Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 17–23 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.4% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.7% 22.8–28.1% 22.0–29.0%
Venstre 23.4% 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.8% 21.7–28.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 42–47 41–49 39–50 39–52
Venstre 43 43 40–46 40–47 39–48 39–50
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 13–18 13–18 13–18 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–17 12–17 12–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–16 11–16 10–16 9–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–15 10–15 10–15 9–16
Alternativet 5 5 4–7 4–7 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 4–5 0–5 0–5 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.5% 100%  
39 4% 99.5%  
40 0.4% 96%  
41 1.0% 95%  
42 14% 94%  
43 1.3% 81%  
44 4% 79%  
45 19% 75%  
46 20% 56% Median
47 29% 36%  
48 0.6% 7% Last Result
49 3% 7%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 1.5% 2%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 3% 99.8%  
40 19% 97%  
41 14% 78%  
42 2% 64%  
43 22% 62% Last Result, Median
44 4% 40%  
45 26% 36%  
46 1.1% 10%  
47 4% 9%  
48 3% 5%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 1.0% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.9%  
13 8% 98.9%  
14 13% 91%  
15 19% 78%  
16 23% 59% Last Result, Median
17 6% 36%  
18 26% 29%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.8% 1.1%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.5%  
13 24% 98.9%  
14 14% 75%  
15 21% 61% Median
16 14% 40% Last Result
17 5% 27%  
18 20% 21%  
19 0.7% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.7%  
12 8% 98.8%  
13 26% 91%  
14 25% 64% Last Result, Median
15 17% 40%  
16 3% 23%  
17 19% 20%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 2% 98%  
11 7% 96%  
12 6% 89%  
13 36% 83% Last Result, Median
14 16% 46%  
15 19% 31%  
16 12% 12%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.4%  
11 18% 95%  
12 44% 77% Last Result, Median
13 10% 33%  
14 2% 23%  
15 19% 20%  
16 1.0% 1.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 24% 97%  
5 47% 73% Last Result, Median
6 10% 25%  
7 15% 15%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100%  
1 0% 69%  
2 0% 69%  
3 0% 69%  
4 23% 69% Last Result, Median
5 39% 46%  
6 7% 7%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 81% 93% Last Result, Median
5 10% 12%  
6 1.0% 2%  
7 1.1% 1.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 39%  
2 0% 39%  
3 1.5% 39%  
4 32% 38%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0.5% 0.7%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 28%  
2 0% 28%  
3 0% 28%  
4 24% 28%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 94 88% 89–98 87–98 86–99 83–99
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 90 54% 84–93 81–93 81–94 78–95
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0.5% 75–84 75–86 75–87 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 77 0% 75–81 75–85 74–86 74–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 75 0% 71–80 71–82 71–84 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0% 74–82 72–82 71–82 69–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 71–78 71–81 70–82 69–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 76 0% 72–80 68–80 68–81 67–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 68–77 66–77 66–77 65–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 58–63 56–65 54–66 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 55–63 55–64 54–65 54–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 52–59 52–60 52–61 50–63
Venstre 43 43 0% 40–46 40–47 39–48 39–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 2% 100%  
84 0% 98%  
85 0.5% 98%  
86 0.2% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 4% 95%  
89 3% 90%  
90 0.7% 88% Majority
91 2% 87%  
92 2% 85%  
93 5% 83%  
94 29% 78% Median
95 12% 49%  
96 15% 37% Last Result
97 2% 22%  
98 18% 20%  
99 2% 3%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 2% 100%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 0.4% 98%  
81 4% 98%  
82 0.8% 94%  
83 3% 93%  
84 0.8% 90%  
85 2% 90%  
86 0.5% 87%  
87 4% 87%  
88 1.4% 83%  
89 27% 81% Median
90 29% 54% Majority
91 4% 25% Last Result
92 0.4% 21%  
93 18% 21%  
94 1.3% 3%  
95 1.3% 1.5%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.8%  
75 13% 99.3%  
76 3% 86%  
77 31% 83%  
78 2% 52% Median
79 3% 50% Last Result
80 12% 47%  
81 19% 35%  
82 2% 16%  
83 4% 14%  
84 4% 10%  
85 0.4% 6%  
86 2% 6%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.2% 0.6%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0% 99.7%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 3% 99.6%  
75 13% 97%  
76 4% 83%  
77 47% 79%  
78 4% 32% Median
79 1.3% 28% Last Result
80 16% 27%  
81 2% 11%  
82 0.6% 9%  
83 3% 9%  
84 0.2% 5%  
85 0.7% 5%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.2% 2%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 14% 99.4%  
72 0.6% 85%  
73 29% 84%  
74 2% 55% Median
75 4% 53% Last Result
76 13% 49%  
77 18% 36%  
78 6% 18%  
79 2% 12%  
80 3% 10%  
81 1.4% 7%  
82 3% 6%  
83 0.7% 3%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.5% 0.6%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 2% 99.2%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 95%  
73 1.3% 92%  
74 4% 91%  
75 1.1% 87%  
76 28% 86%  
77 3% 58%  
78 3% 55% Median
79 0.6% 52%  
80 8% 52% Last Result
81 24% 44%  
82 19% 20%  
83 0.7% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 2% 99.5%  
71 15% 97%  
72 0.6% 82%  
73 46% 81%  
74 4% 36% Median
75 3% 31% Last Result
76 16% 29%  
77 2% 13%  
78 4% 11%  
79 0.3% 7%  
80 1.3% 6%  
81 0.8% 5%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.4% 100%  
67 2% 99.6%  
68 4% 98%  
69 0.4% 94%  
70 0.2% 94%  
71 2% 93%  
72 5% 92%  
73 13% 86%  
74 14% 73%  
75 3% 59%  
76 11% 56% Median
77 17% 45%  
78 3% 28% Last Result
79 3% 25%  
80 20% 22%  
81 1.5% 3%  
82 0.3% 1.1%  
83 0.8% 0.8%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 2% 99.5%  
66 4% 98%  
67 2% 93%  
68 0.9% 91%  
69 0.6% 90%  
70 1.5% 89%  
71 11% 88%  
72 20% 77%  
73 2% 58% Median
74 19% 55%  
75 4% 36% Last Result
76 14% 33%  
77 18% 19%  
78 0.8% 1.0%  
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 2% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 98%  
55 2% 97%  
56 2% 96%  
57 3% 93%  
58 0.6% 90%  
59 7% 90%  
60 10% 83%  
61 27% 73%  
62 3% 46% Median
63 36% 43%  
64 0.7% 7% Last Result
65 2% 6%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.3% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 17% 97%  
56 14% 81%  
57 9% 67%  
58 3% 57%  
59 4% 54% Last Result, Median
60 23% 50%  
61 5% 27%  
62 11% 21%  
63 0.9% 10%  
64 5% 10%  
65 2% 5%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 2% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 98%  
52 13% 98%  
53 2% 84%  
54 2% 83%  
55 43% 81% Last Result, Median
56 5% 38%  
57 20% 34%  
58 3% 13%  
59 4% 11%  
60 4% 7%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.4% 1.0%  
63 0.3% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 3% 99.8%  
40 19% 97%  
41 14% 78%  
42 2% 64%  
43 22% 62% Last Result, Median
44 4% 40%  
45 26% 36%  
46 1.1% 10%  
47 4% 9%  
48 3% 5%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 1.0% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations