Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 5–10 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
Venstre 23.4% 25.4% 23.7–27.3% 23.3–27.8% 22.8–28.2% 22.1–29.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.2–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.2–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 44–49 43–50 42–51 41–54
Venstre 43 50 44–50 43–50 43–50 40–51
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 14–17 14–18 13–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–17 13–18 13–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 16 13–16 13–17 12–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 11 11–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
Alternativet 5 0 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–8
Stram Kurs 0 5 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.8%  
41 0.8% 99.7%  
42 3% 98.8%  
43 5% 96%  
44 5% 91%  
45 5% 87%  
46 56% 82% Median
47 13% 26%  
48 2% 13% Last Result
49 4% 11%  
50 5% 7%  
51 0.6% 3%  
52 0.1% 2%  
53 0% 2%  
54 2% 2%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 0.5% 98.9%  
43 7% 98% Last Result
44 2% 92%  
45 5% 90%  
46 8% 85%  
47 4% 77%  
48 2% 72%  
49 2% 70%  
50 67% 68% Median
51 1.1% 1.3%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.5% 100%  
13 2% 99.5%  
14 8% 97% Last Result
15 7% 90%  
16 62% 83% Median
17 2% 21%  
18 16% 19%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 1.1% 98%  
14 20% 97%  
15 55% 77% Median
16 9% 22% Last Result
17 8% 13%  
18 1.0% 5%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.0% 100%  
12 1.4% 99.0%  
13 19% 98% Last Result
14 5% 78%  
15 6% 73%  
16 54% 68% Median
17 5% 13%  
18 7% 9%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 3% 98%  
13 18% 95%  
14 7% 78%  
15 6% 71%  
16 57% 65% Last Result, Median
17 4% 8%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.6% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.9%  
11 58% 98.6% Median
12 6% 41% Last Result
13 1.4% 34%  
14 4% 33%  
15 6% 29%  
16 22% 23%  
17 0.5% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Median
1 0% 40%  
2 0% 40%  
3 0% 40%  
4 22% 40%  
5 13% 18% Last Result
6 3% 5%  
7 1.2% 2%  
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 0% 69%  
2 0% 69%  
3 0% 69%  
4 7% 69%  
5 61% 62% Median
6 0.8% 0.9%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 8% 12% Last Result
5 3% 4%  
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.5% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 97% 94–98 93–98 89–100 87–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 94 92% 91–94 89–96 87–98 83–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0.3% 78–84 76–84 74–85 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 75–79 75–80 72–83 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 73–79 73–81 72–83 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0.1% 73–80 73–82 72–82 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 76 0.1% 73–80 73–81 72–82 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 73–80 73–81 72–82 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0% 73–80 73–81 72–82 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 59–63 57–64 56–68 55–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 58–66 56–66 56–67 53–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 61 0% 58–66 56–66 54–66 52–66
Venstre 43 50 0% 44–50 43–50 43–50 40–51

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 1.4% 99.9%  
88 0.9% 98%  
89 0.1% 98%  
90 0.5% 97% Majority
91 0.8% 97%  
92 0.2% 96%  
93 4% 96%  
94 55% 92% Median
95 14% 37%  
96 7% 23% Last Result
97 5% 17%  
98 8% 12%  
99 0.9% 4%  
100 2% 4%  
101 0.4% 2%  
102 1.0% 1.5%  
103 0.1% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.4%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 1.4% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 98.6%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 0.1% 98%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 1.0% 97%  
89 4% 96%  
90 1.1% 92% Majority
91 20% 91% Last Result
92 4% 71%  
93 3% 67%  
94 58% 64% Median
95 0.8% 6%  
96 1.4% 5%  
97 0.7% 4%  
98 3% 3%  
99 0.4% 0.5%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 3% 99.8%  
75 2% 97%  
76 0.9% 95%  
77 0.7% 95%  
78 53% 94% Median
79 2% 41%  
80 6% 39% Last Result
81 5% 33%  
82 13% 28%  
83 4% 15%  
84 6% 11%  
85 3% 5%  
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.8%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 0.6% 97%  
74 1.3% 97%  
75 7% 95% Last Result
76 4% 88%  
77 4% 85%  
78 67% 81% Median
79 7% 13%  
80 2% 6%  
81 0.3% 4%  
82 1.2% 4%  
83 0.6% 3%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 2% 99.7%  
71 0.5% 98%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 8% 97%  
74 0.9% 89%  
75 3% 88%  
76 3% 85%  
77 4% 82%  
78 65% 78% Last Result, Median
79 4% 13%  
80 3% 8%  
81 2% 6%  
82 0.3% 4%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.2% 1.2%  
85 0.9% 0.9%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.3%  
72 2% 98.7%  
73 6% 96%  
74 0.4% 90%  
75 2% 89%  
76 55% 88% Median
77 4% 33%  
78 2% 29%  
79 7% 27% Last Result
80 14% 20%  
81 0.7% 6%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.3%  
72 2% 98.7%  
73 6% 96%  
74 0.4% 90%  
75 2% 89% Last Result
76 55% 87% Median
77 4% 33%  
78 2% 29%  
79 7% 27%  
80 14% 20%  
81 0.7% 6%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 1.3% 99.3%  
72 2% 98%  
73 7% 96%  
74 0.4% 89%  
75 2% 89%  
76 55% 87% Median
77 4% 32%  
78 2% 28%  
79 7% 26% Last Result
80 14% 20%  
81 0.6% 6%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 1.3% 99.3%  
72 2% 98%  
73 7% 96%  
74 0.4% 89%  
75 2% 89% Last Result
76 55% 87% Median
77 4% 32%  
78 2% 28%  
79 7% 26%  
80 14% 20%  
81 0.6% 6%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 1.4% 99.7%  
56 1.3% 98%  
57 4% 97%  
58 1.3% 93%  
59 6% 92%  
60 15% 86%  
61 0.9% 71%  
62 58% 70% Median
63 5% 11%  
64 2% 7% Last Result
65 0.9% 4%  
66 0.2% 3%  
67 0.4% 3%  
68 3% 3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.7% 99.7%  
54 0.2% 99.0%  
55 0.2% 98.8%  
56 4% 98.6%  
57 0.7% 95%  
58 5% 94%  
59 3% 89% Last Result
60 0.6% 86%  
61 53% 86% Median
62 8% 32%  
63 6% 25%  
64 2% 19%  
65 0.6% 17%  
66 13% 16%  
67 1.4% 3%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0.3% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.5% 99.9%  
53 1.2% 99.4%  
54 2% 98%  
55 0.5% 96% Last Result
56 4% 96%  
57 1.2% 92%  
58 6% 91%  
59 2% 85%  
60 1.4% 83%  
61 54% 81% Median
62 6% 28%  
63 7% 22%  
64 2% 15%  
65 0.2% 13%  
66 12% 13%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 0.5% 98.9%  
43 7% 98% Last Result
44 2% 92%  
45 5% 90%  
46 8% 85%  
47 4% 77%  
48 2% 72%  
49 2% 70%  
50 67% 68% Median
51 1.1% 1.3%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations