Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 18–26 August 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.3% 25.5–29.1% 25.1–29.6% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.0%
Venstre 23.4% 23.2% 21.6–25.0% 21.1–25.5% 20.7–25.9% 20.0–26.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.5% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 53 48–53 46–53 45–53 43–56
Venstre 43 39 38–41 37–44 37–45 37–47
Radikale Venstre 16 16 13–19 13–19 13–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 14–18 14–18 14–20 12–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 14–17 13–19 13–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–13 11–14 11–16 9–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 9–17
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 4–5 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 99.6%  
44 0.2% 99.0%  
45 3% 98.7%  
46 1.4% 96%  
47 1.5% 95%  
48 12% 93% Last Result
49 2% 81%  
50 10% 79%  
51 3% 69%  
52 0.5% 66%  
53 65% 66% Median
54 0.4% 1.3%  
55 0.2% 0.9%  
56 0.2% 0.7%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0.4% 0.4%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.8%  
37 8% 99.6%  
38 9% 92%  
39 46% 83% Median
40 26% 37%  
41 4% 11%  
42 0.7% 7%  
43 1.1% 6% Last Result
44 2% 5%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.5% 1.4%  
47 0.6% 0.9%  
48 0.1% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 12% 99.3%  
14 1.4% 87%  
15 28% 86%  
16 13% 58% Last Result, Median
17 2% 45%  
18 1.0% 43%  
19 41% 42%  
20 0.2% 0.7%  
21 0% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.4%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.8%  
13 1.3% 99.1%  
14 10% 98% Last Result
15 4% 88%  
16 67% 84% Median
17 2% 17%  
18 9% 14%  
19 0.4% 5%  
20 4% 5%  
21 0.1% 0.6%  
22 0.5% 0.5%  
23 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.7%  
13 5% 99.2%  
14 11% 94%  
15 4% 83%  
16 45% 79% Last Result, Median
17 26% 34%  
18 0.5% 8%  
19 7% 8%  
20 0% 0.4%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.4%  
11 10% 98.5%  
12 24% 88%  
13 54% 64% Last Result, Median
14 6% 10%  
15 0.7% 4%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.5% 0.7%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 42% 97%  
11 2% 55%  
12 3% 53% Last Result, Median
13 34% 50%  
14 11% 15%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.3% 0.8%  
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 60% 96% Last Result, Median
5 33% 35%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.6% 1.0%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 12% 74%  
5 52% 62% Last Result, Median
6 9% 10%  
7 0.9% 1.0%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 40% 43%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 19% 21% Last Result
5 1.4% 2%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0.1% 7%  
4 4% 7%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 98 98.8% 96–106 93–106 92–106 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 96 94% 90–101 89–101 88–101 85–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 0.5% 81–87 80–87 77–89 73–90
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 84 0.4% 79–88 76–88 76–88 73–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 81 0.4% 77–82 76–83 73–85 70–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 75 0% 69–79 69–79 69–81 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 73 0% 69–79 69–79 69–81 69–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 73 0% 69–77 69–77 69–78 67–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 69–75 69–75 69–76 67–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 61–72 61–72 60–72 58–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 53–58 53–60 53–61 52–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 49–55 49–56 49–58 48–59
Venstre 43 39 0% 38–41 37–44 37–45 37–47

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 1.1% 99.9%  
90 0.8% 98.8% Majority
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0.6% 98%  
93 4% 97%  
94 1.0% 94%  
95 0.6% 93%  
96 33% 92% Last Result
97 0.8% 59%  
98 9% 58%  
99 1.0% 50%  
100 0.4% 49%  
101 1.3% 48%  
102 2% 47%  
103 0.1% 45% Median
104 0.7% 45%  
105 3% 45%  
106 41% 42%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.9% 99.8%  
86 0.8% 98.9%  
87 0.5% 98%  
88 0.2% 98%  
89 4% 97%  
90 8% 94% Majority
91 0.7% 85% Last Result
92 2% 85%  
93 7% 82%  
94 1.2% 75%  
95 0.9% 73%  
96 25% 73%  
97 0.9% 48%  
98 1.1% 47% Median
99 0.7% 46%  
100 0.1% 45%  
101 44% 45%  
102 0.1% 0.6%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.4% 0.4%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 0.9% 99.4%  
75 0.2% 98.5%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 1.1% 98%  
78 0.4% 97%  
79 0.7% 96%  
80 5% 96% Last Result
81 24% 90%  
82 8% 66%  
83 9% 57%  
84 0.7% 49%  
85 0.3% 48%  
86 2% 48%  
87 41% 46% Median
88 0.2% 4%  
89 4% 4%  
90 0.5% 0.5% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.4% 100%  
73 0.9% 99.6%  
74 0.1% 98.7%  
75 0.3% 98.6%  
76 7% 98%  
77 1.1% 92%  
78 0.2% 91% Last Result
79 8% 90%  
80 8% 82%  
81 0.7% 74%  
82 2% 73%  
83 0.5% 72%  
84 23% 71%  
85 2% 48% Median
86 0.3% 45%  
87 3% 45%  
88 41% 42%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.4% Majority
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.9% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.0%  
72 0.3% 98%  
73 1.4% 98%  
74 0.4% 97%  
75 1.1% 96% Last Result
76 4% 95%  
77 16% 91%  
78 1.4% 74%  
79 1.1% 73%  
80 2% 72%  
81 22% 70%  
82 41% 47% Median
83 2% 6%  
84 1.2% 4%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.4%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 42% 99.9%  
70 3% 58%  
71 0.8% 55% Median
72 0.2% 54%  
73 1.5% 54%  
74 1.5% 53%  
75 1.3% 51%  
76 1.1% 50%  
77 11% 49%  
78 1.5% 37%  
79 32% 36% Last Result
80 0.5% 4%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.4%  
84 0.1% 0.8%  
85 0.1% 0.7%  
86 0.6% 0.6%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 42% 99.6%  
70 3% 58%  
71 0.9% 55% Median
72 0.5% 54%  
73 9% 53%  
74 2% 44%  
75 11% 42% Last Result
76 0.9% 31%  
77 4% 30%  
78 0.3% 26%  
79 23% 26%  
80 0.5% 3%  
81 1.1% 3%  
82 1.2% 1.5%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.7%  
68 0.1% 99.1%  
69 43% 99.0%  
70 3% 56%  
71 0.7% 53% Median
72 0.4% 52%  
73 4% 52%  
74 2% 47%  
75 33% 45%  
76 2% 13%  
77 8% 11%  
78 0.6% 3%  
79 0.6% 2% Last Result
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.2%  
82 0.4% 0.7%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.6% 99.5%  
68 0.3% 98.9%  
69 44% 98.6%  
70 4% 55%  
71 10% 51% Median
72 0.6% 41%  
73 11% 41%  
74 1.4% 29%  
75 24% 28% Last Result
76 2% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.3%  
79 0.3% 0.8%  
80 0.1% 0.5%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.8%  
59 1.5% 99.3%  
60 2% 98%  
61 10% 96%  
62 2% 85%  
63 1.2% 84%  
64 2% 83% Last Result
65 2% 80%  
66 8% 78%  
67 4% 71%  
68 23% 67%  
69 1.1% 44% Median
70 0.5% 42%  
71 0.3% 42%  
72 41% 42%  
73 0.5% 0.6%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0.6% 99.6%  
53 45% 99.0%  
54 8% 54%  
55 1.0% 46% Median
56 2% 45%  
57 10% 43%  
58 24% 33%  
59 1.2% 9% Last Result
60 5% 8%  
61 1.1% 3%  
62 0.9% 2%  
63 0.6% 1.3%  
64 0.3% 0.7%  
65 0% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.8% 99.9%  
49 45% 99.1%  
50 8% 55%  
51 0.9% 47% Median
52 10% 46%  
53 24% 36%  
54 2% 12%  
55 2% 10% Last Result
56 4% 8%  
57 2% 4%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.5% 1.0%  
60 0.1% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.8%  
37 8% 99.6%  
38 9% 92%  
39 46% 83% Median
40 26% 37%  
41 4% 11%  
42 0.7% 7%  
43 1.1% 6% Last Result
44 2% 5%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.5% 1.4%  
47 0.6% 0.9%  
48 0.1% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations