Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 26 August–1 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.7% 25.0–28.5% 24.5–29.0% 24.1–29.4% 23.3–30.3%
Venstre 23.4% 23.4% 21.8–25.2% 21.4–25.7% 21.0–26.1% 20.2–26.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.3% 8.3–10.6% 8.0–10.9% 7.7–11.2% 7.2–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 44–53 43–55 43–56 42–56
Venstre 43 42 37–47 37–47 37–48 36–49
Radikale Venstre 16 17 15–20 14–20 13–21 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–22
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 13–16 12–18 11–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 10–15 9–16 8–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 10–15 10–15 10–15 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–6 0–7 0–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.9% 99.7%  
43 6% 98.8%  
44 11% 93%  
45 2% 82%  
46 14% 79%  
47 9% 65%  
48 6% 56% Last Result
49 11% 51% Median
50 18% 40%  
51 6% 22%  
52 6% 16%  
53 3% 10%  
54 1.1% 7%  
55 2% 6%  
56 4% 4%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.8% 99.9%  
37 11% 99.1%  
38 10% 88%  
39 4% 78%  
40 6% 74%  
41 6% 69%  
42 13% 63% Median
43 10% 50% Last Result
44 11% 40%  
45 6% 29%  
46 4% 23%  
47 15% 20%  
48 3% 5%  
49 1.3% 1.5%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 3% 99.8%  
14 3% 97%  
15 17% 94%  
16 20% 77% Last Result
17 20% 57% Median
18 14% 37%  
19 12% 24%  
20 8% 12%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9%  
13 0.7% 99.7%  
14 4% 99.0% Last Result
15 14% 95%  
16 26% 81%  
17 24% 55% Median
18 14% 31%  
19 8% 17%  
20 6% 9%  
21 1.5% 2%  
22 0.6% 0.9%  
23 0% 0.3%  
24 0.3% 0.3%  
25 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.8%  
12 5% 96%  
13 20% 92%  
14 31% 71% Median
15 21% 40%  
16 9% 19% Last Result
17 2% 10%  
18 7% 7%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.3% 100%  
9 2% 98.7%  
10 4% 97%  
11 17% 93%  
12 21% 76% Last Result
13 27% 55% Median
14 12% 28%  
15 12% 17%  
16 4% 5%  
17 0.5% 0.5%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 10% 98.8%  
11 10% 89%  
12 25% 79%  
13 20% 54% Last Result, Median
14 17% 34%  
15 15% 17%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 42% 92% Last Result, Median
5 28% 50%  
6 16% 22%  
7 5% 6%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 43% 71% Median
5 27% 29% Last Result
6 2% 2%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 43% 55% Last Result, Median
5 11% 12%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 10% 12%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0.1% 1.3%  
4 1.0% 1.2%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 98 99.6% 93–103 91–106 91–106 90–110
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 95 93% 91–99 87–102 86–102 86–106
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 83 6% 78–86 74–91 74–91 74–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 82 2% 76–86 75–87 75–88 72–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 74–83 70–83 70–85 70–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 72–82 69–84 69–84 65–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 72–82 69–84 69–84 65–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 74 0% 70–80 69–81 68–81 65–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 69–80 69–81 67–81 65–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 61–71 59–74 59–75 58–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 56–64 55–65 53–67 52–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 51–60 50–60 49–62 48–65
Venstre 43 42 0% 37–47 37–47 37–48 36–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.2% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.6% Majority
91 6% 99.4%  
92 2% 94%  
93 6% 92%  
94 7% 86%  
95 5% 79%  
96 2% 74% Last Result
97 20% 71%  
98 9% 51%  
99 5% 42%  
100 3% 38% Median
101 17% 34%  
102 5% 17%  
103 4% 12%  
104 1.2% 8%  
105 0.9% 7%  
106 4% 6%  
107 0.1% 2%  
108 0.1% 2%  
109 0% 2%  
110 2% 2%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 5% 99.9%  
87 0.6% 95%  
88 0.5% 95%  
89 2% 94%  
90 2% 93% Majority
91 4% 90% Last Result
92 12% 86%  
93 15% 74%  
94 7% 59%  
95 4% 53%  
96 4% 48% Median
97 20% 45%  
98 13% 24%  
99 2% 11%  
100 2% 9%  
101 1.4% 7%  
102 4% 6%  
103 0.1% 2%  
104 0.2% 2%  
105 0.2% 2%  
106 2% 2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 5% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 95%  
76 2% 95%  
77 1.2% 93%  
78 17% 91% Last Result
79 4% 75%  
80 4% 71%  
81 3% 66%  
82 10% 63%  
83 16% 53% Median
84 13% 38%  
85 5% 25%  
86 10% 20%  
87 2% 10%  
88 0.9% 8%  
89 0.7% 7%  
90 0.6% 6% Majority
91 4% 5%  
92 0% 2%  
93 2% 2%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.3%  
74 1.5% 99.2%  
75 8% 98%  
76 2% 90%  
77 2% 89%  
78 11% 86%  
79 7% 76%  
80 12% 68% Last Result
81 6% 57%  
82 14% 51%  
83 12% 36% Median
84 10% 24%  
85 3% 14%  
86 3% 11%  
87 4% 8%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.3% 2%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.8%  
70 5% 99.8%  
71 0.8% 95%  
72 1.2% 94%  
73 0.7% 93%  
74 4% 92%  
75 14% 89% Last Result
76 6% 75%  
77 7% 69%  
78 17% 62%  
79 20% 45% Median
80 6% 26%  
81 3% 19%  
82 6% 16%  
83 6% 10%  
84 2% 5%  
85 0.7% 3%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 2% 100%  
66 0% 98%  
67 0.1% 98%  
68 0.1% 98%  
69 4% 98%  
70 1.0% 94%  
71 1.2% 93%  
72 4% 92%  
73 5% 88%  
74 17% 83%  
75 3% 65%  
76 5% 62%  
77 8% 57% Median
78 20% 48%  
79 2% 28% Last Result
80 5% 26%  
81 7% 21%  
82 6% 14%  
83 1.5% 8%  
84 6% 6%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 2% 100%  
66 0% 98%  
67 0.1% 98%  
68 0.1% 98%  
69 4% 98%  
70 1.1% 94%  
71 2% 93%  
72 5% 91%  
73 9% 87%  
74 18% 77%  
75 3% 59%  
76 6% 56%  
77 7% 50% Median
78 20% 43%  
79 2% 23% Last Result
80 4% 21%  
81 5% 17%  
82 5% 12%  
83 0.8% 7%  
84 5% 6%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 2% 100%  
66 0.1% 98%  
67 0.8% 98%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 6% 97%  
70 12% 91%  
71 2% 79%  
72 6% 77%  
73 12% 71% Median
74 16% 59%  
75 6% 43% Last Result
76 6% 37%  
77 2% 31%  
78 16% 29%  
79 2% 14%  
80 6% 12%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.2% 1.4%  
83 0.4% 1.2%  
84 0.7% 0.8%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 2% 100%  
66 0.1% 98%  
67 1.1% 98%  
68 0.3% 97%  
69 10% 97%  
70 12% 87%  
71 4% 74%  
72 8% 71%  
73 10% 63% Median
74 16% 53%  
75 4% 36% Last Result
76 4% 32%  
77 1.3% 28%  
78 14% 27%  
79 0.8% 12%  
80 6% 11%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.1% 1.2%  
83 0.3% 1.0%  
84 0.7% 0.7%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.7%  
59 6% 99.1%  
60 1.3% 93%  
61 17% 92%  
62 3% 75%  
63 6% 72%  
64 13% 66% Last Result
65 5% 53%  
66 9% 48% Median
67 8% 39%  
68 12% 31%  
69 5% 18%  
70 1.1% 13%  
71 5% 12%  
72 2% 7%  
73 0.1% 5%  
74 0.3% 5%  
75 5% 5%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 2% 99.9%  
53 1.4% 98%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 4% 95%  
56 16% 91%  
57 6% 75%  
58 8% 68%  
59 15% 60% Last Result, Median
60 6% 46%  
61 7% 40%  
62 9% 33%  
63 7% 23%  
64 10% 16%  
65 2% 6%  
66 0.9% 4%  
67 3% 3%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.6% 99.8%  
49 2% 99.2%  
50 5% 97%  
51 6% 91%  
52 14% 85%  
53 9% 71%  
54 4% 62%  
55 16% 58% Last Result, Median
56 12% 42%  
57 5% 29%  
58 3% 25%  
59 6% 22%  
60 11% 16%  
61 0.4% 5%  
62 3% 4%  
63 0.1% 1.4%  
64 0.1% 1.3%  
65 1.1% 1.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.8% 99.9%  
37 11% 99.1%  
38 10% 88%  
39 4% 78%  
40 6% 74%  
41 6% 69%  
42 13% 63% Median
43 10% 50% Last Result
44 11% 40%  
45 6% 29%  
46 4% 23%  
47 15% 20%  
48 3% 5%  
49 1.3% 1.5%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations