–77 67–80 63–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 66–77 66–77 66–80 63–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 73 0% 69–77 69–79 68–79 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 59–65 58–67 58–69 55–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 54–63 54–63 54–65 53–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 54–63 54–63 50–63 50–63
Venstre 43 43 0% 41–49 40–49 39–49 37–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 3% 99.6%  
87 0.7% 97%  
88 0.8% 96%  
89 0.5% 95%  
90 3% 95% Majority
91 15% 91%  
92 4% 76%  
93 24% 72% Median
94 4% 47%  
95 22% 44%  
96 5% 21% Last Result
97 5% 16%  
98 1.1% 11%  
99 0.5% 10%  
100 3% 9%  
101 0.3% 6%  
102 5% 6%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 99.4%  
83 0.2% 99.0%  
84 0.5% 98.8%  
85 2% 98%  
86 5% 96%  
87 13% 91%  
88 14% 79% Median
89 15% 65%  
90 28% 49% Majority
91 5% 22% Last Result
92 5% 17%  
93 0.5% 12%  
94 4% 11%  
95 0.4% 8%  
96 0.6% 7%  
97 5% 7%  
98 1.5% 2%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.1%  
71 0.3% 98.9%  
72 0.4% 98.6%  
73 11% 98%  
74 0.5% 87% Median
75 23% 86%  
76 4% 63%  
77 2% 59%  
78 20% 57%  
79 14% 37% Last Result
80 4% 23%  
81 4% 19%  
82 10% 15%  
83 0.8% 5%  
84 0.7% 4%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.4% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.7% 99.5%  
70 0.2% 98.9%  
71 20% 98.7%  
72 0.5% 78%  
73 11% 78%  
74 3% 66% Median
75 4% 63%  
76 4% 59%  
77 3% 55%  
78 17% 52%  
79 14% 35% Last Result
80 4% 21%  
81 4% 18%  
82 10% 14%  
83 0.4% 4%  
84 0.3% 3%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.6% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 3% 99.2%  
71 0.5% 96%  
72 0.9% 96%  
73 15% 95%  
74 14% 80%  
75 2% 66%  
76 6% 64%  
77 5% 58% Median
78 12% 53%  
79 26% 41%  
80 1.3% 15% Last Result
81 4% 14%  
82 0.7% 10%  
83 5% 9%  
84 4% 4%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 0.4% 99.3%  
71 1.0% 98.9%  
72 2% 98%  
73 5% 96%  
74 5% 92%  
75 12% 87% Median
76 27% 75%  
77 14% 48%  
78 17% 34% Last Result
79 2% 17%  
80 5% 14%  
81 2% 9%  
82 0.6% 7%  
83 4% 6%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.6% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.4%  
65 0.1% 99.2%  
66 0.4% 99.1%  
67 2% 98.7%  
68 2% 97%  
69 8% 95% Median
70 21% 87%  
71 4% 66%  
72 19% 62%  
73 16% 43%  
74 4% 27%  
75 5% 22% Last Result
76 3% 17%  
77 10% 14%  
78 0.5% 4%  
79 0.6% 4%  
80 3% 3%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.2% 100%  
63 0.6% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.2%  
65 0.1% 99.0%  
66 20% 98.9%  
67 2% 78%  
68 4% 77%  
69 9% 72% Median
70 1.1% 64%  
71 4% 63%  
72 18% 58%  
73 16% 41%  
74 4% 25%  
75 5% 21% Last Result
76 2% 16%  
77 10% 13%  
78 0.2% 3%  
79 0.1% 3%  
80 3% 3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 1.0% 99.5%  
67 0.4% 98.5%  
68 1.0% 98%  
69 14% 97%  
70 14% 83%  
71 2% 69%  
72 12% 67% Median
73 12% 55%  
74 25% 43%  
75 0.9% 17% Last Result
76 5% 16%  
77 3% 12%  
78 2% 8%  
79 6% 6%  
80 0.1% 0.5%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.8%  
56 0.5% 99.4%  
57 1.2% 98.9%  
58 3% 98%  
59 6% 95%  
60 27% 88% Median
61 3% 61%  
62 21% 58%  
63 17% 37%  
64 4% 20% Last Result
65 8% 16%  
66 0.6% 9%  
67 3% 8%  
68 0.4% 5%  
69 4% 4%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.9% 99.5%  
54 24% 98.7%  
55 2% 75%  
56 13% 73% Median
57 1.4% 61%  
58 3% 59%  
59 18% 56% Last Result
60 13% 38%  
61 6% 26%  
62 7% 20%  
63 10% 13%  
64 0.3% 3%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.8% 1.0%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 2% 99.7%  
51 0.1% 97%  
52 0.6% 97%  
53 1.1% 97%  
54 23% 95%  
55 15% 73% Last Result
56 13% 58% Median
57 6% 45%  
58 6% 39%  
59 16% 33%  
60 0.9% 17%  
61 6% 17%  
62 0.7% 11%  
63 10% 10%  
64 0.1% 0.5%  
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.7%  
38 0.3% 99.5%  
39 4% 99.2%  
40 3% 95%  
41 23% 92%  
42 6% 69%  
43 17% 63% Last Result, Median
44 11% 46%  
45 17% 35%  
46 2% 18%  
47 6% 16%  
48 0.5% 11%  
49 10% 10%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations