Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 24–30 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.0% 23.4–26.8% 22.9–27.3% 22.5–27.7% 21.7–28.5%
Venstre 23.4% 24.5% 22.9–26.3% 22.4–26.8% 22.0–27.2% 21.3–28.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.5–8.5% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.4–9.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.1%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 42–48 42–48 41–50 39–52
Venstre 43 45 41–48 41–48 39–48 37–50
Radikale Venstre 16 15 14–18 13–20 13–20 12–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 13–18 12–19 12–19 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 10–14 10–15 10–16 10–17
Alternativet 5 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 0–8
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 1.2% 99.7%  
40 0.8% 98%  
41 2% 98%  
42 35% 96%  
43 8% 61%  
44 8% 54% Median
45 21% 46%  
46 9% 25%  
47 5% 16%  
48 7% 11% Last Result
49 0.6% 3%  
50 0.4% 3%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.3% 0.6%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.7%  
38 0.7% 99.1%  
39 2% 98%  
40 0.4% 97%  
41 7% 96%  
42 2% 89%  
43 8% 87% Last Result
44 5% 79%  
45 26% 74% Median
46 9% 48%  
47 3% 39%  
48 34% 35%  
49 0.6% 1.4%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.6%  
13 6% 99.1%  
14 15% 93%  
15 48% 78% Median
16 11% 30% Last Result
17 5% 20%  
18 7% 15%  
19 2% 8%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.5% 0.5%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 6% 99.7%  
13 4% 94%  
14 20% 90%  
15 6% 70%  
16 42% 63% Last Result, Median
17 11% 22%  
18 2% 11%  
19 8% 8%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 6% 99.2%  
12 40% 93%  
13 19% 53% Median
14 11% 35% Last Result
15 15% 24%  
16 7% 8%  
17 0.9% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.8%  
11 14% 98%  
12 17% 85% Last Result
13 47% 68% Median
14 6% 21%  
15 9% 15%  
16 4% 5%  
17 0.8% 1.2%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.9%  
10 12% 99.5%  
11 5% 88%  
12 30% 83%  
13 5% 53% Last Result, Median
14 41% 48%  
15 4% 6%  
16 0.9% 3%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 14% 98%  
5 59% 83% Last Result, Median
6 15% 24%  
7 7% 9%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 20% 94% Last Result
5 29% 73% Median
6 43% 44%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0% 82%  
4 58% 82% Last Result, Median
5 22% 25%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.3% 0.5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 19%  
2 0% 19%  
3 0% 19%  
4 16% 19%  
5 2% 3%  
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 25%  
2 0% 25%  
3 0% 25%  
4 20% 25%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 90 55% 88–95 88–97 87–98 84–100
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 86 12% 83–90 83–92 82–93 80–95
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 83 1.0% 78–87 77–87 75–87 73–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0% 78–87 76–87 74–87 72–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 79 0.2% 75–81 74–81 72–82 69–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 74 0% 73–80 73–80 71–82 69–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 78 0% 73–81 72–81 70–81 68–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 72 0% 69–79 69–80 69–81 67–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 69 0% 68–74 68–74 66–76 64–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 57–64 57–67 56–67 54–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 62 0% 58–65 56–66 54–66 53–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 54–61 54–61 53–62 50–64
Venstre 43 45 0% 41–48 41–48 39–48 37–50

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.9% 99.4%  
86 0.4% 98%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 36% 97%  
89 6% 62%  
90 13% 55% Median, Majority
91 11% 43%  
92 7% 32%  
93 7% 25%  
94 1.4% 18%  
95 7% 16%  
96 0.8% 9% Last Result
97 5% 9%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.7% 2%  
100 1.0% 1.4%  
101 0.1% 0.4%  
102 0% 0.3%  
103 0.3% 0.3%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.9%  
80 0.9% 99.6%  
81 0.6% 98.7%  
82 0.7% 98%  
83 41% 97%  
84 5% 57%  
85 2% 52% Median
86 21% 50%  
87 8% 29%  
88 3% 22%  
89 7% 19%  
90 3% 12% Majority
91 0.6% 9% Last Result
92 5% 8%  
93 1.1% 3%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 1.0% 1.4%  
96 0.3% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.3% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 0.5% 99.3%  
75 1.3% 98.7%  
76 0.9% 97%  
77 2% 97%  
78 6% 95%  
79 1.4% 88% Last Result
80 17% 87%  
81 6% 70%  
82 9% 65%  
83 7% 55% Median
84 2% 48%  
85 7% 46%  
86 4% 39%  
87 33% 35%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.2% 1.3%  
90 0.8% 1.0% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.9% 99.8%  
73 0.7% 98.9%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 1.2% 95%  
77 3% 94%  
78 10% 91%  
79 7% 81% Last Result
80 17% 73%  
81 5% 57%  
82 5% 52%  
83 0.9% 47% Median
84 1.4% 46%  
85 7% 45%  
86 5% 38%  
87 33% 33%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100%  
69 0.5% 99.6%  
70 1.0% 99.1%  
71 0.3% 98%  
72 1.0% 98%  
73 1.0% 97%  
74 6% 96%  
75 20% 90% Last Result
76 2% 70%  
77 6% 68%  
78 7% 62% Median
79 6% 56%  
80 12% 49%  
81 35% 38%  
82 0.5% 3%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.7% 1.2%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 0.9% 99.6%  
70 1.1% 98.7%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 0.8% 97%  
73 34% 96%  
74 16% 62%  
75 7% 46% Median
76 5% 38%  
77 15% 33%  
78 3% 18%  
79 5% 15%  
80 6% 10% Last Result
81 1.1% 4%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.6% 1.2%  
84 0.4% 0.6%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 1.2% 99.8%  
69 0.7% 98.7%  
70 1.5% 98%  
71 1.2% 96%  
72 1.4% 95%  
73 6% 94%  
74 7% 88%  
75 24% 81% Last Result
76 1.0% 57%  
77 2% 56%  
78 5% 53% Median
79 1.1% 48%  
80 11% 47%  
81 35% 36%  
82 0.1% 1.3%  
83 0.5% 1.1%  
84 0.3% 0.6%  
85 0% 0.3%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 33% 98.7%  
70 2% 65%  
71 9% 63%  
72 5% 54% Median
73 7% 49%  
74 18% 42%  
75 2% 25%  
76 1.4% 22%  
77 7% 21%  
78 2% 14% Last Result
79 6% 12%  
80 4% 6%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.7%  
84 0.3% 0.3%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 1.2% 99.7%  
65 0.4% 98%  
66 0.7% 98%  
67 1.3% 97%  
68 41% 96%  
69 7% 55%  
70 8% 48% Median
71 6% 40%  
72 19% 35%  
73 2% 16%  
74 9% 14%  
75 0.7% 5% Last Result
76 2% 4%  
77 0.7% 2%  
78 0.5% 1.1%  
79 0.4% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.2% 99.7%  
55 1.2% 99.5%  
56 3% 98%  
57 37% 95%  
58 2% 59%  
59 16% 56% Median
60 8% 40%  
61 9% 32%  
62 1.3% 23%  
63 7% 22%  
64 7% 15% Last Result
65 2% 8%  
66 0.4% 6%  
67 3% 5%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.3% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.9%  
54 2% 99.2%  
55 1.3% 97%  
56 2% 96%  
57 2% 94%  
58 12% 93%  
59 7% 81% Last Result
60 2% 74%  
61 16% 71%  
62 11% 55% Median
63 2% 44%  
64 2% 41%  
65 34% 40%  
66 5% 6%  
67 0.2% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.9%  
69 0.2% 0.6%  
70 0.4% 0.4%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 1.2% 99.6%  
51 0.2% 98%  
52 0.5% 98%  
53 2% 98%  
54 7% 96%  
55 4% 89% Last Result
56 9% 85%  
57 16% 76%  
58 12% 60% Median
59 5% 48%  
60 2% 43%  
61 37% 40%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.5% 1.3%  
64 0.4% 0.8%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.7%  
38 0.7% 99.1%  
39 2% 98%  
40 0.4% 97%  
41 7% 96%  
42 2% 89%  
43 8% 87% Last Result
44 5% 79%  
45 26% 74% Median
46 9% 48%  
47 3% 39%  
48 34% 35%  
49 0.6% 1.4%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations