Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 7–12 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
Venstre 23.4% 23.5% 21.9–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.2% 20.2–27.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 45–53 44–53 43–54 41–57
Venstre 43 43 40–47 39–48 38–48 37–49
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 14–19 13–20 13–20 13–21
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–19 13–19 13–20 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 12–16 12–17 12–18 10–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–17 11–18 11–18 10–18
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.9% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.0%  
43 2% 98.8%  
44 6% 97%  
45 4% 91%  
46 4% 88%  
47 6% 84%  
48 4% 78% Last Result
49 22% 74%  
50 15% 52% Median
51 6% 36%  
52 13% 30%  
53 15% 17%  
54 0.5% 3%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 1.4% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 1.3% 99.7%  
38 1.2% 98%  
39 6% 97%  
40 17% 91%  
41 6% 74%  
42 12% 68%  
43 19% 57% Last Result, Median
44 19% 38%  
45 7% 19%  
46 1.3% 12%  
47 5% 11%  
48 4% 6%  
49 1.5% 2%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 9% 100%  
14 19% 91%  
15 11% 72%  
16 26% 61% Last Result, Median
17 9% 35%  
18 12% 26%  
19 8% 14%  
20 5% 6%  
21 1.2% 1.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 4% 98%  
14 5% 95%  
15 10% 90%  
16 36% 80% Last Result, Median
17 11% 44%  
18 15% 33%  
19 15% 18%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 3% 100%  
12 13% 97%  
13 23% 84%  
14 16% 61% Last Result, Median
15 18% 45%  
16 14% 27%  
17 10% 13%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.3% 100%  
11 0.9% 98.6%  
12 18% 98%  
13 12% 79% Last Result
14 10% 67%  
15 30% 57% Median
16 20% 27%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.9% 0.9%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.7% 100%  
11 6% 99.2%  
12 10% 93% Last Result
13 21% 83%  
14 23% 62% Median
15 14% 39%  
16 15% 25%  
17 2% 11%  
18 8% 8%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100%  
1 0% 69%  
2 0% 69%  
3 0% 69%  
4 25% 69% Last Result, Median
5 31% 44%  
6 6% 13%  
7 6% 7%  
8 0.7% 0.8%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100%  
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 33% 64% Median
5 21% 31% Last Result
6 10% 10%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0.2% 16%  
4 8% 16%  
5 8% 8%  
6 0.3% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 97 98% 92–103 91–103 91–105 85–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 95 95% 90–99 89–101 87–101 85–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 0.1% 76–87 74–87 74–87 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 80 0.2% 76–85 74–86 74–86 71–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 73–82 73–83 71–84 69–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 78 0.5% 72–83 72–84 70–84 70–90
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0.1% 72–81 71–83 70–84 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0.1% 72–81 71–83 70–84 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 76 0.1% 72–81 71–83 70–84 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 76 0.1% 72–81 71–83 70–83 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 76 0.1% 72–81 71–83 70–83 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0.1% 72–81 71–83 70–83 69–86
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 61–70 61–71 60–71 57–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 57–65 56–66 55–67 52–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 53–60 52–62 51–62 50–63
Venstre 43 43 0% 40–47 39–48 38–48 37–49

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.4% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.5%  
87 0.1% 99.4%  
88 0.1% 99.3%  
89 1.4% 99.2%  
90 0.2% 98% Majority
91 3% 98%  
92 8% 94%  
93 2% 86%  
94 9% 84%  
95 10% 76%  
96 16% 66% Last Result
97 2% 51%  
98 1.4% 49%  
99 6% 47% Median
100 4% 42%  
101 15% 38%  
102 0.4% 23%  
103 18% 22%  
104 1.3% 5%  
105 3% 3%  
106 0.4% 0.4%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.2% 100%  
85 0.9% 99.8%  
86 0.2% 98.9%  
87 2% 98.7%  
88 0.3% 96%  
89 1.5% 96%  
90 6% 95% Majority
91 8% 88% Last Result
92 18% 81%  
93 2% 63%  
94 5% 61%  
95 12% 56% Median
96 6% 44%  
97 5% 38%  
98 19% 33%  
99 4% 14%  
100 3% 9%  
101 6% 7%  
102 0.2% 0.6%  
103 0% 0.4%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0.2% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.7%  
72 1.1% 99.5%  
73 0.8% 98%  
74 3% 98%  
75 4% 94%  
76 3% 90%  
77 9% 88%  
78 8% 79%  
79 6% 71%  
80 4% 65% Last Result
81 12% 61%  
82 4% 49%  
83 10% 45% Median
84 12% 35%  
85 8% 22%  
86 3% 14%  
87 11% 11%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 0.7% 99.7%  
72 0.2% 99.0%  
73 0.4% 98.8%  
74 4% 98%  
75 3% 94%  
76 5% 91%  
77 3% 86%  
78 7% 83% Last Result
79 10% 76%  
80 22% 66% Median
81 3% 44%  
82 18% 41%  
83 8% 24%  
84 5% 16%  
85 0.4% 10%  
86 8% 10%  
87 1.4% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.2% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.7% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.3%  
71 3% 99.0%  
72 1.2% 96%  
73 5% 95%  
74 4% 90%  
75 7% 86% Last Result
76 6% 79%  
77 12% 73%  
78 12% 60%  
79 20% 49% Median
80 2% 29%  
81 5% 27%  
82 13% 22%  
83 6% 9%  
84 2% 3%  
85 1.0% 1.5%  
86 0% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.3%  
89 0.3% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 3% 99.6%  
71 1.3% 97%  
72 18% 95%  
73 0.4% 78%  
74 15% 77%  
75 4% 62%  
76 6% 58%  
77 1.4% 53% Median
78 2% 51%  
79 16% 49% Last Result
80 10% 34%  
81 9% 24%  
82 2% 16%  
83 8% 14%  
84 3% 6%  
85 0.2% 2%  
86 1.4% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.8%  
88 0.1% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.6%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.5%  
71 1.4% 95%  
72 18% 94%  
73 0.8% 76%  
74 15% 75%  
75 6% 60%  
76 6% 54%  
77 3% 48% Median
78 2% 45%  
79 20% 43% Last Result
80 8% 23%  
81 8% 15%  
82 0.9% 8%  
83 4% 7%  
84 1.2% 3%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 1.2% 1.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.5%  
71 1.4% 95%  
72 18% 94%  
73 0.8% 76%  
74 15% 75%  
75 6% 60%  
76 6% 54%  
77 3% 48% Median
78 2% 45%  
79 20% 43% Last Result
80 8% 23%  
81 8% 15%  
82 0.9% 8%  
83 4% 7%  
84 1.2% 3%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 1.2% 1.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.5%  
71 1.4% 95%  
72 18% 94%  
73 0.8% 76%  
74 15% 75%  
75 6% 60% Last Result
76 6% 54%  
77 3% 48% Median
78 2% 45%  
79 20% 43%  
80 8% 23%  
81 8% 15%  
82 0.9% 8%  
83 4% 7%  
84 1.2% 3%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 1.2% 1.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.4%  
71 1.4% 95%  
72 18% 94%  
73 1.0% 76%  
74 15% 75%  
75 7% 60%  
76 6% 52%  
77 3% 46% Median
78 2% 43%  
79 18% 41% Last Result
80 8% 23%  
81 7% 15%  
82 2% 8%  
83 4% 6%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.8%  
86 0.5% 0.7%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.4%  
71 1.4% 95%  
72 18% 94%  
73 1.0% 76%  
74 15% 75%  
75 7% 60%  
76 6% 52%  
77 3% 46% Median
78 2% 43%  
79 18% 41% Last Result
80 8% 23%  
81 7% 15%  
82 2% 8%  
83 4% 6%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.8%  
86 0.5% 0.7%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.4%  
71 1.4% 95%  
72 18% 94%  
73 1.0% 76%  
74 15% 75%  
75 7% 60% Last Result
76 6% 52%  
77 3% 46% Median
78 2% 43%  
79 18% 41%  
80 8% 23%  
81 7% 15%  
82 2% 8%  
83 4% 6%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.8%  
86 0.5% 0.7%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.3% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 0.2% 99.4%  
59 2% 99.2%  
60 1.4% 98%  
61 9% 96%  
62 5% 87%  
63 5% 82%  
64 10% 77% Last Result
65 6% 67%  
66 15% 62% Median
67 8% 47%  
68 9% 39%  
69 13% 30%  
70 9% 16%  
71 5% 8%  
72 2% 2%  
73 0.1% 0.8%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.7%  
53 0.5% 99.4%  
54 0.5% 98.9%  
55 1.3% 98%  
56 3% 97%  
57 14% 94%  
58 23% 80%  
59 3% 57% Last Result
60 8% 54%  
61 9% 46% Median
62 4% 36%  
63 17% 33%  
64 5% 16%  
65 4% 11%  
66 2% 7%  
67 4% 5%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.8%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.7% 99.6%  
51 3% 98.8%  
52 4% 96%  
53 8% 92%  
54 7% 84%  
55 2% 77% Last Result
56 13% 75%  
57 8% 62% Median
58 30% 54%  
59 9% 23%  
60 6% 15%  
61 4% 9%  
62 4% 5%  
63 0.7% 1.0%  
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 1.3% 99.7%  
38 1.2% 98%  
39 6% 97%  
40 17% 91%  
41 6% 74%  
42 12% 68%  
43 19% 57% Last Result, Median
44 19% 38%  
45 7% 19%  
46 1.3% 12%  
47 5% 11%  
48 4% 6%  
49 1.5% 2%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations