Opinion Poll by Gallup, 29 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.1% 24.6–27.6% 24.2–28.0% 23.9–28.4% 23.2–29.1%
Venstre 23.4% 23.0% 21.7–24.5% 21.3–24.9% 21.0–25.3% 20.3–26.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.7% 7.8–9.8% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.0–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.8–9.8% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.0–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.9% 7.0–8.8% 6.8–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.2–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.7–9.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.8% 6.0–7.7% 5.8–8.0% 5.6–8.2% 5.2–8.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.5–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.3%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 43–49 43–51 42–51 41–51
Venstre 43 40 39–46 39–46 38–46 37–46
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 14–19 14–19 14–19 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 15–17 14–17 13–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 12–15 11–15 9–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–6 4–7 4–8 4–8
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.7% 100%  
42 3% 99.2%  
43 9% 97%  
44 7% 87%  
45 2% 80%  
46 1.2% 78%  
47 19% 77%  
48 3% 58% Last Result
49 48% 54% Median
50 0.9% 6%  
51 5% 6%  
52 0.4% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 2% 99.8%  
38 2% 98%  
39 46% 96%  
40 6% 50% Median
41 1.3% 44%  
42 12% 43%  
43 0.5% 31% Last Result
44 5% 30%  
45 11% 25%  
46 13% 14%  
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 1.5% 99.9%  
14 20% 98%  
15 48% 78% Median
16 15% 30% Last Result
17 1.1% 14%  
18 3% 13%  
19 9% 10%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 1.0% 100%  
13 2% 99.0%  
14 3% 97% Last Result
15 54% 95% Median
16 13% 40%  
17 25% 28%  
18 1.4% 3%  
19 1.3% 1.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 8% 98%  
13 11% 90%  
14 12% 79%  
15 56% 67% Median
16 8% 12% Last Result
17 3% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.4%  
11 2% 99.1%  
12 9% 97%  
13 24% 88% Last Result
14 50% 64% Median
15 13% 14%  
16 0.9% 1.2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 7% 99.5%  
11 12% 92%  
12 61% 80% Last Result, Median
13 9% 19%  
14 9% 10%  
15 0.4% 0.6%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 8% 99.8% Last Result
5 76% 92% Median
6 10% 16%  
7 3% 6%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 11% 88% Last Result
5 72% 76% Median
6 4% 5%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 18% 89%  
5 24% 71% Last Result, Median
6 46% 47%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 16% 18%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.4%  
2 0% 1.4%  
3 0% 1.4%  
4 1.3% 1.4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 97 98% 90–99 90–99 90–99 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 93 77% 86–93 86–93 85–93 82–99
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0% 76–84 76–85 76–85 74–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 78 0% 76–85 76–85 76–85 71–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 78 0% 76–85 76–85 76–85 71–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 76–85 76–85 76–85 71–87
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0% 75–85 75–85 73–85 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0% 75–85 75–85 73–85 71–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 74 0% 71–80 71–81 71–81 70–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 71–80 71–80 71–81 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 73–78 71–80 71–81 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 73–79 72–80 70–81 69–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 56–63 56–63 56–65 54–65
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 56–64 56–65 54–65 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 51–58 50–58 50–58 48–58
Venstre 43 40 0% 39–46 39–46 38–46 37–46

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.2% 100%  
87 0.6% 99.8%  
88 0.9% 99.2%  
89 0.6% 98%  
90 13% 98% Majority
91 0.6% 84%  
92 9% 84%  
93 8% 75%  
94 1.2% 67%  
95 2% 65%  
96 10% 64% Last Result
97 6% 53%  
98 0.3% 48% Median
99 45% 47%  
100 0.1% 2%  
101 0.2% 2%  
102 0.2% 2%  
103 0% 2%  
104 2% 2%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.6% 99.8%  
83 0.6% 99.2%  
84 0% 98.6%  
85 3% 98.5%  
86 10% 95%  
87 7% 85%  
88 0.7% 78%  
89 0.5% 77%  
90 2% 77% Majority
91 11% 75% Last Result
92 4% 64%  
93 57% 59% Median
94 0.2% 2%  
95 0.1% 2%  
96 0.1% 2%  
97 0.1% 2%  
98 0.2% 2%  
99 2% 2%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.0%  
76 9% 98%  
77 9% 89%  
78 12% 80%  
79 1.4% 68%  
80 3% 67% Last Result
81 0.8% 64%  
82 11% 63%  
83 0.4% 52% Median
84 46% 52%  
85 4% 6%  
86 0% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 2% 100%  
72 0% 98%  
73 0.2% 98%  
74 0.2% 98%  
75 0.1% 98%  
76 45% 98%  
77 0.3% 53% Median
78 6% 52%  
79 10% 47% Last Result
80 2% 36%  
81 1.2% 35%  
82 8% 33%  
83 9% 25%  
84 0.6% 16%  
85 13% 16%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.9% 2%  
88 0.6% 0.8%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 2% 100%  
72 0% 98%  
73 0.3% 98%  
74 0.2% 98%  
75 0% 98%  
76 45% 98%  
77 0.2% 52% Median
78 6% 52%  
79 10% 47% Last Result
80 2% 36%  
81 2% 34%  
82 8% 33%  
83 9% 24%  
84 0.9% 16%  
85 13% 15%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.9% 1.1%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 2% 100%  
72 0% 98%  
73 0.3% 98%  
74 0.2% 98%  
75 0% 98%  
76 45% 98%  
77 0.2% 52% Median
78 6% 52%  
79 10% 47% Last Result
80 2% 36%  
81 2% 34%  
82 8% 33%  
83 9% 24%  
84 0.9% 16%  
85 13% 15%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.9% 1.1%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 2% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 98%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 0.1% 97%  
75 10% 97%  
76 47% 88%  
77 1.2% 41% Median
78 6% 40%  
79 2% 34% Last Result
80 0.7% 32%  
81 3% 31%  
82 7% 28%  
83 9% 21%  
84 0.5% 12%  
85 11% 11%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 2% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 98%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 0.1% 97%  
75 10% 97%  
76 47% 88%  
77 1.2% 41% Median
78 6% 40%  
79 2% 34% Last Result
80 0.7% 32%  
81 3% 31%  
82 7% 28%  
83 9% 21%  
84 0.5% 12%  
85 11% 11%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 47% 99.5%  
72 0.3% 52% Median
73 1.3% 52%  
74 6% 51%  
75 1.1% 45% Last Result
76 2% 44%  
77 8% 42%  
78 7% 34%  
79 13% 27%  
80 9% 14%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.5% 2%  
83 0.6% 0.9%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.7% 99.7%  
70 1.4% 99.0%  
71 47% 98%  
72 2% 50% Median
73 1.3% 49%  
74 5% 47%  
75 12% 43% Last Result
76 0.8% 31%  
77 9% 30%  
78 8% 21%  
79 2% 14%  
80 9% 11%  
81 3% 3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0.6% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.2%  
71 7% 99.1%  
72 0.6% 92%  
73 12% 91%  
74 2% 79%  
75 0.8% 78% Last Result
76 5% 77%  
77 11% 72%  
78 53% 61% Median
79 1.0% 7%  
80 2% 6%  
81 3% 5%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.8% 100%  
70 3% 99.2%  
71 1.3% 97%  
72 0.4% 95%  
73 9% 95%  
74 1.3% 85%  
75 7% 84%  
76 1.1% 77%  
77 3% 76%  
78 17% 73% Last Result
79 47% 56% Median
80 4% 8%  
81 1.4% 4%  
82 0.1% 2%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 1.4% 99.7%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 51% 98%  
57 1.3% 47% Median
58 2% 46%  
59 3% 44% Last Result
60 0.9% 40%  
61 19% 39%  
62 8% 21%  
63 9% 13%  
64 0.6% 3%  
65 3% 3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.7% 100%  
54 2% 99.3%  
55 0.1% 97%  
56 9% 97%  
57 2% 88%  
58 2% 86%  
59 0.5% 84%  
60 8% 84%  
61 10% 75%  
62 9% 65%  
63 4% 56%  
64 46% 52% Last Result, Median
65 3% 5%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0% 2%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 1.3% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 98.5%  
50 6% 98%  
51 47% 92%  
52 2% 45% Median
53 1.3% 43%  
54 2% 42%  
55 2% 40% Last Result
56 18% 38%  
57 4% 20%  
58 15% 16%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 2% 99.8%  
38 2% 98%  
39 46% 96%  
40 6% 50% Median
41 1.3% 44%  
42 12% 43%  
43 0.5% 31% Last Result
44 5% 30%  
45 11% 25%  
46 13% 14%  
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations