Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 12–18 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.2% 24.6–28.0% 24.1–28.5% 23.7–29.0% 22.9–29.9%
Venstre 23.4% 23.8% 22.2–25.5% 21.7–26.0% 21.3–26.5% 20.6–27.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.4–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 46–48 43–48 43–48 42–50
Venstre 43 44 44 43–44 42–45 40–51
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 16 16–17 16–19 14–21
Radikale Venstre 16 18 15–18 15–18 14–18 12–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 14 12–14 12–15 12–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 12–13 12–14 12–15 11–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 14 13–14 13–15 11–16
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 5 5 4–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.6% 99.8%  
43 5% 99.2%  
44 0.1% 94%  
45 2% 94%  
46 3% 92%  
47 1.4% 90%  
48 87% 88% Last Result, Median
49 0.6% 1.4%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.1% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 0.2% 99.6%  
41 1.0% 99.4%  
42 2% 98%  
43 6% 97% Last Result
44 86% 90% Median
45 2% 4%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.5% 2%  
48 0.3% 1.1%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0% 0.6%  
51 0.5% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 1.4% 99.9% Last Result
15 0.9% 98.5%  
16 89% 98% Median
17 6% 9%  
18 0.3% 3%  
19 1.0% 3%  
20 0.2% 2%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 1.0% 100%  
13 0.7% 98.9%  
14 2% 98%  
15 7% 96%  
16 0.3% 88% Last Result
17 0.4% 88%  
18 88% 88% Median
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 6% 99.9%  
13 0.2% 94%  
14 90% 94% Median
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.4% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.5%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.8%  
12 87% 99.0% Median
13 7% 12% Last Result
14 0.8% 5%  
15 2% 4%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.3% 99.8%  
12 0.7% 99.5% Last Result
13 7% 98.8%  
14 87% 92% Median
15 3% 4%  
16 0.5% 0.9%  
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 4% 13%  
5 1.3% 9% Last Result
6 6% 7%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 93% 94% Last Result, Median
5 0.6% 0.9%  
6 0.1% 0.3%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 1.2% 96%  
5 92% 94% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 6% 7%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 94 99.9% 94 94–95 94–98 92–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 94 94% 92–94 88–94 88–94 87–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 76 0% 76–79 76–80 76–83 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 0% 79–82 75–82 75–82 74–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0% 81 80–81 77–81 73–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 76 0% 76 73–76 73–80 73–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 76 76 74–77 72–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 76 76 74–77 72–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 76 0% 76 76 74–77 69–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 75–76 72–76 72–76 70–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 75–76 72–76 72–76 70–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0% 75–76 72–76 72–76 69–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 61–66 58–66 58–66 56–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 62 0% 61–62 60–62 58–62 55–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 58 56–58 56–59 53–64
Venstre 43 44 0% 44 43–44 42–45 40–51

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.8% 99.7%  
93 0.2% 99.0%  
94 93% 98.7% Median
95 0.7% 6%  
96 0.5% 5% Last Result
97 0.5% 4%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 0% 2%  
101 0.1% 2%  
102 1.2% 1.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 5% 99.5%  
89 0.2% 94%  
90 2% 94% Majority
91 0.6% 92% Last Result
92 1.2% 91%  
93 0.2% 90%  
94 88% 90% Median
95 2% 2%  
96 0% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 86% 99.8% Median
77 0.2% 14%  
78 0.2% 13%  
79 7% 13%  
80 2% 6% Last Result
81 0.9% 4%  
82 0.3% 3%  
83 0.5% 3%  
84 0.1% 2%  
85 0.4% 2%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.1% 1.4%  
88 1.1% 1.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 6% 99.4%  
76 0.7% 94%  
77 2% 93%  
78 0.5% 91% Last Result
79 3% 91%  
80 1.2% 88%  
81 0.2% 87%  
82 86% 87% Median
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 1.2% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 98.5%  
75 0% 98%  
76 0.6% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 0.5% 96%  
79 0.5% 96% Last Result
80 0.7% 95%  
81 93% 94% Median
82 0.2% 1.3%  
83 0.8% 1.0%  
84 0% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 5% 99.6%  
74 0.1% 94%  
75 2% 94% Last Result
76 88% 92% Median
77 0.5% 4%  
78 0.9% 4%  
79 0.1% 3%  
80 0.8% 3%  
81 1.4% 2%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0% 99.7%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 2% 99.4%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 92% 95% Median
77 2% 4%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.4% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0% 99.7%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 2% 99.4%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 92% 95% Median
77 2% 4%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.4% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.6% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.4%  
71 0% 99.3%  
72 0.3% 99.2%  
73 1.3% 98.9%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 2% 97% Last Result
76 92% 95% Median
77 2% 3%  
78 0.2% 1.4%  
79 0.3% 1.1%  
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.2% 99.3%  
72 6% 99.0%  
73 2% 93%  
74 0.2% 91%  
75 2% 91%  
76 87% 89% Median
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 0.2% 99.3%  
72 6% 99.0%  
73 2% 93%  
74 0.2% 91%  
75 2% 91%  
76 87% 89% Median
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.2%  
71 0.2% 98.8%  
72 6% 98.6%  
73 1.3% 92%  
74 0.2% 91%  
75 2% 91% Last Result
76 87% 89% Median
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.2% 1.2%  
79 0.2% 1.0%  
80 0.5% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.7% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.3%  
58 6% 99.1%  
59 1.3% 94%  
60 1.1% 92%  
61 2% 91%  
62 0.4% 89%  
63 0.3% 89%  
64 0.6% 89% Last Result
65 1.4% 88%  
66 86% 87% Median
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.7%  
56 0.4% 99.2%  
57 0.2% 98.8%  
58 3% 98.6%  
59 0.1% 96% Last Result
60 6% 96%  
61 2% 90%  
62 87% 88% Median
63 0.4% 1.3%  
64 0% 0.8%  
65 0.4% 0.8%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.6%  
54 0.2% 99.2%  
55 0.6% 99.0% Last Result
56 5% 98%  
57 2% 93%  
58 89% 91% Median
59 0.1% 3%  
60 0.7% 2%  
61 0.2% 2%  
62 0.7% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.9%  
64 0.2% 0.6%  
65 0.4% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 0.2% 99.6%  
41 1.0% 99.4%  
42 2% 98%  
43 6% 97% Last Result
44 86% 90% Median
45 2% 4%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0.5% 2%  
48 0.3% 1.1%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0% 0.6%  
51 0.5% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations