Liberal Alliance
Voting Intentions
Last result: 2.3% (General Election of 5 June 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.6% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.3–9.4% | 6.1–9.8% | 5.6–10.6% |
| 27–31 October 2022 | Yougov | 6.9% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.6–8.4% | 5.3–8.9% |
| 31 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 7.7% | 7.2–8.2% | 7.1–8.4% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.7–8.8% |
| 31 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
7.3% | 6.8–7.8% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.3–8.4% |
| 25–27 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 27 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 21–25 October 2022 | Yougov | 7.1% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.0–8.4% | 5.8–8.7% | 5.5–9.2% |
| 22–24 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 24 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
8.3% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.8–10.0% |
| 19–21 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 7.5% | 6.5–8.8% | 6.2–9.1% | 6.0–9.4% | 5.6–10.0% |
| 20 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.2–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.5% |
| 15–18 October 2022 | Yougov | 6.8% | 6.0–7.7% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.5–8.3% | 5.2–8.7% |
| 16–18 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| 18 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.4–8.3% |
| 13–15 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
5.8% | 5.2–6.4% | 5.1–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% |
| 10–12 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 12 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–7.0% |
| 11 October 2022 | Yougov | 5.5% | 4.8–6.4% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.4–6.9% | 4.0–7.4% |
| 7–9 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| 7 October 2022 | Yougov | 4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.4–7.1% | 4.0–7.6% |
| 6 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.3–5.8% |
| 5 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% |
| 26 September–2 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 2 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 19–25 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| 13–20 September 2022 | Epinion DR |
5.3% | 4.7–5.9% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.4–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% |
| 12–18 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 5–11 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–4 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 2 September 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 22–28 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 16–24 August 2022 | Epinion DR |
3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% |
| 15–21 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.9% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.4–6.8% |
| 8–14 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 7 August 2022 | Yougov | 3.2% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.1–4.7% |
| 1–6 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 August 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.6% |
| 21–28 July 2022 | Epinion DR |
3.8% | 3.3–4.5% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% |
| 27 June–3 July 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
| 20–26 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 13–19 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.8% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 14 June 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
3.6% | 3.1–4.3% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% |
| 6–12 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–5 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 23–29 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 22–29 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
| 16–22 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 11–18 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| 2–8 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 29 April–5 May 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
3.2% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.1–4.6% |
| 25 April–1 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–27 April 2022 | Epinion DR |
3.8% | 3.3–4.5% | 3.1–4.7% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% |
| 18–24 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 8–11 April 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
3.1% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.5% |
| 4–9 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 4 April 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 28 March–3 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| 21–27 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| 14–20 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| 8–15 March 2022 | Epinion DR |
2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
| 7–12 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 4–7 March 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.7% |
| 21–27 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 14–20 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 9–16 February 2022 | Epinion DR |
2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.5% |
| 7–12 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 4–6 February 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.8% |
| 31 January–6 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 January–3 February 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.2% |
| 24–30 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 17–23 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 7–10 January 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 20–23 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.6% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 13–19 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2021 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.5–5.0% |
| 30 November–8 December 2021 | Epinion DR |
2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–4.0% |
| 29 November–5 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 22–28 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 15–21 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–6 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 October–4 November 2021 | Gallup | 2.5% | 2.1–3.1% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.7% |
| 25–31 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–21 October 2021 | Epinion | 2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% |
| 11–17 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 September–3 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 October 2021 | Gallup | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–29 September 2021 | Epinion | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.3% |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 August 2021 | Epinion DR |
2.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 August 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
3.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| 30 July–5 August 2021 | Gallup | 2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% |
| 21–27 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 14–20 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 1.8% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 0.9–3.1% |
| 7–12 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
| 4–10 June 2021 | Gallup | 2.4% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.5–3.6% |
| 4–6 June 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% |
| 31 May–6 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 24–30 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| 17–23 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 11–19 May 2021 | Epinion | 2.2% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.3% |
| 10–16 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 7–9 May 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.4% |
| 3–8 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 26 April–2 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 19–25 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 12–18 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| 7–13 April 2021 | Epinion | 2.5% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.7% |
| 9–11 April 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.9% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.8–4.3% |
| 5–10 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 1.8% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 0.9–3.1% |
| 2–8 April 2021 | Gallup | 2.3% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.5–3.4% |
| 29 March–4 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 22–28 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 15–21 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 7–14 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
| 1–6 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 22–28 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 8–15 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| 1–14 February 2021 | Electica Alliancen |
2.8% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.5% |
| 5–8 February 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.1% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% |
| 1–6 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.7% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 25–31 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 22–28 January 2021 | Gallup | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 18–24 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 18–21 January 2021 | Epinion | 2.4% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.6–3.6% |
| 15–18 January 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
2.8% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.3% |
| 11–17 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 4–9 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 14–20 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 3.0% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 7–12 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 4–10 December 2020 | Gallup | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.1% |
| 1–8 December 2020 | Epinion | 3.7% | 3.2–4.4% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.1% |
| 4–7 December 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
3.0% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.5% |
| 30 November–5 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 23–29 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 16–22 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 9–15 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.7% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 6–12 November 2020 | Gallup | 2.7% | 2.3–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| 6–11 November 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
2.9% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.3% |
| 2–7 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 26 October–1 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 19–25 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 12–18 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.6% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 5–10 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| 2–5 October 2020 | YouGov | 2.1% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.4% | 2.0–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.6–3.6% |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Gallup | 2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.1% |
| 22–28 September 2020 | Epinion | 2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.3–3.2% |
| 21–27 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% |
| 14–20 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 7–12 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.6% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.0–3.1% |
| 1–8 September 2020 | Epinion | 2.5% | 2.1–3.1% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.7% |
| 31 August–6 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
| 31 August–1 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
| 24–30 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.1% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| 17–23 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| 10–16 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.7% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 3–8 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 1–31 July 2020 | Gallup | 2.4% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.5–3.6% |
| 2–6 July 2020 | YouGov | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| 22–28 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 15–21 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| 8–13 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 11 June 2020 | Gallup | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
| 8–10 June 2020 | YouGov | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.6% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–3.0% |
| 1–7 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 25–31 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 22–29 May 2020 | Epinion | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–4.0% |
| 18–24 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.8% |
| 11–17 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.9–3.0% |
| 7–11 May 2020 | YouGov | 1.4% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.7–2.5% |
| 4–9 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 27 April–3 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| 20–26 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.9% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 6–19 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.4% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.7–2.7% |
| 10–16 April 2020 | Epinion | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.3% |
| 30 March–11 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
| 23 March–5 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% |
| 27 March–3 April 2020 | Gallup | 1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% |
| 23–29 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.7% |
| 16–22 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 9–15 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| 2–7 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 25 February–2 March 2020 | Epinion DR |
1.9% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% |
| 24 February–1 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 17–23 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| 10–16 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| 7–13 February 2020 | Gallup | 1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% |
| 3–8 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 20–26 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.9–3.0% |
| 13–19 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 6–11 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 30 December 2019–5 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| 16–22 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.0–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.9% |
| 9–15 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 12 December 2019 | Gallup | 1.7% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.8% |
| 2–8 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| 25 November–2 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 18–25 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 20 November 2019 | Epinion DR |
1.9% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–3.0% |
| 11–18 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.2% |
| 4–10 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 8 November 2019 | Gallup | 1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% |
| 27 October–4 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 21–27 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 23 October 2019 | Epinion DR |
2.2% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.3% |
| 14–20 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| 7–12 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| 30 September–7 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| 23–29 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
| 29 September 2019 | Gallup | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 16–22 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 19 September 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 9–15 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.1% |
| 12 September 2019 | Gallup | 2.6% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% |
| 9 September 2019 | YouGov | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 2–9 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 26 August–1 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
| 18–26 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 12–18 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 5–10 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 8 August 2019 | Gallup | 2.3% | 1.9–2.9% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.5% |
| 24–30 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.2% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| 17–23 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 10–15 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Liberal Alliance.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 41% | 92% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 36% | 51% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 10% | 14% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 5 June 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 10–17 |
| 27–31 October 2022 | Yougov | 15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 31 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13–15 |
| 31 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–14 |
| 25–27 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–15 |
| 27 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–19 |
| 21–25 October 2022 | Yougov | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 |
| 22–24 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
| 24 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
14 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 19–21 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 12 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 10–17 |
| 20 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
12 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| 15–18 October 2022 | Yougov | 10 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
| 16–18 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 9 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| 18 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
11 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| 13–15 October 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 13 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| 10–12 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| 12 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| 11 October 2022 | Yougov | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9–12 |
| 7–9 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 9 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–13 |
| 7 October 2022 | Yougov | |||||
| 3–6 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| 6 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| 5 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| 26 September–2 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| 2 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 19–25 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 |
| 13–20 September 2022 | Epinion DR |
10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| 12–18 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 5–12 |
| 5–11 September 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 29 August–4 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 2 September 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–9 |
| 22–28 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–11 |
| 16–24 August 2022 | Epinion DR |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 15–21 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| 8–14 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 7 August 2022 | Yougov | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 1–6 August 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 5 August 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
7 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 21–28 July 2022 | Epinion DR |
6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| 27 June–3 July 2022 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 20–26 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| 13–19 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 14 June 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6 | 6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–9 |
| 6–12 June 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 30 May–5 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 7–9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 23–29 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 22–29 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
7 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 16–22 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–11 |
| 11–18 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–10 |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 2–8 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 29 April–5 May 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| 25 April–1 May 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 20–27 April 2022 | Epinion DR |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 18–24 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–9 |
| 8–11 April 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 4–9 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 4 April 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 0–8 |
| 28 March–3 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| 21–27 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 14–20 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 8–15 March 2022 | Epinion DR |
5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 7–12 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| 4–7 March 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 21–27 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 0–8 |
| 14–20 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 9–16 February 2022 | Epinion DR |
4 | 4–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 7–12 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| 4–6 February 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4–6 |
| 31 January–6 February 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 26 January–3 February 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 24–30 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 17–23 January 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–16 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 7–10 January 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
|||||
| 3–8 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 20–23 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 13–19 December 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 6–11 December 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 3–9 December 2021 | Gallup | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 30 November–8 December 2021 | Epinion DR |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 29 November–5 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 22–28 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 15–21 November 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 8–14 November 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 1–6 November 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 29 October–4 November 2021 | Gallup | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 25–31 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 18–24 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 14–21 October 2021 | Epinion | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 11–17 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 4–11 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 27 September–3 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 3 October 2021 | Gallup | |||||
| 21–29 September 2021 | Epinion | |||||
| 17–20 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–12 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
|||||
| 23–29 August 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 19–26 August 2021 | Epinion DR |
|||||
| 16–22 August 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 13–16 August 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
|||||
| 9–15 August 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 2–7 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 30 July–5 August 2021 | Gallup | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 21–27 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 14–20 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 7–12 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 4–10 June 2021 | Gallup | 4 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 4–6 June 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
5 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 31 May–6 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 24–30 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 17–23 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
| 11–19 May 2021 | Epinion | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 10–16 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 7–9 May 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 3–8 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| 26 April–2 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 19–25 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 12–18 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 7–13 April 2021 | Epinion | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–6 |
| 9–11 April 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| 5–10 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 2–8 April 2021 | Gallup | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 29 March–4 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 22–28 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 15–21 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 7–14 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 1–6 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 22–28 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 8–15 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| 1–14 February 2021 | Electica Alliancen |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 5–8 February 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 1–6 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 25–31 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| 22–28 January 2021 | Gallup | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 0–7 |
| 18–24 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 18–21 January 2021 | Epinion | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 15–18 January 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| 11–17 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| 4–9 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 5 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 0–8 |
| 14–20 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| 7–12 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 4–10 December 2020 | Gallup | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 1–8 December 2020 | Epinion | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 4–7 December 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| 30 November–5 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 23–29 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–7 |
| 16–22 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 9–15 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| 6–12 November 2020 | Gallup | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 6–11 November 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 0–8 |
| 2–7 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 26 October–1 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 19–25 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 12–18 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 5–10 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 2–5 October 2020 | YouGov | 5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–6 |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 22–28 September 2020 | Epinion | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 21–27 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 14–20 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 7–12 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 1–8 September 2020 | Epinion | 5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 31 August–6 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 0–7 |
| 31 August–1 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 24–30 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 17–23 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 10–16 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 3–8 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 1–31 July 2020 | Gallup | 5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 2–6 July 2020 | YouGov | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 22–28 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 15–21 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 8–13 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 11 June 2020 | Gallup | 4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 8–10 June 2020 | YouGov | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 1–7 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 25–31 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 3–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 22–29 May 2020 | Epinion | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 18–24 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 11–17 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 7–11 May 2020 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 4–9 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 27 April–3 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 20–26 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 6–19 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 10–16 April 2020 | Epinion | 4 | 4–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 30 March–11 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 23 March–5 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 27 March–3 April 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 23–29 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 16–22 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 9–15 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 2–7 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 25 February–2 March 2020 | Epinion DR |
0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 24 February–1 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 17–23 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 10–16 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 7–13 February 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 3–8 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 20–26 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 13–19 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 6–11 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 30 December 2019–5 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 16–22 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 9–15 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 12 December 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 2–8 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 4–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 25 November–2 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 18–25 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 20 November 2019 | Epinion DR |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 11–18 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 4–10 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 8 November 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 27 October–4 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 |
| 21–27 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 23 October 2019 | Epinion DR |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 14–20 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 7–12 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 30 September–7 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 23–29 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 29 September 2019 | Gallup | 5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| 16–22 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 19 September 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
5 | 4–5 | 3–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 9–15 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
5 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 12 September 2019 | Gallup | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 0–7 |
| 9 September 2019 | YouGov | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–7 |
| 2–9 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 26 August–1 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 4–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 18–26 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 12–18 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 5–10 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 8 August 2019 | Gallup | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 24–30 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 17–23 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 10–15 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Liberal Alliance.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 8% | 98% | |
| 13 | 20% | 91% | |
| 14 | 4% | 71% | |
| 15 | 63% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 2% | 4% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |