Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 2–9 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
Venstre 23.4% 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.6–24.8% 20.2–25.3% 19.4–26.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 46–57 45–57 44–57 42–57
Venstre 43 41 38–44 37–47 37–47 35–48
Radikale Venstre 16 17 16–20 15–22 14–22 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 12–17 12–17 12–17 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–15 11–16 11–17 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Alternativet 5 5 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.4% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.6%  
43 0.8% 99.1%  
44 3% 98%  
45 3% 95%  
46 17% 92%  
47 3% 74%  
48 5% 71% Last Result
49 11% 67%  
50 6% 56% Median
51 28% 50%  
52 5% 22%  
53 3% 17%  
54 2% 14%  
55 0.5% 12%  
56 0.4% 12%  
57 11% 11%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0.2% 99.8%  
35 0.4% 99.5%  
36 0.7% 99.1%  
37 6% 98%  
38 5% 93%  
39 6% 88%  
40 10% 82%  
41 32% 72% Median
42 21% 40%  
43 3% 19% Last Result
44 7% 16%  
45 2% 10%  
46 1.1% 8%  
47 6% 7%  
48 0.7% 1.0%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.2%  
15 4% 96%  
16 16% 93% Last Result
17 40% 76% Median
18 17% 37%  
19 9% 20%  
20 3% 11%  
21 2% 8%  
22 6% 6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 18% 99.0%  
14 5% 81% Last Result
15 33% 76% Median
16 13% 43%  
17 17% 30%  
18 9% 12%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.8%  
12 10% 99.3%  
13 11% 90%  
14 27% 79%  
15 21% 52% Median
16 10% 31% Last Result
17 19% 21%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9%  
11 4% 99.1%  
12 8% 95% Last Result
13 25% 86%  
14 41% 61% Median
15 12% 20%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.8%  
11 3% 99.2%  
12 17% 96%  
13 46% 79% Last Result, Median
14 13% 34%  
15 10% 20%  
16 8% 11%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 46% 84% Last Result, Median
5 27% 38%  
6 8% 11%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100%  
1 0% 76%  
2 0% 76%  
3 0% 76%  
4 25% 76%  
5 15% 51% Last Result, Median
6 33% 36%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 22%  
2 0% 22%  
3 0.1% 22%  
4 20% 22%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 4% 5% Last Result
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 102 99.9% 93–104 93–107 93–107 91–108
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 96 85% 89–103 89–103 89–105 88–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 5% 76–86 76–90 76–90 75–91
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 83 12% 76–90 76–90 76–90 73–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0.1% 72–84 72–84 72–85 70–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 71–78 68–79 68–79 67–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 73 0% 70–78 68–78 68–79 66–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 73 0% 71–78 68–79 68–79 67–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 70–78 68–78 68–79 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 63–75 61–75 60–75 59–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 56–62 55–63 54–65 52–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 52–58 51–60 51–61 48–62
Venstre 43 41 0% 38–44 37–47 37–47 35–48

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.9% Majority
91 0.3% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 14% 99.2%  
94 0.8% 85%  
95 3% 84%  
96 3% 82% Last Result
97 2% 79%  
98 5% 77%  
99 5% 72%  
100 3% 67% Median
101 6% 64%  
102 39% 58%  
103 8% 19%  
104 2% 11%  
105 3% 9%  
106 0.3% 6%  
107 4% 5%  
108 0.4% 0.7%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.7% 99.5%  
89 14% 98.9%  
90 1.3% 85% Majority
91 2% 83% Last Result
92 5% 81%  
93 6% 77%  
94 4% 71%  
95 4% 67% Median
96 24% 63%  
97 7% 39%  
98 3% 32%  
99 1.1% 29%  
100 0.7% 28%  
101 4% 28%  
102 13% 24%  
103 7% 11%  
104 0.5% 4%  
105 3% 3%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 1.1% 99.7%  
76 14% 98.6%  
77 0.7% 85%  
78 1.4% 84%  
79 3% 83%  
80 4% 80% Last Result
81 8% 76%  
82 7% 68%  
83 5% 61% Median
84 17% 55%  
85 21% 38%  
86 8% 17%  
87 3% 9%  
88 0.3% 6%  
89 0.3% 6%  
90 5% 5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.4% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.5% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.4%  
75 0.5% 99.2%  
76 16% 98.7%  
77 3% 83%  
78 1.0% 79% Last Result
79 4% 78%  
80 6% 74%  
81 4% 68%  
82 2% 64% Median
83 26% 63%  
84 5% 37%  
85 3% 32%  
86 5% 29%  
87 5% 24%  
88 0.5% 19%  
89 7% 19%  
90 11% 12% Majority
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.7% 99.9%  
71 0.8% 99.3%  
72 14% 98%  
73 2% 84%  
74 1.2% 83%  
75 5% 82% Last Result
76 6% 77%  
77 5% 71%  
78 5% 66% Median
79 21% 60%  
80 5% 39%  
81 7% 34%  
82 2% 28%  
83 4% 26%  
84 19% 22%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.2% 1.2%  
87 0.6% 1.0%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 5% 99.0%  
69 0.6% 94%  
70 4% 94%  
71 2% 90%  
72 11% 88%  
73 39% 77%  
74 6% 37% Median
75 4% 31%  
76 3% 27%  
77 4% 24%  
78 15% 20%  
79 3% 5% Last Result
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.8% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.5%  
68 6% 98.8%  
69 0.6% 93%  
70 4% 92%  
71 2% 88%  
72 10% 85%  
73 40% 75%  
74 6% 35% Median
75 4% 29% Last Result
76 2% 25%  
77 4% 23%  
78 15% 19%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.6% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.9%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 5% 99.0%  
69 0.6% 94%  
70 4% 94%  
71 2% 90%  
72 11% 88%  
73 39% 76%  
74 6% 37% Median
75 4% 31%  
76 3% 27%  
77 4% 24%  
78 15% 20%  
79 3% 5% Last Result
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 2%  
82 0.8% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.5%  
68 6% 98.8%  
69 0.6% 93%  
70 4% 92%  
71 2% 88%  
72 10% 85%  
73 40% 75%  
74 6% 35% Median
75 4% 29% Last Result
76 2% 25%  
77 4% 23%  
78 15% 19%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.6% 1.5%  
81 0.3% 0.9%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.5% 99.7%  
60 3% 99.3%  
61 3% 97%  
62 2% 94%  
63 14% 92%  
64 5% 78% Last Result
65 12% 73%  
66 2% 61%  
67 8% 59% Median
68 20% 51%  
69 5% 31%  
70 8% 26%  
71 0.9% 19%  
72 3% 18%  
73 3% 15%  
74 0.6% 12%  
75 11% 11%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.3% 0.4%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.5%  
53 0.4% 99.0%  
54 1.5% 98.6%  
55 5% 97%  
56 7% 92%  
57 6% 85%  
58 22% 78%  
59 24% 56% Last Result, Median
60 4% 32%  
61 17% 29%  
62 5% 11%  
63 1.2% 6%  
64 0.6% 5%  
65 3% 4%  
66 0.3% 1.1%  
67 0.4% 0.8%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 0.7% 99.5%  
49 0.2% 98.9%  
50 0.5% 98.6%  
51 4% 98%  
52 8% 95%  
53 8% 86%  
54 18% 78%  
55 23% 60% Last Result, Median
56 19% 37%  
57 4% 18%  
58 4% 14%  
59 2% 10%  
60 4% 8%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.3% 0.7%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0.2% 99.8%  
35 0.4% 99.5%  
36 0.7% 99.1%  
37 6% 98%  
38 5% 93%  
39 6% 88%  
40 10% 82%  
41 32% 72% Median
42 21% 40%  
43 3% 19% Last Result
44 7% 16%  
45 2% 10%  
46 1.1% 8%  
47 6% 7%  
48 0.7% 1.0%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations