Det Konservative Folkeparti
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.6% (General Election of 5 June 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.1% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.5–8.1% |
| 27–31 October 2022 | Yougov | 6.5% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 4.9–8.4% |
| 31 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 6.1% | 5.7–6.6% | 5.5–6.7% | 5.4–6.8% | 5.2–7.1% |
| 31 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6.0% | 5.6–6.5% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.1–7.0% |
| 25–27 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 27 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.2–8.0% |
| 21–25 October 2022 | Yougov | 6.5% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.3–8.0% | 4.9–8.5% |
| 22–24 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 24 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
6.2% | 5.6–7.0% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.4% | 4.9–7.8% |
| 19–21 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 6.7% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.8–9.1% |
| 20 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.2–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.5% |
| 15–18 October 2022 | Yougov | 8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.6–9.5% | 6.2–10.1% |
| 16–18 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 7.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.2–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 18 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% |
| 13–15 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
8.6% | 7.9–9.3% | 7.7–9.5% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.1% |
| 10–12 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 8.9% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 12 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
9.9% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.1% | 8.7–11.3% | 8.3–11.8% |
| 11 October 2022 | Yougov | 10.4% | 9.4–11.6% | 9.1–11.9% | 8.8–12.2% | 8.4–12.8% |
| 7–9 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 9.8% | 8.6–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.1–11.7% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 7 October 2022 | Yougov | 10.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11.4% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.0–13.1% | 9.7–13.5% | 9.1–14.1% |
| 6 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
11.2% | 10.3–12.2% | 10.0–12.5% | 9.8–12.8% | 9.3–13.3% |
| 5 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
11.2% | 10.3–12.2% | 10.1–12.5% | 9.9–12.7% | 9.4–13.2% |
| 26 September–2 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 2 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
12.3% | 11.3–13.4% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.8–14.0% | 10.3–14.6% |
| 19–25 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 11.6% | 10.3–13.0% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 13–20 September 2022 | Epinion DR |
13.4% | 12.5–14.4% | 12.3–14.6% | 12.0–14.9% | 11.6–15.3% |
| 12–18 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 5–11 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 15.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–4 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.2% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 2 September 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
14.1% | 12.8–15.6% | 12.4–16.0% | 12.1–16.4% | 11.5–17.1% |
| 22–28 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.4% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.6–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.6–19.6% |
| 16–24 August 2022 | Epinion DR |
16.7% | 15.7–17.8% | 15.5–18.1% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.8% |
| 15–21 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.5% | 15.1–18.0% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.4–18.8% | 13.7–19.6% |
| 8–14 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.3% | 12.1–14.8% | 11.7–15.2% | 11.4–15.5% | 10.8–16.2% |
| 7 August 2022 | Yougov | 13.9% | 12.7–15.3% | 12.4–15.6% | 12.1–16.0% | 11.6–16.6% |
| 1–6 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 August 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
11.8% | 10.8–12.9% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.3–13.5% | 9.8–14.0% |
| 21–28 July 2022 | Epinion DR |
11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.4–12.9% | 10.2–13.1% | 9.8–13.6% |
| 27 June–3 July 2022 | Voxmeter | 12.3% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.4% | 9.8–15.2% |
| 20–26 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 13–19 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.2% |
| 14 June 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
13.8% | 12.7–15.0% | 12.4–15.3% | 12.2–15.6% | 11.7–16.2% |
| 6–12 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–5 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 23–29 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.1–16.9% | 12.8–17.2% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 22–29 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% |
| 16–22 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.3% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 11–18 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
14.2% | 13.2–15.3% | 13.0–15.5% | 12.7–15.8% | 12.3–16.3% |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.2% |
| 2–8 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.9–17.5% |
| 29 April–5 May 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
15.2% | 14.0–16.5% | 13.7–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 12.9–17.8% |
| 25 April–1 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–27 April 2022 | Epinion DR |
14.9% | 13.8–16.1% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.3–16.7% | 12.8–17.3% |
| 18–24 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 8–11 April 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
17.1% | 15.8–18.5% | 15.4–19.0% | 15.1–19.3% | 14.5–20.0% |
| 4–9 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.5% |
| 4 April 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
15.4% | 14.3–16.7% | 13.9–17.0% | 13.7–17.3% | 13.1–17.9% |
| 28 March–3 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 21–27 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 15.2% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.4% |
| 14–20 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 15.9% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.1–19.0% |
| 8–15 March 2022 | Epinion DR |
14.3% | 13.3–15.3% | 13.0–15.6% | 12.8–15.9% | 12.4–16.4% |
| 7–12 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| 4–7 March 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
16.6% | 15.3–18.1% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.7–18.8% | 14.1–19.5% |
| 21–27 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 14.0–20.1% |
| 14–20 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 9–16 February 2022 | Epinion DR |
16.8% | 15.8–17.9% | 15.5–18.2% | 15.3–18.5% | 14.8–19.0% |
| 7–12 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.6% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.7–19.8% |
| 4–6 February 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
17.4% | 16.1–18.9% | 15.7–19.3% | 15.4–19.6% | 14.8–20.3% |
| 31 January–6 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 January–3 February 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
15.3% | 14.2–16.5% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.7–17.1% | 13.2–17.7% |
| 24–30 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 16.4% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.5–19.5% |
| 17–23 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.6% |
| 7–10 January 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
17.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 20–23 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.9–17.6% |
| 13–19 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 16.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2021 | Gallup | 16.4% | 15.3–17.7% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.7–18.3% | 14.2–18.9% |
| 30 November–8 December 2021 | Epinion DR |
16.0% | 14.9–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 13.8–18.4% |
| 29 November–5 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.2% |
| 22–28 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.1% | 13.7–16.7% | 13.4–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| 15–21 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–6 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 October–4 November 2021 | Gallup | 14.9% | 13.8–16.1% | 13.5–16.5% | 13.2–16.8% | 12.7–17.3% |
| 25–31 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–21 October 2021 | Epinion | 13.5% | 12.5–14.7% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.9–15.3% | 11.5–15.8% |
| 11–17 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 September–3 October 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 October 2021 | Gallup | 14.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–29 September 2021 | Epinion | 14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
17.0% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.3–18.8% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–19.9% |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
16.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 August 2021 | Epinion DR |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 August 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
14.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.8–15.3% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.4% |
| 30 July–5 August 2021 | Gallup | 14.4% | 13.4–15.5% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.8–16.2% | 12.3–16.7% |
| 21–27 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.2% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.6–16.1% |
| 14–20 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 7–12 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.1% | 11.3–16.9% |
| 4–10 June 2021 | Gallup | 13.8% | 12.7–15.0% | 12.4–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.6–16.3% |
| 4–6 June 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.7–16.7% |
| 31 May–6 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.0% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–15.9% |
| 24–30 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.0–16.5% |
| 17–23 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 11–19 May 2021 | Epinion | 15.9% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.4–17.5% | 14.2–17.8% | 13.6–18.4% |
| 10–16 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.6% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 7–9 May 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
13.7% | 12.5–15.0% | 12.2–15.4% | 11.9–15.7% | 11.4–16.4% |
| 3–8 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.2% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 26 April–2 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.8–17.2% | 12.2–17.9% |
| 19–25 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.5% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.6% |
| 12–18 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.2% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.2–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 7–13 April 2021 | Epinion | 15.5% | 14.4–16.8% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.8–17.4% | 13.3–18.0% |
| 9–11 April 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
15.0% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.2–17.1% | 12.6–17.8% |
| 5–10 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 15.2% | 13.8–16.7% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.5% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 2–8 April 2021 | Gallup | 16.7% | 15.6–17.9% | 15.3–18.3% | 15.0–18.6% | 14.5–19.2% |
| 29 March–4 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 22–28 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.4% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.7–17.4% |
| 15–21 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.2–15.7% | 11.9–16.1% | 11.3–16.8% |
| 7–14 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.6% | 13.3–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.6–16.9% | 12.0–17.7% |
| 1–6 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 22–28 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.5% | 12.3–15.0% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.0–16.5% |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 13.1% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.0% |
| 8–15 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 12.9% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.3–14.7% | 11.0–15.1% | 10.4–15.8% |
| 1–14 February 2021 | Electica Alliancen |
12.6% | 11.9–13.3% | 11.8–13.5% | 11.6–13.6% | 11.3–14.0% |
| 5–8 February 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
15.0% | 13.7–16.3% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.5–17.7% |
| 1–6 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.1–14.0% | 9.5–14.7% |
| 25–31 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 12.1% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 22–28 January 2021 | Gallup | 13.6% | 12.5–14.8% | 12.2–15.2% | 12.0–15.5% | 11.5–16.1% |
| 18–24 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.1–14.2% |
| 18–21 January 2021 | Epinion | 12.5% | 11.5–13.6% | 11.3–13.9% | 11.0–14.2% | 10.6–14.7% |
| 15–18 January 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
12.9% | 11.8–14.2% | 11.4–14.6% | 11.1–14.9% | 10.6–15.5% |
| 11–17 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 10.9% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.6–13.6% |
| 4–9 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.8–12.5% | 8.2–13.2% |
| 14–20 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 7–12 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.2–13.1% |
| 4–10 December 2020 | Gallup | 11.7% | 10.7–12.8% | 10.4–13.2% | 10.2–13.4% | 9.7–14.0% |
| 1–8 December 2020 | Epinion | 9.9% | 9.1–10.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.6–11.5% | 8.2–11.9% |
| 4–7 December 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
10.3% | 9.3–11.5% | 9.0–11.8% | 8.7–12.1% | 8.3–12.7% |
| 30 November–5 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 23–29 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 16–22 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 9–15 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.5% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.1–11.1% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 6–12 November 2020 | Gallup | 9.8% | 8.9–10.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.5–11.3% | 8.0–11.8% |
| 6–11 November 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
10.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.5–11.8% | 8.0–12.4% |
| 2–7 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.4–12.1% |
| 26 October–1 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 19–25 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 12–18 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 5–10 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.4–12.2% |
| 2–5 October 2020 | YouGov | 10.6% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.2–12.1% | 9.0–12.4% | 8.5–13.0% |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 9.0% | 8.1–9.9% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–10.9% |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Gallup | 10.4% | 9.6–11.3% | 9.4–11.6% | 9.2–11.8% | 8.8–12.3% |
| 22–28 September 2020 | Epinion | 10.6% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.2–12.2% | 8.8–12.7% |
| 21–27 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 14–20 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 7–12 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.1–10.3% |
| 1–8 September 2020 | Epinion | 8.7% | 7.9–9.7% | 7.6–10.0% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.1–10.7% |
| 31 August–6 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 7.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.7–9.9% |
| 31 August–1 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 7.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.7–9.9% |
| 24–30 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 8.7% | 7.7–9.9% | 7.4–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 17–23 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 10–16 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.3% |
| 3–8 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.0–9.2% |
| 1–31 July 2020 | Gallup | 9.1% | 8.2–10.1% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.2% |
| 2–6 July 2020 | YouGov | 8.8% | 7.8–9.9% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.5% | 6.9–11.1% |
| 22–28 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.0% |
| 15–21 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.6–9.8% |
| 8–13 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| 11 June 2020 | Gallup | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 8–10 June 2020 | YouGov | 7.6% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.4–8.9% | 6.2–9.2% | 5.8–9.7% |
| 1–7 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 25–31 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.6% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.2–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 22–29 May 2020 | Epinion | 6.9% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.2% | 5.4–8.7% |
| 18–24 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.4% |
| 11–17 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 7–11 May 2020 | YouGov | 7.7% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.3–9.3% | 5.9–9.8% |
| 4–9 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 27 April–3 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 20–26 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 6–19 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.5–8.3% |
| 10–16 April 2020 | Epinion | 7.4% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.8% | 5.9–9.2% |
| 30 March–11 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.5% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 23 March–5 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.4–8.1% |
| 27 March–3 April 2020 | Gallup | 6.9% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 23–29 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.3% | 5.4–7.3% | 5.2–7.6% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.6–8.4% |
| 16–22 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.5% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.8–8.7% |
| 9–15 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 2–7 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.4% | 5.8–10.0% |
| 25 February–2 March 2020 | Epinion DR |
7.4% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.8% | 5.9–9.3% |
| 24 February–1 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 17–23 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.6% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.2–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 10–16 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 7–13 February 2020 | Gallup | 8.1% | 7.2–9.1% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.4–10.0% |
| 3–8 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 20–26 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 13–19 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.4% |
| 6–11 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.8% |
| 30 December 2019–5 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 16–22 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 9–15 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.4% |
| 12 December 2019 | Gallup | 8.2% | 7.3–9.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.5–10.2% |
| 2–8 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 25 November–2 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.7–8.8% | 5.3–9.4% |
| 18–25 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.5% |
| 20 November 2019 | Epinion DR |
7.0% | 6.3–7.9% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| 11–18 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–8.9% |
| 4–10 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.0% |
| 8 November 2019 | Gallup | 7.3% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.2% |
| 27 October–4 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 21–27 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 23 October 2019 | Epinion DR |
7.1% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.9% |
| 14–20 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 7–12 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 30 September–7 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.1% |
| 23–29 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.6% |
| 29 September 2019 | Gallup | 6.8% | 6.0–7.7% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.2–8.6% |
| 16–22 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 19 September 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 9–15 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.7–8.8% | 5.3–9.4% |
| 12 September 2019 | Gallup | 8.4% | 7.6–9.3% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.2–9.8% | 6.8–10.3% |
| 9 September 2019 | YouGov | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 2–9 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.6% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.3% | 5.7–9.9% |
| 26 August–1 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.1% |
| 18–26 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 12–18 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.6–9.7% |
| 5–10 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 8 August 2019 | Gallup | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 24–30 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.2% | 6.3–8.3% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.4–9.5% |
| 17–23 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 10–15 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Det Konservative Folkeparti.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 12% | 99.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 65% | 87% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 22% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 12 seats (General Election of 5 June 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–14 |
| 27–31 October 2022 | Yougov | 12 | 12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 31 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10–11 |
| 31 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 |
| 25–27 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 8–13 |
| 27 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 21–25 October 2022 | Yougov | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 8–14 | 8–16 |
| 22–24 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 24 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| 19–21 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 11 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 9–14 |
| 20 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
12 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| 15–18 October 2022 | Yougov | 13 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 11–18 |
| 16–18 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| 18 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 13–15 October 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 13 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 10–12 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 17 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 14–19 | 13–19 |
| 12 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
18 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| 11 October 2022 | Yougov | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17–19 |
| 7–9 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 20 | 18–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–22 |
| 7 October 2022 | Yougov | |||||
| 3–6 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
| 6 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
19 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–24 |
| 5 October 2022 | Epinion DR |
21 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 16–25 |
| 26 September–2 October 2022 | Voxmeter | 18 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 15–23 | 15–24 |
| 2 October 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
23 | 21–23 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–25 |
| 19–25 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 20 | 19–23 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 16–26 |
| 13–20 September 2022 | Epinion DR |
26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 12–18 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 25 | 21–28 | 21–30 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| 5–11 September 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 29 August–4 September 2022 | Voxmeter | 32 | 27–32 | 27–32 | 27–32 | 27–35 |
| 2 September 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
29 | 24–30 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 20–30 |
| 22–28 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 31 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 28–32 | 26–33 |
| 16–24 August 2022 | Epinion DR |
32 | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–34 | 27–35 |
| 15–21 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 29 | 29–30 | 27–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| 8–14 August 2022 | Voxmeter | 25 | 25–26 | 24–26 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| 7 August 2022 | Yougov | 25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–28 |
| 1–6 August 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 5 August 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
20 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 18–25 |
| 21–28 July 2022 | Epinion DR |
21 | 20–21 | 20–22 | 20–23 | 19–24 |
| 27 June–3 July 2022 | Voxmeter | 22 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–27 |
| 20–26 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 22 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 13–19 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–28 | 21–29 |
| 14 June 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
25 | 25 | 23–26 | 22–28 | 22–28 |
| 6–12 June 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 30 May–5 June 2022 | Voxmeter | 24 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–29 |
| 23–29 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 30 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 23–32 | 22–32 |
| 22–29 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
23 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 22–27 | 20–28 |
| 16–22 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 23 | 22–24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 |
| 11–18 May 2022 | Epinion DR |
25 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–29 |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 27 | 26–27 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 20–30 |
| 2–8 May 2022 | Voxmeter | 23 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 22–29 |
| 29 April–5 May 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
25 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 25–30 | 24–33 |
| 25 April–1 May 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 20–27 April 2022 | Epinion DR |
25 | 25–27 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–30 |
| 18–24 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 22 | 22–27 | 22–28 | 22–28 | 20–30 |
| 8–11 April 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
28 | 28–34 | 28–36 | 28–36 | 28–37 |
| 4–9 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 23 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 21–28 |
| 4 April 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
29 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 24–34 | 23–34 |
| 28 March–3 April 2022 | Voxmeter | 26 | 23–29 | 20–30 | 20–32 | 20–32 |
| 21–27 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 29 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 23–32 | 22–33 |
| 14–20 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 24–35 |
| 8–15 March 2022 | Epinion DR |
26 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 |
| 7–12 March 2022 | Voxmeter | 26 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 22–31 | 21–33 |
| 4–7 March 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
28 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 23–35 | 23–36 |
| 21–27 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 29 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–36 | 25–36 |
| 14–20 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 29 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 |
| 9–16 February 2022 | Epinion DR |
31 | 29–32 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 7–12 February 2022 | Voxmeter | 30 | 27–32 | 26–34 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| 4–6 February 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
30 | 30 | 30 | 30–31 | 30–34 |
| 31 January–6 February 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 26 January–3 February 2022 | Gallup Berlingske |
28 | 28 | 28–29 | 26–29 | 24–31 |
| 24–30 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 29 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 |
| 17–23 January 2022 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–16 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 26 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 22–31 | 21–32 |
| 7–10 January 2022 | YouGov B.T. |
|||||
| 3–8 January 2022 | Voxmeter | 28 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–31 | 22–32 |
| 20–23 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 28 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–31 |
| 13–19 December 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 6–11 December 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 3–9 December 2021 | Gallup | 29 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 25–32 | 25–33 |
| 30 November–8 December 2021 | Epinion DR |
28 | 27–29 | 26–30 | 26–32 | 25–32 |
| 29 November–5 December 2021 | Voxmeter | 28 | 25–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 22–33 |
| 22–28 November 2021 | Voxmeter | 26 | 26–29 | 26–29 | 26–29 | 24–30 |
| 15–21 November 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 8–14 November 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 1–6 November 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 29 October–4 November 2021 | Gallup | 27 | 25–29 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 23–32 |
| 25–31 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 18–24 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 14–21 October 2021 | Epinion | 25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 21–26 | 21–28 |
| 11–17 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 4–11 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 27 September–3 October 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 3 October 2021 | Gallup | |||||
| 21–29 September 2021 | Epinion | |||||
| 17–20 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
31 | 29–34 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–12 September 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
|||||
| 23–29 August 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 19–26 August 2021 | Epinion DR |
|||||
| 16–22 August 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 13–16 August 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
|||||
| 9–15 August 2021 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 2–7 August 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 20–28 | 20–30 |
| 30 July–5 August 2021 | Gallup | 27 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 23–29 |
| 21–27 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 26 | 21–27 | 21–27 | 19–27 | 19–29 |
| 14–20 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 26 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 22–30 |
| 7–12 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 22–28 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 21–31 |
| 4–10 June 2021 | Gallup | 25 | 22–27 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 20–29 |
| 4–6 June 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
27 | 24–28 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 20–33 |
| 31 May–6 June 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 19–28 |
| 24–30 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 24 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 20–29 |
| 17–23 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 22–31 | 20–32 |
| 11–19 May 2021 | Epinion | 28 | 26–30 | 26–31 | 26–32 | 25–33 |
| 10–16 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 24 | 22–28 | 21–30 | 20–30 | 20–30 |
| 7–9 May 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
25 | 24–25 | 23–26 | 23–29 | 22–30 |
| 3–8 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 22–28 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 20–30 |
| 26 April–2 May 2021 | Voxmeter | 26 | 26–27 | 26–27 | 25–30 | 23–30 |
| 19–25 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 27 | 27–31 | 26–34 | 24–34 | 23–34 |
| 12–18 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 28 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 24–30 | 23–32 |
| 7–13 April 2021 | Epinion | 27 | 26–28 | 26–28 | 26–29 | 25–32 |
| 9–11 April 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 21–29 | 21–31 |
| 5–10 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 27 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 23–32 | 22–34 |
| 2–8 April 2021 | Gallup | 30 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 25–34 |
| 29 March–4 April 2021 | Voxmeter | 29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 |
| 22–28 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 21–31 |
| 15–21 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 |
| 7–14 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 |
| 1–6 March 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 23–29 | 21–30 | 21–30 | 20–32 |
| 22–28 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 25 | 21–29 | 20–29 | 20–29 | 20–30 |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 23 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 19–28 |
| 8–15 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 24 | 22–25 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 1–14 February 2021 | Electica Alliancen |
24 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 5–8 February 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
26 | 25–29 | 23–30 | 23–32 | 22–33 |
| 1–6 February 2021 | Voxmeter | 21 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–27 |
| 25–31 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 23 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 22–28 January 2021 | Gallup | 25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 20–29 |
| 18–24 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 20 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| 18–21 January 2021 | Epinion | 23 | 20–23 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–26 |
| 15–18 January 2021 | YouGov B.T. |
26 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 20–28 |
| 11–17 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 20 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 4–9 January 2021 | Voxmeter | 19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 15–23 |
| 14–20 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–23 |
| 7–12 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 19 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–24 |
| 4–10 December 2020 | Gallup | 21 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 17–25 |
| 1–8 December 2020 | Epinion | 18 | 16–20 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
| 4–7 December 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
17 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 30 November–5 December 2020 | Voxmeter | 18 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 13–23 |
| 23–29 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–21 |
| 16–22 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–21 |
| 9–15 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–22 |
| 6–12 November 2020 | Gallup | 17 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 6–11 November 2020 | YouGov B.T. |
17 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 |
| 2–7 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 16–17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 26 October–1 November 2020 | Voxmeter | 19 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 19–25 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 12–18 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–20 |
| 5–10 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 |
| 2–5 October 2020 | YouGov | 21 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–23 |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Voxmeter | 18 | 17–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–20 |
| 28 September–4 October 2020 | Gallup | 21 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 18–21 |
| 22–28 September 2020 | Epinion | 20 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 |
| 21–27 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 13 | 13–16 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 11–19 |
| 14–20 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 17 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 7–12 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 15 | 13–16 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 10–18 |
| 1–8 September 2020 | Epinion | 16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–20 |
| 31 August–6 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 16 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| 31 August–1 September 2020 | Voxmeter | 14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 10–19 |
| 24–30 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 14 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 17–23 August 2020 | Voxmeter | 14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| 10–16 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 10–19 |
| 3–8 August 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| 1–31 July 2020 | Gallup | 16 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–20 |
| 2–6 July 2020 | YouGov | 15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| 22–28 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 15–21 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–18 |
| 8–13 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| 11 June 2020 | Gallup | 14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 |
| 8–10 June 2020 | YouGov | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 11–17 |
| 1–7 June 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 25–31 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 22–29 May 2020 | Epinion | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| 18–24 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–18 |
| 11–17 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| 7–11 May 2020 | YouGov | 15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–18 |
| 4–9 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 27 April–3 May 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 8–16 |
| 20–26 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 6–19 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 10–16 April 2020 | Epinion | 13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 30 March–11 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 23 March–5 April 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
| 27 March–3 April 2020 | Gallup | 14 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 |
| 23–29 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 16–22 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 9–15 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–17 |
| 2–7 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
| 25 February–2 March 2020 | Epinion DR |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 24 February–1 March 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 17–23 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 10–16 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| 7–13 February 2020 | Gallup | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| 3–8 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 9–17 |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 20–26 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| 13–19 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| 6–11 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| 30 December 2019–5 January 2020 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 16–22 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| 9–15 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 12 December 2019 | Gallup | 15 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–19 |
| 2–8 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 25 November–2 December 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 18–25 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 20 November 2019 | Epinion DR |
15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 11–18 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
11 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 4–10 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 8 November 2019 | Gallup | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| 27 October–4 November 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| 21–27 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–18 |
| 23 October 2019 | Epinion DR |
12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 14–20 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
| 7–12 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–18 | 10–18 |
| 30 September–7 October 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 23–29 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 10–13 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| 29 September 2019 | Gallup | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 16–22 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 19 September 2019 | Norstat Altinget and Jyllands-Posten |
10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–15 |
| 9–15 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 12 September 2019 | Gallup | 15 | 15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 13–18 |
| 9 September 2019 | YouGov | 15 | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 11–17 |
| 2–9 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 26 August–1 September 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| 18–26 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| 12–18 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
14 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 11–16 |
| 5–10 August 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
11 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 8 August 2019 | Gallup | 13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 24–30 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 17–23 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
12 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 10–15 June 2019 | Voxmeter Ritzau |
13 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Det Konservative Folkeparti.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 38% | 97% | |
| 11 | 34% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 26% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |