Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 16–22 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.5–30.0% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
Venstre 23.4% 22.8% 21.2–24.5% 20.7–25.0% 20.3–25.4% 19.6–26.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 47–53 47–53 46–57 44–57
Venstre 43 40 38–44 38–46 38–46 35–46
Dansk Folkeparti 16 18 15–19 15–21 15–21 13–22
Radikale Venstre 16 18 15–20 14–20 14–20 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–14 11–14 11–16 10–17
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–7
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.7%  
45 0.3% 99.5%  
46 3% 99.1%  
47 7% 97%  
48 35% 90% Last Result
49 6% 54% Median
50 15% 48%  
51 2% 33%  
52 15% 31%  
53 11% 15%  
54 0.6% 4%  
55 0.2% 4%  
56 0.6% 3%  
57 3% 3%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.4% 100%  
35 0.5% 99.5%  
36 0.6% 99.1%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 14% 98%  
39 3% 84%  
40 37% 81% Median
41 19% 43%  
42 5% 24%  
43 5% 20% Last Result
44 6% 15%  
45 2% 9%  
46 7% 7%  
47 0.2% 0.4%  
48 0% 0.2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.6%  
14 2% 99.4%  
15 11% 98%  
16 13% 87% Last Result
17 21% 74%  
18 42% 54% Median
19 5% 12%  
20 1.5% 7%  
21 5% 6%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 7% 98%  
15 13% 91%  
16 13% 78% Last Result
17 7% 65%  
18 14% 58% Median
19 11% 44%  
20 32% 33%  
21 0.1% 0.6%  
22 0.3% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.9%  
13 3% 98.6%  
14 9% 95% Last Result
15 23% 87%  
16 5% 64%  
17 40% 59% Median
18 13% 19%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.8%  
11 13% 98%  
12 6% 86%  
13 41% 80% Last Result, Median
14 28% 39%  
15 7% 11%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.5% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.2% 99.8%  
10 0.9% 99.6%  
11 17% 98.7%  
12 17% 82% Last Result
13 24% 65% Median
14 36% 41%  
15 1.2% 4%  
16 1.0% 3%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 23% 77% Last Result
5 48% 53% Median
6 5% 6%  
7 0.2% 0.3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 0% 48%  
4 20% 48%  
5 26% 28% Last Result
6 1.5% 2%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 7% 8% Last Result
5 1.3% 2%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 1.5% 2%  
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 14% 14%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 98 99.7% 95–104 95–104 94–104 91–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 98 99.1% 94–99 92–100 91–103 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 85 1.0% 81–87 79–87 79–88 76–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 0.2% 78–87 78–87 75–87 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0.1% 76–82 76–83 75–87 73–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 70–79 69–80 69–81 69–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 77 0% 70–79 69–80 69–81 67–82
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 77 0% 70–79 69–80 69–81 68–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 77 0% 70–79 69–80 69–80 67–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 64–70 63–71 63–73 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 53–61 52–61 52–62 50–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 51–57 51–59 50–59 48–60
Venstre 43 40 0% 38–44 38–46 38–46 35–46

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.2% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.7% Majority
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 0.2% 99.2%  
93 0.2% 99.0%  
94 3% 98.8%  
95 7% 96%  
96 3% 89% Last Result
97 3% 86% Median
98 39% 83%  
99 4% 44%  
100 10% 40%  
101 5% 31%  
102 9% 25%  
103 4% 16%  
104 12% 13%  
105 0.2% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.4%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.3%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.2% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0.6% 99.7%  
90 0.9% 99.1% Majority
91 2% 98% Last Result
92 2% 96%  
93 3% 93%  
94 6% 90%  
95 7% 84%  
96 8% 76%  
97 13% 69% Median
98 38% 56%  
99 10% 18%  
100 4% 8%  
101 1.2% 4%  
102 0.2% 3%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.5%  
77 0.1% 99.1%  
78 0.8% 99.0% Last Result
79 4% 98%  
80 3% 94%  
81 12% 91%  
82 11% 79%  
83 10% 68%  
84 1.3% 58% Median
85 42% 57%  
86 1.1% 15%  
87 9% 14%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.7% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.7%  
76 0.3% 97%  
77 2% 97%  
78 32% 96%  
79 7% 64% Median
80 4% 57% Last Result
81 8% 53%  
82 3% 45%  
83 5% 42%  
84 8% 36%  
85 5% 28%  
86 11% 23%  
87 11% 12%  
88 0.4% 0.9%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.5% 99.2%  
75 3% 98.7% Last Result
76 6% 96%  
77 3% 90%  
78 37% 87%  
79 8% 50% Median
80 9% 42%  
81 18% 33%  
82 9% 14%  
83 0.1% 5%  
84 0.4% 5%  
85 0.8% 5%  
86 0.3% 4%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 9% 99.7%  
70 1.2% 91%  
71 12% 90%  
72 4% 78%  
73 0.6% 74%  
74 7% 73%  
75 9% 67%  
76 5% 57% Median
77 39% 52%  
78 0.8% 13%  
79 3% 12% Last Result
80 6% 10%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.4% 1.0%  
83 0.2% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 0.1% 99.5%  
69 8% 99.4%  
70 2% 91%  
71 18% 89%  
72 4% 71%  
73 1.1% 67%  
74 6% 66%  
75 4% 59% Last Result
76 5% 56% Median
77 38% 51%  
78 0.7% 13%  
79 3% 12%  
80 6% 9%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.4% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 9% 99.4%  
70 1.3% 91%  
71 12% 89%  
72 4% 77%  
73 0.6% 73%  
74 7% 73%  
75 10% 66%  
76 5% 57% Median
77 39% 51%  
78 0.7% 12%  
79 3% 11% Last Result
80 6% 9%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.2% 99.5%  
68 0.3% 99.3%  
69 8% 99.0%  
70 2% 91%  
71 19% 89%  
72 4% 70%  
73 1.1% 66%  
74 6% 65%  
75 4% 59% Last Result
76 5% 55% Median
77 39% 50%  
78 0.6% 11%  
79 2% 11%  
80 6% 8%  
81 2% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.4% 99.2%  
63 5% 98.7%  
64 9% 94% Last Result
65 10% 85%  
66 1.5% 75%  
67 4% 74% Median
68 47% 70%  
69 7% 23%  
70 10% 16%  
71 3% 6%  
72 0.1% 4%  
73 3% 4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 0.7% 99.4%  
52 9% 98.8%  
53 6% 90%  
54 2% 84%  
55 11% 82%  
56 4% 71%  
57 8% 67%  
58 4% 59% Median
59 38% 55% Last Result
60 7% 17%  
61 6% 10%  
62 3% 4%  
63 0.2% 1.0%  
64 0.7% 0.8%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 0.6% 99.5%  
49 1.1% 98.9%  
50 1.4% 98%  
51 11% 97%  
52 18% 86%  
53 7% 67% Median
54 37% 61%  
55 4% 24% Last Result
56 10% 20%  
57 3% 10%  
58 2% 7%  
59 5% 6%  
60 0.4% 0.7%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.4% 100%  
35 0.5% 99.5%  
36 0.6% 99.1%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 14% 98%  
39 3% 84%  
40 37% 81% Median
41 19% 43%  
42 5% 24%  
43 5% 20% Last Result
44 6% 15%  
45 2% 9%  
46 7% 7%  
47 0.2% 0.4%  
48 0% 0.2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations