Socialdemokraterne

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 25.9% (General Election of 5 June 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 25.6% 23.5–28.0% 23.1–28.7% 22.6–29.2% 21.7–30.2%
27–31 October 2022 Yougov 27.6% 26.1–29.2% 25.6–29.7% 25.3–30.1% 24.5–30.8%
31 October 2022 Voxmeter 24.2% 23.4–25.0% 23.2–25.3% 23.0–25.5% 22.6–25.8%
31 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 26.2% 25.4–27.1% 25.1–27.3% 24.9–27.5% 24.5–27.9%
25–27 October 2022 Voxmeter 26.2% 24.4–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.5–29.0% 22.7–29.9%
27 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.2–26.7% 21.8–27.1% 21.0–28.0%
21–25 October 2022 Yougov 28.6% 27.0–30.3% 26.6–30.8% 26.2–31.2% 25.4–32.0%
22–24 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
24 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 24.4% 23.2–25.7% 22.8–26.0% 22.5–26.4% 21.9–27.0%
19–21 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.7% 23.9–27.6% 23.4–28.1% 23.0–28.6% 22.2–29.5%
20 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.3% 23.1–25.5% 22.8–25.8% 22.5–26.1% 22.0–26.7%
15–18 October 2022 Yougov 30.3% 28.7–32.0% 28.3–32.4% 27.9–32.8% 27.2–33.6%
16–18 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
18 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.7% 26.4–29.0% 26.1–29.4% 25.8–29.7% 25.2–30.4%
13–15 October 2022 Voxmeter 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 25.9% 24.8–27.0% 24.5–27.3% 24.3–27.6% 23.7–28.2%
10–12 October 2022 Voxmeter 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.2–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
12 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.4% 26.1–28.7% 25.8–29.1% 25.5–29.4% 24.9–30.0%
11 October 2022 Yougov 30.6% 29.0–32.3% 28.5–32.8% 28.1–33.2% 27.4–34.0%
7–9 October 2022 Voxmeter 27.1% 25.4–28.9% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
7 October 2022 Yougov 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 October 2022 Voxmeter 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 25.0–30.2% 24.2–31.1%
6 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 26.7% 25.4–28.1% 25.0–28.5% 24.7–28.9% 24.0–29.5%
5 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.3% 26.0–28.7% 25.7–29.0% 25.4–29.4% 24.8–30.0%
26 September–2 October 2022 Voxmeter 25.3% 23.6–27.1% 23.1–27.6% 22.7–28.1% 21.9–29.0%
2 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 24.4% 23.0–25.8% 22.7–26.2% 22.3–26.6% 21.7–27.3%
19–25 September 2022 Voxmeter 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.9% 21.7–28.8%
13–20 September 2022 Epinion
DR		 25.4% 24.3–26.6% 23.9–27.0% 23.7–27.3% 23.1–27.8%
12–18 September 2022 Voxmeter 24.2% 22.5–26.0% 22.0–26.5% 21.6–26.9% 20.8–27.8%
5–11 September 2022 Voxmeter 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–4 September 2022 Voxmeter 24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.3%
2 September 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
22–28 August 2022 Voxmeter 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.5% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
16–24 August 2022 Epinion
DR		 23.3% 22.2–24.5% 21.9–24.8% 21.6–25.1% 21.1–25.7%
15–21 August 2022 Voxmeter 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 23.0–27.4% 22.6–27.8% 21.8–28.6%
8–14 August 2022 Voxmeter 23.9% 22.3–25.6% 21.8–26.1% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.4%
7 August 2022 Yougov 26.1% 24.5–27.7% 24.1–28.2% 23.7–28.6% 23.0–29.4%
1–6 August 2022 Voxmeter 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 August 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 23.5% 22.2–24.9% 21.8–25.3% 21.5–25.7% 20.9–26.4%
21–28 July 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.3% 23.1–25.7% 22.7–26.0% 22.4–26.4% 21.8–27.0%
27 June–3 July 2022 Voxmeter 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
20–26 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.3% 24.6–28.2% 24.1–28.7% 23.7–29.2% 22.9–30.1%
13–19 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.8% 23.9–29.3% 23.1–30.1%
14 June 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 25.4% 24.0–26.9% 23.6–27.3% 23.3–27.6% 22.6–28.3%
6–12 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 May–5 June 2022 Voxmeter 26.2% 24.5–28.1% 24.0–28.6% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
23–29 May 2022 Voxmeter 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.7–27.2% 22.3–27.6% 21.5–28.5%
22–29 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.2% 26.0–28.5% 25.6–28.8% 25.3–29.1% 24.8–29.8%
16–22 May 2022 Voxmeter 25.5% 23.8–27.4% 23.3–27.9% 22.9–28.3% 22.1–29.2%
11–18 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 25.5% 24.3–26.8% 23.9–27.2% 23.6–27.5% 23.0–28.1%
9–15 May 2022 Voxmeter 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.6–28.9% 22.8–29.8%
2–8 May 2022 Voxmeter 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
29 April–5 May 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 25.7% 24.3–27.3% 23.9–27.7% 23.5–28.1% 22.8–28.8%
25 April–1 May 2022 Voxmeter 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 April 2022 Epinion
DR		 27.7% 26.3–29.1% 25.9–29.5% 25.6–29.9% 24.9–30.6%
18–24 April 2022 Voxmeter 27.8% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.3% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
8–11 April 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 29.1% 27.5–30.8% 27.0–31.2% 26.6–31.7% 25.8–32.5%
4–9 April 2022 Voxmeter 26.0% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
4 April 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 26.7% 25.2–28.2% 24.8–28.6% 24.5–29.0% 23.8–29.7%
28 March–3 April 2022 Voxmeter 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.4% 23.4–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
21–27 March 2022 Voxmeter 27.6% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.4% 24.1–31.3%
14–20 March 2022 Voxmeter 26.5% 24.8–28.4% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.1–30.2%
8–15 March 2022 Epinion
DR		 28.0% 26.7–29.3% 26.4–29.7% 26.1–30.0% 25.5–30.7%
7–12 March 2022 Voxmeter 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
4–7 March 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 30.5% 28.8–32.2% 28.4–32.7% 28.0–33.1% 27.2–33.9%
21–27 February 2022 Voxmeter 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
14–20 February 2022 Voxmeter 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
9–16 February 2022 Epinion
DR		 24.8% 23.6–26.0% 23.3–26.4% 23.0–26.7% 22.4–27.3%
7–12 February 2022 Voxmeter 24.8% 23.1–26.6% 22.6–27.2% 22.3–27.6% 21.5–28.5%
4–6 February 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 28.2% 26.6–29.9% 26.1–30.3% 25.7–30.7% 25.0–31.6%
31 January–6 February 2022 Voxmeter 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 January–3 February 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 27.5% 26.1–28.9% 25.7–29.3% 25.4–29.7% 24.7–30.4%
24–30 January 2022 Voxmeter 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.8–27.2% 22.4–27.7% 21.6–28.6%
17–23 January 2022 Voxmeter 26.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2022 Voxmeter 25.8% 24.1–27.7% 23.6–28.2% 23.2–28.6% 22.4–29.5%
7–10 January 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 28.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 January 2022 Voxmeter 25.0% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.8% 21.7–28.7%
20–23 December 2021 Voxmeter 26.3% 24.5–28.1% 24.1–28.6% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–29.9%
13–19 December 2021 Voxmeter 25.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 December 2021 Voxmeter 24.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 December 2021 Gallup 26.7% 25.3–28.1% 24.9–28.5% 24.6–28.9% 23.9–29.6%
30 November–8 December 2021 Epinion
DR		 26.3% 25.0–27.7% 24.6–28.1% 24.3–28.5% 23.7–29.1%
29 November–5 December 2021 Voxmeter 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
22–28 November 2021 Voxmeter 26.0% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
15–21 November 2021 Voxmeter 25.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 November 2021 Voxmeter 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 November 2021 Voxmeter 26.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 October–4 November 2021 Gallup 26.5% 25.1–28.0% 24.7–28.4% 24.4–28.7% 23.7–29.4%
25–31 October 2021 Voxmeter 26.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 October 2021 Voxmeter 27.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 October 2021 Epinion 28.0% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9% 25.9–30.3% 25.2–31.0%
11–17 October 2021 Voxmeter 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 October 2021 Voxmeter 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 September–3 October 2021 Voxmeter 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 October 2021 Gallup 27.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 September 2021 Epinion 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 30.8% 29.2–32.5% 28.7–33.0% 28.3–33.4% 27.5–34.2%
13–19 September 2021 Voxmeter 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 August 2021 Voxmeter 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–26 August 2021 Epinion
DR		 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 August 2021 Voxmeter 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 August 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 31.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 August 2021 Voxmeter 30.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 August 2021 Voxmeter 30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.7% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.1%
30 July–5 August 2021 Gallup 27.9% 26.5–29.3% 26.2–29.7% 25.8–30.1% 25.2–30.7%
21–27 June 2021 Voxmeter 28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.3–32.7%
14–20 June 2021 Voxmeter 28.4% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.2% 24.9–32.1%
7–12 June 2021 Voxmeter 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.8–33.1%
4–10 June 2021 Gallup 26.7% 25.2–28.2% 24.8–28.6% 24.5–29.0% 23.8–29.8%
4–6 June 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.3% 31.6–35.0% 31.1–35.5% 30.7–35.9% 29.9–36.7%
31 May–6 June 2021 Voxmeter 30.5% 28.7–32.3% 28.2–32.9% 27.7–33.3% 26.9–34.2%
24–30 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.7% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.1–35.6%
17–23 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.0% 29.1–32.9% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.8%
11–19 May 2021 Epinion 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.8–30.5% 26.4–30.9% 25.7–31.6%
10–16 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.8% 30.0–33.8% 29.5–34.3% 29.0–34.8% 28.2–35.7%
7–9 May 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.0% 31.4–34.8% 30.9–35.2% 30.5–35.7% 29.7–36.5%
3–8 May 2021 Voxmeter 32.1% 30.2–34.0% 29.7–34.5% 29.3–35.0% 28.4–35.9%
26 April–2 May 2021 Voxmeter 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.7% 28.4–34.1% 27.6–35.1%
19–25 April 2021 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.7–34.5% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.5%
12–18 April 2021 Voxmeter 31.3% 29.5–33.3% 29.0–33.8% 28.6–34.3% 27.7–35.2%
7–13 April 2021 Epinion 30.7% 29.2–32.2% 28.8–32.6% 28.4–33.0% 27.8–33.7%
9–11 April 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.2% 31.6–35.0% 31.1–35.5% 30.7–35.9% 29.9–36.7%
5–10 April 2021 Voxmeter 32.0% 30.1–33.9% 29.6–34.4% 29.1–34.9% 28.3–35.8%
2–8 April 2021 Gallup 29.3% 27.9–30.8% 27.5–31.2% 27.2–31.6% 26.6–32.3%
29 March–4 April 2021 Voxmeter 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
22–28 March 2021 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
15–21 March 2021 Voxmeter 34.1% 32.3–36.1% 31.8–36.6% 31.3–37.1% 30.4–38.0%
7–14 March 2021 Voxmeter 32.8% 30.9–34.7% 30.4–35.2% 29.9–35.7% 29.1–36.6%
1–6 March 2021 Voxmeter 32.4% 30.6–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.3% 28.7–36.2%
22–28 February 2021 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.2–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.4%
15–21 February 2021 Voxmeter 32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.8–34.5% 29.3–35.0% 28.5–35.9%
8–15 February 2021 Voxmeter 32.9% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.3% 30.1–35.8% 29.2–36.7%
1–14 February 2021 Electica
Alliancen		 32.6% 31.6–33.5% 31.4–33.8% 31.2–34.0% 30.7–34.5%
5–8 February 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 35.1% 33.4–36.9% 32.9–37.4% 32.5–37.8% 31.7–38.6%
1–6 February 2021 Voxmeter 33.1% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.3–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
25–31 January 2021 Voxmeter 32.2% 30.4–34.1% 29.9–34.7% 29.4–35.1% 28.5–36.0%
22–28 January 2021 Gallup 29.5% 28.0–31.1% 27.6–31.5% 27.3–31.9% 26.6–32.6%
18–24 January 2021 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.6–37.3%
18–21 January 2021 Epinion 32.5% 31.1–34.0% 30.7–34.4% 30.3–34.8% 29.7–35.5%
15–18 January 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 33.3% 31.7–35.1% 31.2–35.6% 30.8–36.0% 30.0–36.9%
11–17 January 2021 Voxmeter 33.3% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
4–9 January 2021 Voxmeter 32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.8–34.6% 29.3–35.0% 28.5–35.9%
14–20 December 2020 Voxmeter 32.8% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.3% 30.0–35.8% 29.2–36.7%
7–12 December 2020 Voxmeter 32.9% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.3–36.8%
4–10 December 2020 Gallup 29.5% 28.0–31.0% 27.6–31.5% 27.2–31.9% 26.5–32.6%
1–8 December 2020 Epinion 31.5% 30.1–33.0% 29.7–33.4% 29.3–33.8% 28.7–34.5%
4–7 December 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 32.9% 31.3–34.7% 30.8–35.2% 30.4–35.6% 29.6–36.4%
30 November–5 December 2020 Voxmeter 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.6% 28.4–34.1% 27.6–35.0%
23–29 November 2020 Voxmeter 30.2% 28.4–32.1% 27.9–32.6% 27.5–33.1% 26.6–34.0%
16–22 November 2020 Voxmeter 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
9–15 November 2020 Voxmeter 31.3% 29.5–33.2% 29.0–33.8% 28.6–34.2% 27.7–35.1%
6–12 November 2020 Gallup 29.2% 27.8–30.7% 27.4–31.1% 27.1–31.4% 26.4–32.2%
6–11 November 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 33.5% 31.8–35.3% 31.4–35.8% 31.0–36.2% 30.1–37.0%
2–7 November 2020 Voxmeter 32.5% 30.7–34.4% 30.1–34.9% 29.7–35.4% 28.8–36.4%
26 October–1 November 2020 Voxmeter 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–32.9% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.3%
19–25 October 2020 Voxmeter 29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.1% 26.9–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
12–18 October 2020 Voxmeter 30.8% 29.0–32.8% 28.5–33.3% 28.1–33.8% 27.2–34.7%
5–10 October 2020 Voxmeter 31.3% 29.4–33.2% 28.9–33.7% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.1%
2–5 October 2020 YouGov 32.3% 30.6–34.0% 30.2–34.5% 29.8–34.9% 29.0–35.8%
28 September–4 October 2020 Voxmeter 32.2% 30.7–33.7% 30.3–34.1% 29.9–34.5% 29.2–35.2%
28 September–4 October 2020 Gallup 29.4% 28.2–30.7% 27.8–31.1% 27.5–31.4% 26.9–32.1%
22–28 September 2020 Epinion 31.3% 29.9–32.8% 29.4–33.2% 29.1–33.6% 28.4–34.3%
21–27 September 2020 Voxmeter 33.0% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.2–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
14–20 September 2020 Voxmeter 32.9% 31.1–34.8% 30.5–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.2–36.8%
7–12 September 2020 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.9–34.5% 30.4–35.0% 29.9–35.5% 29.1–36.4%
1–8 September 2020 Epinion 33.2% 31.7–34.7% 31.3–35.2% 31.0–35.5% 30.3–36.3%
31 August–6 September 2020 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
31 August–1 September 2020 Voxmeter 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
24–30 August 2020 Voxmeter 32.3% 30.5–34.2% 30.0–34.8% 29.5–35.3% 28.7–36.2%
17–23 August 2020 Voxmeter 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.3–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.4%
10–16 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 32.9% 31.1–34.8% 30.6–35.4% 30.1–35.8% 29.2–36.8%
3–8 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.9% 30.5–36.4% 29.6–37.3%
1–31 July 2020 Gallup 30.3% 28.8–31.9% 28.3–32.3% 28.0–32.7% 27.3–33.4%
2–6 July 2020 YouGov 32.7% 31.0–34.4% 30.5–34.9% 30.1–35.4% 29.3–36.2%
22–28 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.4% 31.7–39.4%
15–21 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.6% 32.7–36.5% 32.2–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.9–38.5%
8–13 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.0% 32.1–35.9% 31.6–36.4% 31.2–36.9% 30.3–37.9%
11 June 2020 Gallup 33.1% 31.6–34.7% 31.2–35.1% 30.8–35.5% 30.1–36.3%
8–10 June 2020 YouGov 33.8% 32.1–35.5% 31.6–36.0% 31.2–36.5% 30.4–37.3%
1–7 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.4%
25–31 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.7% 32.9–36.7% 32.4–37.2% 31.9–37.7% 31.0–38.6%
22–29 May 2020 Epinion 34.5% 33.0–36.0% 32.6–36.4% 32.2–36.8% 31.5–37.6%
18–24 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.8% 33.9–37.8% 33.4–38.3% 33.0–38.8% 32.1–39.8%
11–17 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.7% 32.8–36.6% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.6% 30.9–38.6%
7–11 May 2020 YouGov 32.8% 31.1–34.5% 30.6–35.0% 30.2–35.4% 29.4–36.3%
4–9 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.1% 32.3–36.1% 31.8–36.6% 31.3–37.1% 30.4–38.0%
27 April–3 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 33.3% 31.4–35.2% 30.9–35.7% 30.4–36.2% 29.6–37.2%
20–26 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.6% 33.7–37.5% 33.2–38.1% 32.7–38.5% 31.8–39.5%
6–19 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.6% 32.3–38.0% 31.4–39.0%
10–16 April 2020 Epinion 35.1% 33.6–36.6% 33.2–37.1% 32.8–37.4% 32.1–38.2%
30 March–11 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.7–37.5% 32.3–38.0% 31.4–38.9%
23 March–5 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.5% 31.2–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
27 March–3 April 2020 Gallup 31.9% 30.4–33.5% 30.0–33.9% 29.6–34.3% 28.9–35.1%
23–29 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 31.5% 29.7–33.3% 29.2–33.9% 28.7–34.3% 27.9–35.2%
16–22 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.2% 26.5–30.1% 26.0–30.6% 25.6–31.0% 24.8–31.9%
9–15 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
2–7 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.9–30.3% 24.1–31.2%
25 February–2 March 2020 Epinion
DR		 27.7% 26.3–29.2% 25.9–29.6% 25.6–30.0% 24.9–30.7%
24 February–1 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.8% 25.1–28.6% 24.6–29.1% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
17–23 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.7–29.3% 25.3–29.8% 24.8–30.2% 24.0–31.1%
10–16 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.8% 26.0–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
7–13 February 2020 Gallup 26.4% 25.0–27.9% 24.6–28.3% 24.2–28.7% 23.6–29.4%
3–8 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.4% 26.7–30.3% 26.2–30.8% 25.8–31.2% 25.0–32.1%
27 January–2 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
20–26 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.8% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.2% 25.2–30.7% 24.4–31.6%
13–19 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
6–11 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.0% 25.3–28.8% 24.8–29.3% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.0% 24.3–27.9% 23.9–28.4% 23.5–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
16–22 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.5% 23.8–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.9–28.2% 22.1–29.1%
9–15 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.4% 24.6–28.2% 24.2–28.7% 23.7–29.1% 23.0–30.0%
12 December 2019 Gallup 25.9% 24.5–27.5% 24.1–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.1–29.0%
2–8 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.9% 24.2–27.8% 23.7–28.3% 23.3–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
25 November–2 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.6% 24.9–28.4% 24.4–28.9% 24.0–29.4% 23.2–30.2%
18–25 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
20 November 2019 Epinion
DR		 25.7% 24.4–27.2% 24.0–27.6% 23.6–27.9% 23.0–28.6%
11–18 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.5% 25.8–29.3% 25.3–29.9% 24.8–30.3% 24.0–31.2%
4–10 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
8 November 2019 Gallup 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.2–29.0%
27 October–4 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
21–27 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
23 October 2019 Epinion
DR		 26.1% 24.7–27.6% 24.3–28.0% 24.0–28.4% 23.3–29.1%
14–20 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.6% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.4% 24.1–31.2%
7–12 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
30 September–7 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 28.0% 26.3–29.8% 25.8–30.3% 25.4–30.8% 24.6–31.7%
23–29 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
29 September 2019 Gallup 26.1% 24.6–27.6% 24.2–28.0% 23.9–28.4% 23.2–29.1%
16–22 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.5–30.0% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
19 September 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.0–28.6% 23.6–29.0% 22.8–29.9%
9–15 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.7% 26.0–29.5% 25.5–30.1% 25.1–30.5% 24.3–31.4%
12 September 2019 Gallup 25.6% 24.2–27.0% 23.9–27.4% 23.5–27.7% 22.9–28.4%
9 September 2019 YouGov 27.1% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
2–9 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
26 August–1 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.0% 24.1–29.4% 23.3–30.3%
18–26 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 27.3% 25.5–29.1% 25.1–29.6% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.0%
12–18 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 26.2% 24.6–28.0% 24.1–28.5% 23.7–29.0% 22.9–29.9%
5–10 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
8 August 2019 Gallup 25.5% 24.1–26.9% 23.7–27.4% 23.4–27.7% 22.7–28.4%
24–30 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.0% 23.4–26.8% 22.9–27.3% 22.5–27.7% 21.7–28.5%
17–23 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.4% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.7% 22.8–28.1% 22.0–29.0%
10–15 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.3% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 2% 99.6%  
22.5–23.5% 8% 98%  
23.5–24.5% 21% 90%  
24.5–25.5% 18% 68%  
25.5–26.5% 21% 51% Last Result, Median
26.5–27.5% 16% 29%  
27.5–28.5% 8% 14%  
28.5–29.5% 4% 6%  
29.5–30.5% 1.2% 1.5%  
30.5–31.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
31.5–32.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 48 seats (General Election of 5 June 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 46 41–50 41–50 40–50 40–53
27–31 October 2022 Yougov 50 50 49–52 48–53 44–57
31 October 2022 Voxmeter 41 41 41 41 41–44
31 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 48 48–49 48–49 48–49 45–49
25–27 October 2022 Voxmeter 43 43–45 42–48 42–50 42–51
27 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 41 40–42 40–42 40–45 39–54
21–25 October 2022 Yougov 48 47–53 47–53 47–54 46–58
22–24 October 2022 Voxmeter 45 42–49 42–49 42–49 39–51
24 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 44 41–46 40–46 39–46 38–48
19–21 October 2022 Voxmeter 42 42–43 42–45 42–48 40–50
20 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 43 42–46 40–46 40–46 40–47
15–18 October 2022 Yougov 55 51–57 49–58 49–58 49–59
16–18 October 2022 Voxmeter 46 43–48 43–48 41–48 40–50
18 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 53 49–54 49–54 46–54 45–55
13–15 October 2022 Voxmeter          
13 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 48 44–50 44–50 43–50 42–50
10–12 October 2022 Voxmeter 46 46–49 46–49 46–52 44–58
12 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 49 44–51 44–51 44–52 44–54
11 October 2022 Yougov 54 54 54 54 54–55
7–9 October 2022 Voxmeter 44 44–50 44–52 44–52 44–54
7 October 2022 Yougov          
3–6 October 2022 Voxmeter 48 46–54 44–54 44–54 43–59
6 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 49 46–49 46–49 45–49 44–54
5 October 2022 Epinion
DR		 49 48–52 47–52 46–53 44–55
26 September–2 October 2022 Voxmeter 45 42–49 41–49 40–49 39–50
2 October 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 46 43–46 41–48 41–48 40–48
19–25 September 2022 Voxmeter 47 41–48 41–50 40–50 39–52
13–20 September 2022 Epinion
DR		 43 43–47 43–48 42–48 42–50
12–18 September 2022 Voxmeter 45 40–46 40–47 39–48 37–50
5–11 September 2022 Voxmeter          
29 August–4 September 2022 Voxmeter 44 41–47 41–47 41–47 40–47
2 September 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 40 39–45 39–45 38–45 36–45
22–28 August 2022 Voxmeter 46 43–46 42–46 42–46 41–49
16–24 August 2022 Epinion
DR		 41 40–44 40–44 40–46 39–46
15–21 August 2022 Voxmeter 43 43–45 43–46 43–48 40–51
8–14 August 2022 Voxmeter 43 40–43 39–43 38–44 36–47
7 August 2022 Yougov 44 43–49 43–49 42–49 40–52
1–6 August 2022 Voxmeter          
5 August 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 45 40–45 39–49 38–49 37–49
21–28 July 2022 Epinion
DR		 47 44–47 43–47 42–47 41–48
27 June–3 July 2022 Voxmeter 45 44–49 43–49 42–52 40–53
20–26 June 2022 Voxmeter 50 45–51 42–51 41–52 41–53
13–19 June 2022 Voxmeter 46 45–51 44–51 42–51 41–52
14 June 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 45 45 44–46 43–49 42–50
6–12 June 2022 Voxmeter          
30 May–5 June 2022 Voxmeter 46 46–51 46–51 43–51 42–57
23–29 May 2022 Voxmeter 42 42–47 41–49 41–49 40–50
22–29 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 51 47–52 47–54 47–55 45–55
16–22 May 2022 Voxmeter 44 42–47 42–47 42–48 40–53
11–18 May 2022 Epinion
DR		 47 45–48 43–50 43–50 43–50
9–15 May 2022 Voxmeter 42 41–47 41–49 41–52 40–54
2–8 May 2022 Voxmeter 52 44–52 44–52 44–52 44–55
29 April–5 May 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 44 44–45 44–47 44–48 43–51
25 April–1 May 2022 Voxmeter          
20–27 April 2022 Epinion
DR		 50 49–50 48–54 47–54 45–55
18–24 April 2022 Voxmeter 51 49–52 47–53 46–53 44–58
8–11 April 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 54 51–54 51–54 50–54 49–54
4–9 April 2022 Voxmeter 48 43–49 42–52 42–53 41–55
4 April 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 48 45–51 44–52 44–52 44–53
28 March–3 April 2022 Voxmeter 46 42–49 42–49 42–52 41–54
21–27 March 2022 Voxmeter 51 45–52 45–53 45–53 45–56
14–20 March 2022 Voxmeter 48 44–51 44–51 43–53 42–54
8–15 March 2022 Epinion
DR		 51 48–54 48–55 48–55 46–57
7–12 March 2022 Voxmeter 50 45–53 44–55 44–55 43–56
4–7 March 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 55 52–61 52–61 52–61 48–62
21–27 February 2022 Voxmeter 49 45–50 44–51 43–52 41–54
14–20 February 2022 Voxmeter 46 42–50 42–51 41–51 40–51
9–16 February 2022 Epinion
DR		 45 43–47 42–48 42–49 41–51
7–12 February 2022 Voxmeter 43 41–47 41–48 40–49 38–50
4–6 February 2022 YouGov
B.T.		 51 51 51 51 48–51
31 January–6 February 2022 Voxmeter          
26 January–3 February 2022 Gallup
Berlingske		 51 51 50–51 48–52 47–54
24–30 January 2022 Voxmeter 44 42–47 41–48 40–50 38–52
17–23 January 2022 Voxmeter          
10–16 January 2022 Voxmeter 46 44–50 43–52 41–52 40–53
7–10 January 2022 YouGov
B.T.		          
3–8 January 2022 Voxmeter 46 44–48 43–48 42–48 39–51
20–23 December 2021 Voxmeter 47 46–52 44–52 43–52 41–53
13–19 December 2021 Voxmeter          
6–11 December 2021 Voxmeter          
3–9 December 2021 Gallup 49 46–53 46–53 45–53 43–53
30 November–8 December 2021 Epinion
DR		 47 46–48 45–50 44–51 43–52
29 November–5 December 2021 Voxmeter 46 41–51 41–53 41–53 40–53
22–28 November 2021 Voxmeter 46 46–48 46–48 46–48 43–51
15–21 November 2021 Voxmeter          
8–14 November 2021 Voxmeter          
1–6 November 2021 Voxmeter          
29 October–4 November 2021 Gallup 47 45–50 44–51 44–51 43–53
25–31 October 2021 Voxmeter          
18–24 October 2021 Voxmeter          
14–21 October 2021 Epinion 51 47–53 47–54 47–55 46–56
11–17 October 2021 Voxmeter          
4–11 October 2021 Voxmeter          
27 September–3 October 2021 Voxmeter          
3 October 2021 Gallup          
21–29 September 2021 Epinion          
17–20 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 55 53–60 53–61 51–61 48–62
13–19 September 2021 Voxmeter          
10–12 September 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
23–29 August 2021 Voxmeter          
19–26 August 2021 Epinion
DR		          
16–22 August 2021 Voxmeter          
13–16 August 2021 YouGov
B.T.		          
9–15 August 2021 Voxmeter          
2–7 August 2021 Voxmeter 52 50–57 50–57 50–59 48–60
30 July–5 August 2021 Gallup 52 51–52 50–52 48–53 44–54
21–27 June 2021 Voxmeter 52 48–58 47–60 46–60 45–60
14–20 June 2021 Voxmeter 51 48–51 48–51 47–53 45–55
7–12 June 2021 Voxmeter 50 47–54 47–56 45–56 45–58
4–10 June 2021 Gallup 48 45–50 44–50 44–51 42–53
4–6 June 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 60 57–65 57–66 56–66 54–67
31 May–6 June 2021 Voxmeter 54 51–58 50–59 50–60 49–62
24–30 May 2021 Voxmeter 57 53–61 52–62 51–62 49–64
17–23 May 2021 Voxmeter 54 51–58 50–59 50–59 48–62
11–19 May 2021 Epinion 51 47–54 47–56 47–56 45–56
10–16 May 2021 Voxmeter 56 52–60 52–61 52–62 51–64
7–9 May 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 60 56–60 56–60 55–61 53–63
3–8 May 2021 Voxmeter 56 53–60 52–62 52–62 50–64
26 April–2 May 2021 Voxmeter 56 56–57 54–58 53–60 51–61
19–25 April 2021 Voxmeter 59 55–60 55–61 54–61 52–64
12–18 April 2021 Voxmeter 57 55–59 53–59 51–61 51–63
7–13 April 2021 Epinion 56 52–57 52–60 52–60 51–60
9–11 April 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 58 56–62 55–66 54–68 50–69
5–10 April 2021 Voxmeter 58 55–60 54–61 53–63 51–64
2–8 April 2021 Gallup 52 49–55 48–56 47–57 47–58
29 March–4 April 2021 Voxmeter 56 51–59 51–60 50–61 49–64
22–28 March 2021 Voxmeter 60 57–64 55–65 53–65 53–65
15–21 March 2021 Voxmeter 61 57–66 57–66 56–66 54–67
7–14 March 2021 Voxmeter 58 56–62 55–63 53–64 52–66
1–6 March 2021 Voxmeter 58 55–63 54–63 54–63 52–65
22–28 February 2021 Voxmeter 59 56–62 55–63 54–64 52–67
15–21 February 2021 Voxmeter 59 55–63 54–63 54–63 52–64
8–15 February 2021 Voxmeter 57 56–61 55–63 55–64 53–64
1–14 February 2021 Electica
Alliancen		 60 59–61 58–61 57–61 57–63
5–8 February 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 63 60–65 59–65 58–65 56–68
1–6 February 2021 Voxmeter 59 57–63 56–63 55–66 53–67
25–31 January 2021 Voxmeter 58 57–65 54–65 53–65 51–65
22–28 January 2021 Gallup 52 51–56 50–56 49–57 47–58
18–24 January 2021 Voxmeter 60 55–64 55–64 55–65 53–66
18–21 January 2021 Epinion 60 57–61 56–61 55–62 54–64
15–18 January 2021 YouGov
B.T.		 61 59–63 57–63 57–64 54–66
11–17 January 2021 Voxmeter 60 57–65 55–67 54–67 53–67
4–9 January 2021 Voxmeter 58 54–60 53–62 53–63 51–65
14–20 December 2020 Voxmeter 61 56–62 55–62 53–62 52–64
7–12 December 2020 Voxmeter 59 55–62 55–63 53–64 52–65
4–10 December 2020 Gallup 54 51–57 50–59 49–59 48–59
1–8 December 2020 Epinion 56 53–60 52–60 52–60 50–62
4–7 December 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 63 57–64 56–64 56–64 55–65
30 November–5 December 2020 Voxmeter 56 52–62 51–62 51–62 49–63
23–29 November 2020 Voxmeter 54 51–57 49–57 49–59 48–60
16–22 November 2020 Voxmeter 52 49–53 49–55 48–56 46–60
9–15 November 2020 Voxmeter 56 53–57 52–59 52–60 50–62
6–12 November 2020 Gallup 53 51–53 51–55 49–55 48–56
6–11 November 2020 YouGov
B.T.		 60 56–64 55–64 54–65 52–66
2–7 November 2020 Voxmeter 58 58–59 56–60 56–62 52–64
26 October–1 November 2020 Voxmeter 56 53–59 52–60 51–61 48–62
19–25 October 2020 Voxmeter 53 51–57 50–57 49–58 46–62
12–18 October 2020 Voxmeter 56 54–60 52–60 51–60 50–63
5–10 October 2020 Voxmeter 58 54–60 52–60 50–61 49–63
2–5 October 2020 YouGov 58 57–61 56–61 56–63 54–64
28 September–4 October 2020 Voxmeter 57 57 57–59 56–61 54–63
28 September–4 October 2020 Gallup 52 52–53 52–53 52–53 52–55
22–28 September 2020 Epinion 56 54–61 53–62 53–63 51–64
21–27 September 2020 Voxmeter 60 57–65 55–65 54–65 53–65
14–20 September 2020 Voxmeter 63 59–63 57–63 56–66 52–66
7–12 September 2020 Voxmeter 59 56–64 55–64 53–65 52–66
1–8 September 2020 Epinion 59 57–63 56–64 56–64 55–65
31 August–6 September 2020 Voxmeter 60 59–60 57–60 57–62 54–65
31 August–1 September 2020 Voxmeter 59 56–64 55–65 54–66 53–66
24–30 August 2020 Voxmeter 62 55–62 55–63 55–63 51–63
17–23 August 2020 Voxmeter 61 57–61 56–61 55–63 53–66
10–16 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 58 56–61 55–63 54–63 51–67
3–8 August 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 58 56–63 56–63 55–65 53–67
1–31 July 2020 Gallup 53 50–57 50–58 49–59 48–59
2–6 July 2020 YouGov 58 56–61 55–62 55–65 53–65
22–28 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 64 61–66 59–67 59–68 57–70
15–21 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 60 59–68 59–68 57–68 56–69
8–13 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 61 57–65 57–66 56–67 55–70
11 June 2020 Gallup 59 55–63 55–65 55–66 55–67
8–10 June 2020 YouGov 61 60–64 59–64 56–64 55–65
1–7 June 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 65 62–67 59–68 58–69 58–72
25–31 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 61 58–64 57–65 57–66 55–68
22–29 May 2020 Epinion 63 60–65 59–65 58–67 57–69
18–24 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 66 60–73 60–73 58–73 57–73
11–17 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 64 60–69 58–71 58–71 55–71
7–11 May 2020 YouGov 64 58–64 57–64 56–64 55–65
4–9 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 62 59–68 58–68 57–68 56–69
27 April–3 May 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 60 57–63 57–65 56–65 53–67
20–26 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 66 61–69 61–71 60–73 58–75
6–19 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 66 62–69 60–70 59–71 58–71
10–16 April 2020 Epinion 63 60–65 60–67 59–67 59–68
30 March–11 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 64 61–67 59–67 58–70 57–72
23 March–5 April 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 63 59–65 58–66 57–66 55–68
27 March–3 April 2020 Gallup 61 56–62 55–62 54–63 54–65
23–29 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 57 54–61 52–62 51–62 50–63
16–22 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 51 48–54 47–55 47–56 44–57
9–15 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 45–53 45–54 45–54 43–56
2–7 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 53 49–55 46–56 45–56 45–58
25 February–2 March 2020 Epinion
DR		 52 48–55 47–56 46–56 45–58
24 February–1 March 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 45–51 44–52 44–53 44–54
17–23 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 50 47–53 46–54 46–56 44–56
10–16 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 51 49–58 48–58 48–58 45–58
7–13 February 2020 Gallup 51 46–51 45–51 44–51 42–53
3–8 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 52 48–56 46–56 46–57 44–61
27 January–2 February 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 45–54 45–55 44–55 43–56
20–26 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 50 50–54 48–54 46–54 44–56
13–19 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 50 45–52 44–54 44–54 42–55
6–11 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 47–52 46–52 44–53 42–55
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 47 43–51 43–51 43–51 41–53
16–22 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 46 43–50 43–51 41–52 41–54
9–15 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 48 44–53 44–53 42–54 41–55
12 December 2019 Gallup 48 47–52 46–52 45–52 43–52
2–8 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 47 44–51 44–51 42–52 40–55
25 November–2 December 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 48 45–52 44–53 42–54 42–55
18–25 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 51 48–52 47–53 45–54 44–55
20 November 2019 Epinion
DR		 44 44–47 44–48 43–48 40–52
11–18 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 51 47–52 46–53 46–54 44–55
4–10 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 48–50 45–51 44–52 43–54
8 November 2019 Gallup 47 45–52 44–53 44–53 42–53
27 October–4 November 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 43–52 43–52 43–52 43–55
21–27 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 47 47–51 46–52 45–53 43–56
23 October 2019 Epinion
DR		 46 44–48 43–49 42–49 41–51
14–20 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 52 47–54 46–54 44–54 43–56
7–12 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 50 45–53 44–53 43–54 41–57
30 September–7 October 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 48–55 48–57 46–57 45–57
23–29 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 50 43–52 43–53 43–54 43–55
29 September 2019 Gallup 49 43–49 43–51 42–51 41–51
16–22 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 47–53 47–53 46–57 44–57
19 September 2019 Norstat
Altinget and Jyllands-Posten		 48 44–50 43–50 41–50 41–52
9–15 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 51 48–53 46–55 45–59 43–59
12 September 2019 Gallup 46 45–46 43–48 43–48 40–49
9 September 2019 YouGov 45 45–46 45–51 45–53 43–58
2–9 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 50 46–57 45–57 44–57 42–57
26 August–1 September 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 49 44–53 43–55 43–56 42–56
18–26 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 53 48–53 46–53 45–53 43–56
12–18 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 48 46–48 43–48 43–48 42–50
5–10 August 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 46 44–49 43–50 42–51 41–54
8 August 2019 Gallup 47 44–50 44–50 42–50 41–52
24–30 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 44 42–48 42–48 41–50 39–52
17–23 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 46 42–47 41–49 39–50 39–52
10–15 June 2019 Voxmeter
Ritzau		 44 43–48 42–51 42–51 40–51

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialdemokraterne.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 3% 99.8%  
41 43% 96%  
42 2% 53%  
43 0.2% 51%  
44 0.4% 51%  
45 0.4% 51%  
46 0.4% 50% Median
47 0.5% 50%  
48 18% 49% Last Result
49 7% 31%  
50 22% 24%  
51 0.3% 2%  
52 0.9% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.9%  
54 0.3% 0.5%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%