Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 9–15 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.7% 26.0–29.5% 25.5–30.1% 25.1–30.5% 24.3–31.4%
Venstre 23.4% 21.9% 20.3–23.6% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.5% 18.7–25.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.9–11.5% 7.5–12.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.1%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 48–53 46–55 45–59 43–59
Venstre 43 38 36–43 35–44 35–45 34–46
Radikale Venstre 16 18 15–20 15–21 14–21 13–23
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 14–20 13–20 13–20 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–17 12–18 12–18 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 10–17 10–17 10–17 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 10–15 9–16 9–16 9–18
Alternativet 5 5 4–7 0–8 0–8 0–8
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–8
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0–5
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.4% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.6%  
44 1.0% 99.2%  
45 2% 98%  
46 2% 96%  
47 4% 94%  
48 6% 90% Last Result
49 13% 85%  
50 9% 71%  
51 15% 62% Median
52 17% 47%  
53 20% 29%  
54 4% 9%  
55 2% 5%  
56 0.7% 4%  
57 0.4% 3%  
58 0.1% 3%  
59 3% 3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.8% 99.9%  
35 7% 99.1%  
36 10% 92%  
37 20% 82%  
38 14% 62% Median
39 18% 48%  
40 13% 30%  
41 2% 17%  
42 3% 15%  
43 5% 11% Last Result
44 3% 7%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.3% 0.6%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 3% 99.3%  
15 8% 97%  
16 18% 88% Last Result
17 17% 70%  
18 10% 53% Median
19 20% 43%  
20 14% 23%  
21 6% 8%  
22 1.3% 2%  
23 0.5% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 6% 98%  
14 14% 91%  
15 12% 77%  
16 21% 65% Last Result, Median
17 21% 44%  
18 8% 23%  
19 1.4% 16%  
20 13% 15%  
21 1.1% 1.3%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 1.3% 99.2%  
12 7% 98%  
13 26% 91%  
14 24% 65% Last Result, Median
15 15% 40%  
16 8% 25%  
17 10% 17%  
18 6% 7%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.2% 99.9%  
10 14% 99.7%  
11 9% 86%  
12 15% 77% Last Result
13 13% 62% Median
14 13% 48%  
15 9% 35%  
16 15% 26%  
17 10% 11%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 7% 99.9%  
10 4% 93%  
11 28% 89%  
12 23% 62% Median
13 8% 39% Last Result
14 18% 31%  
15 5% 13%  
16 6% 8%  
17 0.9% 2%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 26% 92%  
5 21% 67% Last Result, Median
6 32% 46%  
7 8% 14%  
8 6% 6%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 25% 81% Last Result
5 34% 56% Median
6 15% 22%  
7 6% 7%  
8 0.9% 1.0%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 33%  
2 0% 33%  
3 0% 33%  
4 28% 33%  
5 4% 5%  
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 8% 8%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.2% 2% Last Result
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 102 99.9% 94–105 94–106 93–107 90–108
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 96 93% 90–99 89–100 88–104 84–104
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 84 4% 79–87 77–88 76–91 73–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 2% 78–87 76–88 75–89 73–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 73–82 72–84 70–85 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 70–81 69–81 68–82 67–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 72 0% 68–78 68–80 67–81 65–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 72 0% 68–78 68–80 67–81 65–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 68–78 68–80 67–81 65–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 72 0% 68–78 66–80 66–81 65–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 72 0% 68–78 66–80 66–81 65–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 68–78 66–80 66–81 65–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 65–73 64–74 62–77 59–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 52–61 51–62 51–64 49–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 47–56 46–58 46–59 46–61
Venstre 43 38 0% 36–43 35–44 35–45 34–46

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.5% 99.9% Majority
91 0.5% 99.3%  
92 0.8% 98.9%  
93 3% 98%  
94 6% 95%  
95 2% 90%  
96 4% 87% Last Result
97 5% 83%  
98 12% 78%  
99 4% 66%  
100 7% 62% Median
101 4% 55%  
102 3% 51%  
103 20% 48%  
104 14% 28%  
105 9% 14%  
106 1.4% 5%  
107 1.4% 4%  
108 2% 2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.5% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.5%  
86 0.1% 99.4%  
87 0.8% 99.3%  
88 2% 98.5%  
89 3% 96%  
90 5% 93% Majority
91 9% 88% Last Result
92 6% 79%  
93 3% 73%  
94 4% 70%  
95 3% 66% Median
96 14% 63%  
97 8% 49%  
98 16% 41%  
99 16% 25%  
100 5% 9%  
101 0.5% 4%  
102 1.3% 4%  
103 0% 3%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.5% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.4%  
75 0.8% 99.3%  
76 2% 98.5%  
77 2% 97%  
78 5% 95% Last Result
79 6% 90%  
80 13% 84%  
81 4% 71%  
82 5% 66%  
83 9% 61% Median
84 11% 53%  
85 16% 41%  
86 1.3% 26%  
87 19% 24%  
88 1.1% 5%  
89 0.4% 4%  
90 1.5% 4% Majority
91 0.3% 3%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 2% 99.0%  
76 3% 97%  
77 3% 94%  
78 3% 91%  
79 3% 88%  
80 8% 85% Last Result
81 15% 77%  
82 10% 63% Median
83 13% 53%  
84 3% 40%  
85 16% 37%  
86 3% 22%  
87 9% 19%  
88 5% 9%  
89 2% 4%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.9% 99.6%  
70 1.5% 98.8%  
71 1.2% 97%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 93%  
74 10% 89%  
75 5% 80% Last Result
76 14% 75%  
77 11% 61% Median
78 3% 51%  
79 18% 47%  
80 4% 30%  
81 7% 25%  
82 12% 19%  
83 1.2% 7%  
84 3% 6%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 2% 100%  
68 1.4% 98%  
69 1.4% 96%  
70 9% 95%  
71 14% 86%  
72 20% 72% Median
73 3% 52%  
74 4% 49%  
75 7% 45%  
76 4% 38%  
77 12% 34%  
78 5% 22%  
79 4% 17% Last Result
80 2% 13%  
81 6% 10%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.1%  
85 0.5% 0.7%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 1.1% 100%  
66 0.8% 98.9%  
67 2% 98%  
68 13% 96%  
69 0.9% 83%  
70 9% 82%  
71 14% 73%  
72 10% 59% Median
73 6% 48%  
74 5% 42%  
75 12% 37%  
76 3% 25%  
77 9% 22%  
78 7% 14%  
79 1.1% 7% Last Result
80 0.9% 6%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.1% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.6%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 1.1% 100%  
66 0.8% 98.9%  
67 2% 98%  
68 13% 96%  
69 0.9% 83%  
70 9% 82%  
71 14% 73%  
72 10% 59% Median
73 6% 48%  
74 5% 42%  
75 12% 37%  
76 3% 25%  
77 9% 22%  
78 7% 13%  
79 1.1% 7% Last Result
80 0.9% 6%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.6%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 0.8% 98.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 13% 96%  
69 0.9% 83%  
70 10% 82%  
71 15% 72%  
72 10% 58% Median
73 7% 47%  
74 5% 40%  
75 11% 35% Last Result
76 3% 24%  
77 8% 21%  
78 7% 13%  
79 1.1% 7%  
80 0.9% 5%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 5% 98.8%  
67 2% 94%  
68 13% 91%  
69 0.9% 78%  
70 5% 77%  
71 14% 73%  
72 11% 58% Median
73 6% 48%  
74 7% 42%  
75 12% 34%  
76 3% 22%  
77 9% 19%  
78 4% 11%  
79 1.1% 6% Last Result
80 0.9% 5%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.6%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 5% 98.8%  
67 2% 94%  
68 13% 91%  
69 0.9% 78%  
70 5% 77%  
71 14% 73%  
72 11% 58% Median
73 6% 48%  
74 7% 42%  
75 12% 34%  
76 3% 22%  
77 9% 19%  
78 4% 11%  
79 1.1% 6% Last Result
80 0.9% 5%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 5% 98.8%  
67 2% 94%  
68 13% 91%  
69 0.9% 78%  
70 5% 77%  
71 15% 72%  
72 11% 57% Median
73 7% 47%  
74 7% 40%  
75 11% 32% Last Result
76 3% 21%  
77 8% 18%  
78 4% 11%  
79 1.1% 6%  
80 0.9% 5%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.5%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.5% 99.9%  
60 0.5% 99.5%  
61 0.4% 98.9%  
62 1.3% 98.6%  
63 2% 97%  
64 4% 95% Last Result
65 4% 91%  
66 16% 86%  
67 4% 71%  
68 8% 67%  
69 12% 59% Median
70 21% 47%  
71 7% 27%  
72 9% 19%  
73 5% 10%  
74 2% 5%  
75 0% 3%  
76 0.4% 3%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.3% 0.3%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 1.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 98.7%  
51 8% 98%  
52 5% 90%  
53 4% 85%  
54 10% 81%  
55 17% 71%  
56 11% 54% Median
57 13% 43%  
58 3% 30%  
59 8% 27% Last Result
60 7% 19%  
61 7% 12%  
62 2% 5%  
63 1.2% 4%  
64 1.0% 3%  
65 1.3% 2%  
66 0.3% 0.3%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 8% 99.9%  
47 5% 92%  
48 4% 87%  
49 2% 83%  
50 16% 80%  
51 5% 64% Median
52 15% 59%  
53 10% 44%  
54 5% 35%  
55 14% 30% Last Result
56 9% 16%  
57 2% 7%  
58 0.4% 5%  
59 3% 5%  
60 0.3% 2%  
61 2% 2%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.8% 99.9%  
35 7% 99.1%  
36 10% 92%  
37 20% 82%  
38 14% 62% Median
39 18% 48%  
40 13% 30%  
41 2% 17%  
42 3% 15%  
43 5% 11% Last Result
44 3% 7%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0.3% 0.6%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations