Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 23 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.1% 24.7–27.6% 24.3–28.0% 24.0–28.4% 23.3–29.1%
Venstre 23.4% 23.8% 22.4–25.2% 22.1–25.6% 21.7–26.0% 21.1–26.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.4% 8.5–10.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.2% 7.3–9.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.5–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.5% 2.1–3.1% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 44–48 43–49 42–49 41–51
Venstre 43 42 39–44 39–45 38–46 37–47
Dansk Folkeparti 16 16 15–18 15–19 14–19 13–20
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–16 13–16 12–17 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 10–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 5 5–6 4–7 4–7 4–8
Alternativet 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 0.9% 99.7%  
42 2% 98.8%  
43 5% 96%  
44 14% 91%  
45 13% 77%  
46 19% 64% Median
47 29% 45%  
48 10% 17% Last Result
49 4% 6%  
50 1.4% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.7%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.3% 100%  
37 1.1% 99.7%  
38 2% 98.6%  
39 9% 97%  
40 11% 88%  
41 9% 77%  
42 26% 68% Median
43 26% 42% Last Result
44 6% 16%  
45 6% 10%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.8% 1.1%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 4% 99.3%  
15 10% 95%  
16 40% 86% Last Result, Median
17 19% 46%  
18 20% 27%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 4% 99.7%  
13 15% 96%  
14 19% 81%  
15 30% 62% Median
16 27% 31% Last Result
17 3% 4%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.0% 100%  
12 8% 99.0%  
13 18% 91% Last Result
14 31% 73% Median
15 25% 42%  
16 12% 17%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 5% 99.7%  
11 20% 94%  
12 41% 74% Last Result, Median
13 16% 33%  
14 11% 18%  
15 5% 6%  
16 0.6% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 9% 99.5%  
11 11% 91%  
12 37% 80% Median
13 25% 42%  
14 15% 17% Last Result
15 2% 3%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 5% 99.9% Last Result
5 50% 94% Median
6 35% 45%  
7 9% 9%  
8 0.7% 0.8%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100%  
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0.4% 79%  
4 36% 78% Median
5 34% 42% Last Result
6 8% 8%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 1.0% 77%  
4 60% 76% Last Result, Median
5 15% 16%  
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 91 80% 88–94 87–95 86–95 85–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 87 25% 84–90 83–91 82–92 80–93
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 77–82 76–84 75–85 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 76 0% 73–80 73–80 72–81 70–83
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 71–77 70–78 70–79 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 73 0% 70–76 69–77 68–77 66–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 73 0% 71–75 69–76 68–76 66–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 58–63 57–63 56–64 55–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 54–60 54–61 53–62 52–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 51–57 51–58 50–58 49–60
Venstre 43 42 0% 39–44 39–45 38–46 37–47

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.3% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 1.0% 99.5%  
86 2% 98.6%  
87 4% 96%  
88 5% 93%  
89 8% 87%  
90 17% 80% Majority
91 25% 63% Median
92 16% 38%  
93 12% 22%  
94 3% 11%  
95 7% 8%  
96 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
97 0.4% 0.7%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.2% 100%  
80 0.6% 99.8%  
81 0.5% 99.2%  
82 3% 98.6%  
83 2% 96%  
84 8% 94%  
85 7% 86%  
86 15% 79%  
87 16% 63% Median
88 18% 47%  
89 4% 30%  
90 16% 25% Majority
91 5% 9% Last Result
92 4% 5%  
93 0.5% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 2% 99.3%  
76 5% 97%  
77 6% 92%  
78 19% 86%  
79 10% 67% Last Result, Median
80 32% 57%  
81 6% 25%  
82 10% 19%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 5%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.6% 1.0%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 1.1% 99.5%  
72 2% 98%  
73 6% 96%  
74 16% 90%  
75 14% 73%  
76 18% 59% Median
77 14% 41%  
78 7% 27%  
79 7% 20%  
80 8% 13% Last Result
81 3% 5%  
82 0.9% 1.4%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 1.2% 99.5%  
70 4% 98%  
71 7% 95%  
72 11% 88%  
73 15% 77%  
74 17% 62% Median
75 23% 45% Last Result
76 9% 22%  
77 6% 13%  
78 3% 7%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.8% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 0.7% 99.4%  
68 3% 98.7%  
69 4% 96%  
70 10% 92%  
71 21% 82%  
72 10% 61% Median
73 12% 51%  
74 18% 39%  
75 10% 21% Last Result
76 4% 11%  
77 6% 7%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.9% 99.9%  
67 1.1% 99.0%  
68 1.1% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 2% 95%  
71 6% 93%  
72 30% 87%  
73 16% 57% Median
74 13% 41%  
75 19% 27%  
76 6% 9%  
77 1.5% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.0% Last Result
79 0.2% 0.7%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.9% 99.6%  
56 3% 98.6%  
57 2% 96%  
58 10% 94%  
59 6% 84%  
60 21% 77%  
61 16% 56% Median
62 17% 41%  
63 21% 23%  
64 2% 3% Last Result
65 0.6% 1.2%  
66 0.3% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 1.1% 99.6%  
53 1.3% 98%  
54 9% 97%  
55 10% 88%  
56 8% 77%  
57 16% 69%  
58 19% 54% Median
59 18% 35% Last Result
60 8% 17%  
61 5% 8%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.8% 1.4%  
64 0.4% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.5% 99.8%  
50 3% 99.3%  
51 7% 96%  
52 5% 89%  
53 15% 83%  
54 24% 69% Median
55 23% 45% Last Result
56 10% 22%  
57 6% 12%  
58 4% 6%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 1.1% 1.3%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.3% 100%  
37 1.1% 99.7%  
38 2% 98.6%  
39 9% 97%  
40 11% 88%  
41 9% 77%  
42 26% 68% Median
43 26% 42% Last Result
44 6% 16%  
45 6% 10%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.8% 1.1%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations