Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 23–29 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.2% 25.5–29.0% 25.0–29.5% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
Venstre 23.4% 23.8% 22.2–25.6% 21.7–26.1% 21.3–26.5% 20.6–27.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.9–11.4% 7.4–12.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.1% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 43–52 43–53 43–54 43–55
Venstre 43 45 42–48 39–48 39–48 35–48
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–19 15–19 13–20 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–20 14–21 13–21 12–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 15–18 15–18 13–19 12–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 9–16 9–16 9–16
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 10–13 10–15 10–16 9–16
Alternativet 5 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–9
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 12% 99.9%  
44 0.7% 88%  
45 14% 88%  
46 7% 74%  
47 0.4% 67%  
48 14% 67% Last Result
49 1.4% 52%  
50 3% 51% Median
51 35% 48%  
52 7% 13%  
53 2% 5%  
54 2% 3%  
55 1.4% 1.5%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.5% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.5%  
37 0.3% 99.4%  
38 0.7% 99.0%  
39 5% 98%  
40 2% 94%  
41 1.3% 92%  
42 9% 91%  
43 19% 82% Last Result
44 4% 63%  
45 18% 59% Median
46 28% 42%  
47 1.2% 13%  
48 12% 12%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 3% 99.6%  
14 1.4% 97%  
15 22% 95%  
16 29% 74% Last Result, Median
17 13% 44%  
18 9% 32%  
19 20% 23%  
20 2% 4%  
21 1.2% 2%  
22 0.3% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 0.4% 98%  
14 3% 97% Last Result
15 7% 94%  
16 11% 87%  
17 36% 76% Median
18 15% 40%  
19 6% 25%  
20 13% 19%  
21 6% 6%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 1.2% 98%  
14 1.2% 97%  
15 13% 96%  
16 48% 83% Last Result, Median
17 22% 35%  
18 10% 13%  
19 1.3% 3%  
20 0.5% 2%  
21 1.0% 1.2%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 7% 100%  
10 3% 93%  
11 24% 91%  
12 9% 67%  
13 20% 58% Last Result, Median
14 11% 38%  
15 19% 27%  
16 8% 8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 16% 98.8%  
11 16% 82%  
12 41% 66% Last Result, Median
13 16% 25%  
14 3% 9%  
15 0.9% 6%  
16 5% 5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0% 82%  
4 22% 82%  
5 24% 61% Last Result, Median
6 35% 37%  
7 1.0% 2%  
8 0.3% 1.1%  
9 0.8% 0.8%  
10 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Median
1 0% 28%  
2 0% 28%  
3 0% 28%  
4 9% 28% Last Result
5 19% 20%  
6 1.2% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 0% 27%  
4 24% 27% Last Result
5 2% 3%  
6 0.6% 0.7%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.5% 0.7%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 101 100% 95–103 95–103 95–105 91–108
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 95 98.8% 91–101 91–101 91–101 87–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0.1% 80–85 80–86 77–88 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 84 0.4% 76–87 76–87 76–87 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0% 76–82 76–83 74–83 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 72–80 72–80 70–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 72–80 72–80 70–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 72–80 72–80 70–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 74 0% 72–80 72–80 70–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 72–80 72–80 70–80 67–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 74 0% 70–80 69–80 68–80 66–81
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 69–80 69–80 68–80 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 58–70 58–70 58–70 58–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 53–64 52–64 52–64 47–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 57 0% 52–59 52–59 50–59 47–60
Venstre 43 45 0% 42–48 39–48 39–48 35–48

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0.8% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.1%  
93 0.1% 99.1%  
94 1.0% 99.0%  
95 15% 98%  
96 1.2% 83% Last Result
97 3% 82%  
98 2% 79%  
99 15% 77%  
100 9% 62%  
101 29% 53% Median
102 8% 24%  
103 13% 16%  
104 0.4% 3%  
105 1.3% 3%  
106 0.2% 2%  
107 0.3% 2%  
108 1.0% 1.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.8% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.9%  
90 0.2% 98.8% Majority
91 15% 98.7% Last Result
92 2% 84%  
93 5% 82%  
94 9% 78%  
95 27% 69%  
96 3% 42% Median
97 18% 39%  
98 2% 20%  
99 7% 19%  
100 1.2% 11%  
101 8% 10%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 1.2% 1.4%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.0%  
76 0.9% 98.8%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 0.3% 97%  
79 1.3% 97%  
80 16% 95% Last Result
81 7% 79%  
82 9% 72%  
83 9% 63%  
84 13% 54%  
85 34% 41% Median
86 3% 8%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 1.3% 1.5%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 11% 99.8%  
77 1.0% 88%  
78 2% 87% Last Result
79 3% 86%  
80 2% 82%  
81 3% 80%  
82 15% 77%  
83 7% 62% Median
84 34% 55%  
85 7% 21%  
86 1.2% 14%  
87 11% 13%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 1.2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 1.0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 98.9%  
72 1.0% 98.8%  
73 0.2% 98%  
74 0.3% 98%  
75 0.4% 97% Last Result
76 23% 97%  
77 2% 74%  
78 13% 72%  
79 23% 59%  
80 15% 36% Median
81 2% 21%  
82 9% 19%  
83 8% 10%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 1.3% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 98.8%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 13% 97%  
73 8% 84% Median
74 29% 76%  
75 9% 47%  
76 15% 38%  
77 2% 23%  
78 3% 21%  
79 1.2% 18% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.0%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 98.8%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 13% 96%  
73 8% 84% Median
74 29% 76%  
75 9% 46%  
76 15% 38%  
77 2% 23%  
78 3% 21%  
79 1.2% 18% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.0%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 98.8%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 2% 98%  
71 0.5% 96%  
72 13% 96%  
73 8% 83% Median
74 29% 75%  
75 9% 46%  
76 15% 38%  
77 2% 23%  
78 3% 21%  
79 1.2% 18% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.0%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 98.8%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 13% 96%  
73 8% 84% Median
74 29% 76%  
75 9% 46%  
76 15% 38%  
77 2% 23%  
78 3% 21%  
79 1.2% 18% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.0%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.0% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 98.8%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 2% 98%  
71 0.5% 96%  
72 13% 96%  
73 8% 83% Median
74 29% 75%  
75 9% 46%  
76 15% 38%  
77 2% 23%  
78 3% 21%  
79 1.2% 18% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.1% 1.0%  
83 0% 0.9%  
84 0.8% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.6% 99.7%  
67 1.1% 99.1%  
68 0.8% 98%  
69 7% 97%  
70 2% 90%  
71 1.4% 89%  
72 20% 87%  
73 3% 67% Median
74 31% 64%  
75 8% 33% Last Result
76 11% 25%  
77 0.7% 14%  
78 0.2% 13%  
79 0.1% 13%  
80 12% 13%  
81 0.7% 0.7%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.9% 99.7%  
67 1.1% 98.7%  
68 0.9% 98%  
69 7% 97%  
70 1.5% 90%  
71 2% 88%  
72 20% 87%  
73 3% 67% Median
74 31% 64%  
75 8% 33% Last Result
76 11% 25%  
77 0.7% 14%  
78 0.2% 13%  
79 0.1% 13%  
80 12% 13%  
81 0.6% 0.7%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 11% 100%  
59 0.1% 89%  
60 0.1% 88%  
61 7% 88%  
62 4% 81%  
63 3% 77%  
64 13% 74% Last Result
65 9% 61%  
66 0.8% 52% Median
67 30% 51%  
68 1.5% 21%  
69 2% 20%  
70 16% 18%  
71 0.9% 2%  
72 0.2% 1.5%  
73 0.1% 1.3%  
74 0.1% 1.2%  
75 1.1% 1.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.6% 100%  
48 0% 99.4%  
49 0% 99.4%  
50 1.2% 99.4%  
51 0.3% 98%  
52 7% 98%  
53 2% 91%  
54 1.4% 89%  
55 8% 88%  
56 11% 80%  
57 13% 69% Median
58 22% 56%  
59 13% 33% Last Result
60 8% 21%  
61 0.3% 13%  
62 0.2% 13%  
63 0.3% 12%  
64 12% 12%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.7% 100%  
48 0% 99.3%  
49 0.4% 99.2%  
50 2% 98.9%  
51 2% 97%  
52 7% 96%  
53 2% 89%  
54 2% 86%  
55 18% 85% Last Result
56 11% 67%  
57 13% 55% Median
58 23% 43%  
59 19% 20%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.2% 0.5%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.5% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.5%  
37 0.3% 99.4%  
38 0.7% 99.0%  
39 5% 98%  
40 2% 94%  
41 1.3% 92%  
42 9% 91%  
43 19% 82% Last Result
44 4% 63%  
45 18% 59% Median
46 28% 42%  
47 1.2% 13%  
48 12% 12%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations