Opinion Poll by Gallup, 12 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.6% 24.2–27.0% 23.9–27.4% 23.5–27.7% 22.9–28.4%
Venstre 23.4% 22.4% 21.2–23.8% 20.8–24.2% 20.5–24.5% 19.9–25.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.4% 8.6–10.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.1–10.9% 7.7–11.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.4% 7.6–9.3% 7.4–9.6% 7.2–9.8% 6.8–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.5–9.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.7–8.4% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.8% 2.4–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 45–46 43–48 43–48 40–49
Venstre 43 38 38–40 38–41 38–43 36–45
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 16–18 16–19 16–20 14–20
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 15 15–16 14–16 13–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–17 13–17 13–17 12–18
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–16 13–16 12–16 11–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–14 13–15 12–16 11–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 6 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.6% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.4%  
42 1.0% 99.2%  
43 4% 98%  
44 2% 94%  
45 21% 92%  
46 64% 72% Median
47 1.5% 8%  
48 5% 7% Last Result
49 1.1% 1.4%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.7% 99.5%  
38 63% 98.8% Median
39 24% 36%  
40 4% 11%  
41 4% 7%  
42 0.8% 4%  
43 2% 3% Last Result
44 0.5% 1.0%  
45 0.1% 0.5%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.7% 100%  
15 1.4% 99.3%  
16 68% 98% Last Result, Median
17 4% 29%  
18 20% 26%  
19 2% 5%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100% Last Result
13 1.1% 99.7%  
14 1.3% 98.6%  
15 88% 97% Median
16 7% 9%  
17 1.0% 2%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 6% 99.4%  
14 63% 94% Last Result, Median
15 5% 31%  
16 7% 26%  
17 19% 19%  
18 0.7% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.9% 100%  
12 3% 99.1%  
13 2% 96%  
14 21% 94%  
15 9% 74%  
16 64% 65% Last Result, Median
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.7%  
12 2% 99.1%  
13 26% 97% Last Result
14 64% 72% Median
15 5% 8%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 7% 99.8% Last Result
5 27% 93%  
6 65% 66% Median
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0% 98.8%  
4 84% 98.8% Last Result, Median
5 11% 15%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 7% 97%  
5 27% 90% Last Result
6 63% 63% Median
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 1.1% 1.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 96 97% 92–96 90–96 89–96 88–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 90 69% 88–90 86–92 85–92 83–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 79–83 79–85 79–86 78–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 79–83 79–84 79–86 78–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0% 78–80 76–81 75–81 73–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 73 0% 73–78 73–80 73–81 73–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 73–78 73–79 73–80 73–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 74–76 72–78 70–79 70–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 74–75 72–77 71–77 69–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 57–60 57–62 57–63 56–65
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 59–62 58–63 57–63 55–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 53–55 53–57 53–58 51–61
Venstre 43 38 0% 38–40 38–41 38–43 36–45

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.4% 100%  
88 0.6% 99.5%  
89 2% 98.9%  
90 3% 97% Majority
91 3% 94%  
92 3% 91%  
93 0.9% 88%  
94 19% 87%  
95 0.5% 68%  
96 66% 67% Last Result, Median
97 1.3% 1.5%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.3% 100%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 1.3% 99.3%  
85 2% 98%  
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 2% 92%  
89 21% 90%  
90 63% 69% Median, Majority
91 0.7% 6% Last Result
92 5% 6%  
93 0.7% 0.8%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 1.3% 99.8%  
79 66% 98% Last Result, Median
80 0.5% 33%  
81 19% 32%  
82 0.8% 13%  
83 3% 12%  
84 3% 9%  
85 3% 6%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.5% 1.0%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 1.4% 99.8%  
79 66% 98% Last Result, Median
80 0.5% 33%  
81 20% 32%  
82 0.8% 12%  
83 3% 11%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 1.1% 99.3%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 3% 97%  
77 2% 94%  
78 4% 92%  
79 0.7% 88%  
80 81% 88% Last Result, Median
81 5% 6%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.8% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 62% 99.7% Median
74 1.0% 38%  
75 5% 37% Last Result
76 19% 32%  
77 1.0% 13%  
78 4% 12%  
79 3% 8%  
80 2% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.2% 1.0%  
83 0.7% 0.8%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 62% 99.7% Median
74 1.0% 38%  
75 5% 37% Last Result
76 19% 31%  
77 1.5% 13%  
78 4% 11%  
79 3% 7%  
80 2% 4%  
81 1.4% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.4% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 3% 99.8%  
71 0.9% 97%  
72 3% 96%  
73 2% 93%  
74 2% 91%  
75 0.6% 89%  
76 82% 88% Median
77 1.3% 6%  
78 0.3% 5% Last Result
79 4% 5%  
80 0.6% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 0.8% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 98%  
72 3% 97%  
73 4% 94%  
74 63% 90% Median
75 20% 28% Last Result
76 2% 7%  
77 4% 6%  
78 1.3% 2%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.6% 99.8%  
57 62% 99.2% Median
58 20% 37%  
59 4% 17% Last Result
60 6% 12%  
61 0.8% 7%  
62 3% 6%  
63 0.6% 3%  
64 1.5% 2%  
65 0.5% 0.6%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 1.4% 99.9%  
56 0.6% 98%  
57 3% 98%  
58 3% 95%  
59 21% 92%  
60 2% 71%  
61 1.0% 70%  
62 63% 69% Median
63 5% 5%  
64 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.4%  
53 64% 99.1% Median
54 23% 35%  
55 3% 12% Last Result
56 3% 9%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 4%  
59 1.1% 2%  
60 0.1% 0.8%  
61 0.4% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.7% 99.5%  
38 63% 98.8% Median
39 24% 36%  
40 4% 11%  
41 4% 7%  
42 0.8% 4%  
43 2% 3% Last Result
44 0.5% 1.0%  
45 0.1% 0.5%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations