Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 14–20 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.6% 25.8–29.4% 25.3–29.9% 24.9–30.4% 24.1–31.2%
Venstre 23.4% 24.2% 22.6–26.0% 22.1–26.5% 21.7–26.9% 20.9–27.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 47–54 46–54 44–54 43–56
Venstre 43 43 41–46 40–47 40–48 38–50
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 14–18 14–19 13–20 13–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 12–18 12–19 12–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 15 14–17 13–18 13–18 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–15 11–16 10–17 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 4–6 0–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 2% 100%  
44 0.4% 98%  
45 0.5% 97%  
46 4% 97%  
47 3% 93%  
48 12% 90% Last Result
49 4% 78%  
50 6% 74%  
51 3% 68%  
52 27% 65% Median
53 3% 38%  
54 32% 35%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.9%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.7%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 1.3% 99.1%  
40 6% 98%  
41 27% 92%  
42 6% 65%  
43 10% 59% Last Result, Median
44 28% 50%  
45 6% 21%  
46 9% 15%  
47 3% 6%  
48 0.7% 3%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.9% 1.0%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.7%  
14 14% 97% Last Result
15 7% 83%  
16 8% 76%  
17 56% 68% Median
18 5% 12%  
19 4% 7%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 24% 99.7%  
13 4% 76%  
14 12% 72%  
15 32% 60% Median
16 4% 27% Last Result
17 12% 23%  
18 3% 11%  
19 6% 8%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.6%  
13 7% 98%  
14 27% 91%  
15 41% 65% Median
16 7% 24% Last Result
17 8% 17%  
18 8% 9%  
19 0.3% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.3%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 5% 97%  
12 31% 92%  
13 23% 61% Last Result, Median
14 25% 38%  
15 7% 13%  
16 3% 6%  
17 2% 3%  
18 1.0% 1.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.9% 99.9%  
10 5% 99.1%  
11 32% 94%  
12 14% 62% Last Result, Median
13 39% 48%  
14 7% 9%  
15 0.6% 2%  
16 0.9% 1.3%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 10% 97% Last Result
5 69% 87% Median
6 15% 18%  
7 2% 4%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 38% 78% Median
5 37% 39% Last Result
6 3% 3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 8% 9%  
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2% Last Result
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 101 99.3% 95–103 94–103 92–103 89–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 96 98% 92–99 90–99 90–99 87–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 86 0.4% 80–89 78–89 77–89 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 84 0.5% 77–85 77–86 76–86 73–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 81 0.1% 76–85 75–85 73–86 72–88
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 72–80 72–81 72–83 70–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 74 0% 72–80 72–81 72–82 70–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 74 0% 72–80 72–80 71–82 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 72–80 72–80 71–81 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 62–69 61–72 59–72 58–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 59–63 57–65 57–66 55–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 54–58 52–60 51–61 50–63
Venstre 43 43 0% 41–46 40–47 40–48 38–50

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.5% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.3% Majority
91 0.6% 99.1%  
92 1.3% 98.5%  
93 1.3% 97%  
94 3% 96%  
95 7% 93%  
96 8% 87% Last Result
97 7% 79%  
98 3% 72%  
99 12% 68%  
100 4% 56%  
101 26% 52% Median
102 0.6% 26%  
103 23% 25%  
104 2% 2%  
105 0.3% 0.6%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.2% 100%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.4% 99.7%  
88 0.4% 99.4%  
89 0.8% 99.0%  
90 5% 98% Majority
91 1.2% 93% Last Result
92 6% 92%  
93 6% 85%  
94 5% 79%  
95 7% 74%  
96 29% 67%  
97 3% 38% Median
98 2% 35%  
99 30% 33%  
100 0.7% 2%  
101 0.2% 2%  
102 0% 1.4%  
103 1.0% 1.4%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 99.5%  
76 1.2% 99.2%  
77 0.7% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 3% 94%  
80 9% 91% Last Result
81 10% 82%  
82 7% 71%  
83 5% 65%  
84 3% 59%  
85 1.2% 56%  
86 27% 55% Median
87 3% 28%  
88 1.2% 25%  
89 23% 24%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.1% 99.2%  
75 0.5% 99.0%  
76 3% 98.6%  
77 6% 95%  
78 0.9% 89% Last Result
79 4% 89%  
80 8% 84%  
81 4% 76%  
82 4% 73%  
83 4% 69%  
84 31% 65% Median
85 25% 34%  
86 6% 9%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.5%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.4%  
74 0.5% 97%  
75 3% 97% Last Result
76 7% 94%  
77 5% 87%  
78 4% 82%  
79 4% 78%  
80 9% 75%  
81 33% 66%  
82 4% 33% Median
83 4% 29%  
84 0.8% 25%  
85 22% 25%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.1% 1.2%  
88 1.0% 1.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.4%  
72 23% 98%  
73 0.6% 75%  
74 26% 74%  
75 4% 48% Median
76 12% 44%  
77 3% 32%  
78 7% 28%  
79 8% 21% Last Result
80 7% 13%  
81 3% 7%  
82 1.3% 4%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.5% 1.4%  
85 0.2% 0.8%  
86 0.5% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.4%  
72 24% 98%  
73 0.6% 74%  
74 26% 73%  
75 4% 47% Last Result, Median
76 11% 43%  
77 4% 32%  
78 7% 28%  
79 8% 21%  
80 7% 13%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.5% 4%  
83 1.3% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.4%  
72 24% 97%  
73 0.7% 73%  
74 28% 73%  
75 6% 44% Median
76 13% 39%  
77 4% 26%  
78 6% 23%  
79 6% 17% Last Result
80 6% 11%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.2% 3%  
83 0.5% 1.3%  
84 0.3% 0.9%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 2% 99.3%  
72 25% 97%  
73 0.7% 73%  
74 28% 72%  
75 6% 43% Last Result, Median
76 12% 38%  
77 4% 26%  
78 6% 22%  
79 6% 16%  
80 5% 10%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.5% 1.1%  
84 0.3% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 2% 99.8%  
59 1.1% 98%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 6% 96%  
62 0.5% 90%  
63 7% 90%  
64 8% 83% Last Result
65 5% 76%  
66 3% 71%  
67 32% 68% Median
68 24% 36%  
69 3% 12%  
70 2% 9%  
71 0.4% 7%  
72 6% 6%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 2% 99.5%  
57 5% 98%  
58 2% 93%  
59 34% 91% Last Result
60 27% 57% Median
61 5% 29%  
62 8% 24%  
63 9% 16%  
64 2% 7%  
65 3% 6%  
66 1.5% 3%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.5% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 1.2% 99.7%  
51 2% 98.5%  
52 3% 97%  
53 2% 94%  
54 37% 91%  
55 23% 54% Last Result, Median
56 8% 31%  
57 6% 23%  
58 8% 17%  
59 3% 9%  
60 1.2% 6%  
61 3% 5%  
62 0.4% 1.3%  
63 0.6% 0.8%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.7%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 1.3% 99.1%  
40 6% 98%  
41 27% 92%  
42 6% 65%  
43 10% 59% Last Result, Median
44 28% 50%  
45 6% 21%  
46 9% 15%  
47 3% 6%  
48 0.7% 3%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.9% 1.0%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations