Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 21–27 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.9% 25.2–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.7% 23.5–30.6%
Venstre 23.4% 23.4% 21.8–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.1% 20.1–26.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.1% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.2% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 47–51 46–52 45–53 43–56
Venstre 43 39 39–46 39–46 39–46 37–49
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 16–19 14–21 13–21 13–23
Dansk Folkeparti 16 19 15–19 15–19 14–20 13–21
Radikale Venstre 16 15 14–18 12–19 12–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–17 11–17 11–18 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 16 12–16 12–16 11–16 10–18
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 4 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.8%  
44 0.3% 98%  
45 0.8% 98%  
46 6% 97%  
47 64% 91% Median
48 8% 27% Last Result
49 2% 19%  
50 3% 17%  
51 4% 14%  
52 7% 10%  
53 0.9% 3%  
54 0.6% 2%  
55 1.0% 2%  
56 0.4% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.8%  
38 0.9% 99.5%  
39 57% 98.5% Median
40 2% 42%  
41 8% 39%  
42 10% 32%  
43 4% 22% Last Result
44 6% 18%  
45 1.4% 13%  
46 9% 11%  
47 1.1% 2%  
48 0.4% 1.1%  
49 0.5% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 4% 99.9%  
14 2% 96% Last Result
15 4% 94%  
16 3% 90%  
17 63% 87% Median
18 9% 24%  
19 8% 15%  
20 1.5% 7%  
21 3% 5%  
22 0.1% 2%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.6%  
14 2% 99.0%  
15 15% 97%  
16 4% 81% Last Result
17 4% 77%  
18 9% 73%  
19 61% 64% Median
20 1.2% 3%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 6% 99.7%  
13 3% 94%  
14 5% 91%  
15 68% 86% Median
16 5% 18% Last Result
17 1.3% 12%  
18 5% 11%  
19 6% 6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 7% 99.4%  
12 3% 92%  
13 4% 89% Last Result
14 60% 85% Median
15 10% 25%  
16 4% 15%  
17 7% 11%  
18 4% 4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.7%  
11 2% 98.6%  
12 20% 97% Last Result
13 6% 77%  
14 5% 71%  
15 5% 66%  
16 60% 61% Median
17 0.2% 1.2%  
18 1.1% 1.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 72% 86% Last Result, Median
5 5% 14%  
6 8% 9%  
7 1.0% 1.2%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100%  
1 0% 67%  
2 0% 67%  
3 0% 67%  
4 63% 67% Median
5 3% 4% Last Result
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 14% 16%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0.1% 0.7%  
4 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 97 98% 93–102 92–106 91–106 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 93 98% 92–100 92–106 90–106 88–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 82 0.7% 77–87 76–87 76–89 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0.4% 79–85 75–89 75–89 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0.1% 77–85 76–87 75–88 72–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 78 0% 73–82 69–83 69–84 69–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 78 0% 73–79 69–80 69–82 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 78 0% 73–79 69–80 69–82 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 73–79 69–80 69–82 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 78 0% 73–79 69–80 69–82 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 78 0% 73–79 69–80 69–82 68–84
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 78 0% 73–79 69–80 69–82 68–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 62–67 59–71 58–71 58–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 56–63 54–64 54–64 54–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 55 0% 54–58 54–59 53–60 50–63
Venstre 43 39 0% 39–46 39–46 39–46 37–49

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.2% 100%  
89 2% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 98% Majority
91 1.2% 98%  
92 7% 97%  
93 0.5% 90%  
94 5% 90%  
95 3% 85%  
96 2% 82% Last Result
97 64% 81% Median
98 4% 17%  
99 0.2% 12%  
100 0.9% 12%  
101 1.3% 11%  
102 0.8% 10%  
103 1.3% 9%  
104 2% 8%  
105 0.2% 6%  
106 6% 6%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.6% 99.8%  
89 2% 99.2%  
90 0.8% 98% Majority
91 1.4% 97% Last Result
92 7% 95%  
93 62% 89% Median
94 6% 27%  
95 2% 21%  
96 2% 19%  
97 3% 17%  
98 3% 14%  
99 0.3% 11%  
100 0.8% 10%  
101 1.0% 9%  
102 0.6% 8%  
103 0.1% 8%  
104 2% 8%  
105 0.1% 6%  
106 6% 6%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.9% 99.7%  
76 5% 98.8%  
77 7% 93%  
78 1.0% 86%  
79 1.3% 85%  
80 3% 84% Last Result
81 1.3% 81%  
82 59% 79% Median
83 2% 20%  
84 0.6% 18%  
85 6% 18%  
86 0.9% 12%  
87 6% 11%  
88 1.1% 5%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0.5% 0.7% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.8%  
75 5% 98.7%  
76 0.8% 94%  
77 2% 93%  
78 0.7% 91% Last Result
79 62% 91% Median
80 2% 28%  
81 8% 27%  
82 3% 19%  
83 1.2% 16%  
84 3% 15%  
85 3% 12%  
86 0.6% 9%  
87 0% 9%  
88 0.6% 9%  
89 8% 8%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.6% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.3%  
74 0.1% 99.2%  
75 2% 99.1% Last Result
76 6% 97%  
77 7% 92%  
78 59% 84% Median
79 1.4% 26%  
80 3% 25%  
81 5% 22%  
82 2% 17%  
83 2% 15%  
84 1.4% 13%  
85 2% 12%  
86 0.9% 10%  
87 6% 9%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 6% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 94%  
71 2% 94%  
72 1.3% 92%  
73 0.8% 91%  
74 1.3% 90%  
75 0.9% 89%  
76 0.2% 88%  
77 4% 88%  
78 64% 83% Median
79 2% 19% Last Result
80 3% 18%  
81 5% 15%  
82 0.5% 10%  
83 7% 10%  
84 1.2% 3%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.8%  
69 6% 98.8%  
70 0.2% 93%  
71 2% 93%  
72 0.7% 91%  
73 1.0% 90%  
74 2% 89%  
75 0.9% 87%  
76 1.1% 86%  
77 8% 85%  
78 64% 78% Median
79 8% 14% Last Result
80 2% 6%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.8%  
69 6% 98.8%  
70 0.2% 93%  
71 2% 93%  
72 0.7% 91%  
73 1.0% 90%  
74 2% 89%  
75 1.0% 87%  
76 1.1% 86%  
77 8% 85%  
78 64% 78% Median
79 8% 14% Last Result
80 2% 6%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.8%  
69 6% 98.8%  
70 0.2% 93%  
71 2% 93%  
72 0.7% 91%  
73 1.0% 90%  
74 2% 89%  
75 0.9% 87%  
76 1.1% 86%  
77 8% 85%  
78 64% 78% Median
79 8% 14% Last Result
80 2% 6%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 1.3% 3%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.8%  
69 6% 98.8%  
70 0.2% 93%  
71 2% 93%  
72 0.7% 91%  
73 1.1% 90%  
74 2% 89%  
75 0.9% 87% Last Result
76 1.2% 86%  
77 7% 85%  
78 64% 77% Median
79 8% 14%  
80 2% 6%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 1.2% 3%  
83 0.3% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.8%  
69 6% 98.8%  
70 0.2% 93%  
71 2% 93%  
72 0.7% 91%  
73 1.0% 90%  
74 2% 89%  
75 1.0% 87%  
76 1.1% 86%  
77 8% 85%  
78 64% 78% Median
79 8% 14% Last Result
80 2% 6%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.8%  
69 6% 98.8%  
70 0.2% 93%  
71 2% 93%  
72 0.7% 91%  
73 1.1% 90%  
74 2% 89%  
75 0.9% 87% Last Result
76 1.2% 86%  
77 7% 85%  
78 64% 77% Median
79 8% 14%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.2% 4%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.3% 2%  
84 1.1% 1.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 5% 99.7%  
59 0.7% 95%  
60 3% 95%  
61 0.8% 92%  
62 64% 91% Median
63 4% 27%  
64 4% 22% Last Result
65 1.0% 18%  
66 6% 17%  
67 2% 11%  
68 0.5% 9%  
69 2% 8%  
70 0.1% 7%  
71 6% 6%  
72 0% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 7% 99.5%  
55 0.2% 92%  
56 2% 92%  
57 1.3% 90%  
58 5% 89%  
59 60% 83% Last Result, Median
60 5% 24%  
61 7% 19%  
62 2% 12%  
63 3% 11%  
64 6% 8%  
65 1.3% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.5%  
67 0% 0.3%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 0.2% 99.2%  
52 0.5% 99.0%  
53 1.4% 98%  
54 11% 97%  
55 58% 86% Last Result, Median
56 9% 27%  
57 5% 18%  
58 8% 13%  
59 2% 6%  
60 1.4% 4%  
61 1.4% 2%  
62 0.2% 1.0%  
63 0.7% 0.8%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.8%  
38 0.9% 99.5%  
39 57% 98.5% Median
40 2% 42%  
41 8% 39%  
42 10% 32%  
43 4% 22% Last Result
44 6% 18%  
45 1.4% 13%  
46 9% 11%  
47 1.1% 2%  
48 0.4% 1.1%  
49 0.5% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations