Opinion Poll by Gallup, 8 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.5% 24.1–26.9% 23.7–27.4% 23.4–27.7% 22.7–28.4%
Venstre 23.4% 23.5% 22.2–25.0% 21.8–25.4% 21.5–25.7% 20.8–26.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.5% 8.6–10.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.7–11.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–11.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.7% 6.9–8.6% 6.6–8.9% 6.4–9.1% 6.1–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.2% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.1%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 44–50 44–50 42–50 41–52
Venstre 43 42 39–45 37–45 37–46 37–47
Dansk Folkeparti 16 17 16–19 15–19 15–19 14–21
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–17 14–18 14–19 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 11–16 11–16 11–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 10–15 10–15 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 4–6 4–6 0–7 0–7
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 2% 99.5%  
43 2% 97%  
44 9% 96%  
45 2% 86%  
46 16% 85%  
47 22% 68% Median
48 29% 47% Last Result
49 6% 18%  
50 11% 12%  
51 0.8% 1.4%  
52 0.1% 0.6%  
53 0.5% 0.5%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 6% 99.9%  
38 4% 94%  
39 2% 90%  
40 7% 88%  
41 6% 81%  
42 54% 75% Median
43 2% 21% Last Result
44 4% 19%  
45 12% 15%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.3% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 4% 98%  
16 26% 94% Last Result
17 37% 68% Median
18 19% 31%  
19 10% 12%  
20 0.8% 1.4%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 7% 98%  
15 9% 90%  
16 54% 81% Last Result, Median
17 17% 27%  
18 6% 10%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 6% 99.8%  
12 21% 94%  
13 9% 72%  
14 30% 64% Last Result, Median
15 21% 33%  
16 6% 12%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.6% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 6% 99.9%  
12 9% 94%  
13 21% 84% Last Result
14 27% 64% Median
15 31% 36%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 5% 99.7%  
11 10% 94%  
12 12% 84% Last Result
13 41% 72% Median
14 19% 31%  
15 11% 12%  
16 0.5% 0.9%  
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 34% 96% Last Result
5 35% 62% Median
6 22% 27%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0% 61%  
4 23% 61% Median
5 35% 39% Last Result
6 1.3% 4%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 36% 80% Last Result, Median
5 16% 45%  
6 29% 29%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 15% 15%  
5 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.6% 0.8%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 93 98% 91–98 90–98 90–100 88–100
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 91 62% 89–94 87–95 85–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 75–80 73–82 73–86 73–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 82 0.1% 77–84 77–85 75–85 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 82 0.1% 77–84 77–85 75–85 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0.1% 77–84 77–85 75–85 75–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0.1% 77–82 77–83 75–84 75–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0.1% 77–82 77–83 75–84 75–86
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 78 0% 75–79 73–80 71–82 70–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 77 0% 72–79 70–80 70–81 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 73–77 69–79 69–81 68–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0% 72–78 70–80 70–80 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 60–65 60–67 58–67 57–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 53–61 53–63 53–64 53–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 51–57 50–59 50–60 50–61
Venstre 43 42 0% 39–45 37–45 37–46 37–47

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.6%  
89 2% 99.4%  
90 7% 98% Majority
91 2% 90%  
92 6% 89%  
93 40% 83%  
94 18% 42%  
95 6% 25% Median
96 6% 19% Last Result
97 2% 13%  
98 6% 11%  
99 0.5% 4%  
100 4% 4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 2% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 1.0% 96%  
87 3% 95%  
88 2% 92%  
89 29% 90%  
90 11% 62% Majority
91 8% 51% Last Result, Median
92 3% 43%  
93 27% 39%  
94 7% 13%  
95 4% 6%  
96 0.1% 2%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 8% 99.6%  
74 1.2% 92%  
75 1.0% 91%  
76 7% 90%  
77 32% 82%  
78 28% 50%  
79 10% 22% Median
80 5% 12% Last Result
81 1.0% 8%  
82 2% 7%  
83 0.5% 4%  
84 0.1% 4%  
85 0% 4%  
86 4% 4%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 4% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 96%  
77 6% 96%  
78 2% 89%  
79 6% 87% Last Result
80 6% 81%  
81 18% 75% Median
82 40% 58%  
83 6% 17%  
84 2% 11%  
85 7% 10%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 4% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 96%  
77 7% 96%  
78 2% 89%  
79 6% 87% Last Result
80 6% 80%  
81 17% 74% Median
82 40% 57%  
83 6% 17%  
84 2% 11%  
85 7% 9%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 4% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 96%  
77 7% 96%  
78 2% 89%  
79 6% 87% Last Result
80 6% 80%  
81 17% 74% Median
82 40% 57%  
83 6% 17%  
84 2% 11%  
85 7% 9%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 4% 99.8%  
76 0.6% 96%  
77 7% 96%  
78 10% 89%  
79 7% 79% Last Result
80 6% 72%  
81 23% 66% Median
82 34% 44%  
83 6% 10%  
84 1.4% 4%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.8%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 4% 99.8%  
76 0.6% 96%  
77 7% 96%  
78 10% 89%  
79 7% 79% Last Result
80 6% 72%  
81 23% 66% Median
82 34% 44%  
83 6% 10%  
84 1.4% 4%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.8%  
87 0.1% 0.5%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 2% 99.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 0.3% 96%  
73 2% 96%  
74 4% 94%  
75 18% 90%  
76 10% 73%  
77 8% 63% Median
78 36% 55% Last Result
79 10% 19%  
80 6% 9%  
81 0.5% 3%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.7% 0.7%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 7% 99.8%  
71 0.7% 93%  
72 3% 92%  
73 6% 89%  
74 0.6% 83%  
75 4% 82% Last Result
76 25% 78% Median
77 6% 53%  
78 33% 47%  
79 8% 14%  
80 3% 7%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.4% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.7%  
69 3% 98%  
70 0.6% 95%  
71 1.5% 94%  
72 2% 93%  
73 30% 91%  
74 16% 60%  
75 1.1% 45% Last Result, Median
76 8% 44%  
77 26% 36%  
78 4% 9%  
79 2% 6%  
80 0.1% 4%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 7% 99.8%  
71 0.7% 92%  
72 11% 92%  
73 6% 81%  
74 0.7% 75%  
75 9% 74% Last Result
76 18% 65% Median
77 7% 47%  
78 33% 40%  
79 2% 7%  
80 3% 5%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0.4% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.4% 99.8%  
58 2% 99.4%  
59 2% 97%  
60 8% 95%  
61 11% 87%  
62 1.1% 76%  
63 19% 75% Median
64 40% 56% Last Result
65 7% 16%  
66 2% 10%  
67 7% 7%  
68 0.7% 0.8%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 12% 99.8%  
54 4% 88%  
55 6% 84%  
56 1.1% 78%  
57 9% 77%  
58 3% 68%  
59 8% 65% Last Result, Median
60 19% 58%  
61 30% 38%  
62 2% 8%  
63 3% 6%  
64 2% 4%  
65 2% 2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.3% 100%  
50 9% 99.7%  
51 0.4% 90%  
52 1.5% 90%  
53 15% 89%  
54 4% 74%  
55 32% 69% Last Result, Median
56 22% 38%  
57 9% 16%  
58 0.5% 6%  
59 3% 6%  
60 1.2% 3%  
61 2% 2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 6% 99.9%  
38 4% 94%  
39 2% 90%  
40 7% 88%  
41 6% 81%  
42 54% 75% Median
43 2% 21% Last Result
44 4% 19%  
45 12% 15%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.3% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations