Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 27 October–4 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.0% 23.8–30.9%
Venstre 23.4% 22.9% 21.3–24.6% 20.9–25.1% 20.5–25.6% 19.7–26.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.9–11.5% 7.5–12.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 43–52 43–52 43–52 43–55
Venstre 43 38 38–43 38–43 36–44 36–45
Dansk Folkeparti 16 18 16–20 16–20 15–20 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–17 14–18 14–18 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 15 14–16 14–18 14–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–18 13–18 13–18 13–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–16
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 4 4–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Nye Borgerlige 4 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 22% 100%  
44 2% 78%  
45 2% 76%  
46 12% 74%  
47 1.0% 63%  
48 7% 62% Last Result
49 9% 55% Median
50 1.2% 46%  
51 1.3% 45%  
52 42% 43%  
53 0.2% 1.2%  
54 0.4% 1.1%  
55 0.2% 0.7%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 3% 100%  
37 0.4% 97%  
38 47% 96% Median
39 1.0% 49%  
40 8% 48%  
41 0.6% 40%  
42 3% 40%  
43 33% 37% Last Result
44 2% 4%  
45 1.3% 1.5%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.0% 99.7%  
15 2% 98.8%  
16 29% 97% Last Result
17 3% 68%  
18 51% 65% Median
19 2% 14%  
20 11% 12%  
21 0.4% 0.8%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.4%  
14 12% 99.1% Last Result
15 49% 87% Median
16 5% 38%  
17 25% 33%  
18 6% 8%  
19 0.4% 2%  
20 1.2% 1.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 0.2% 99.5%  
13 0.1% 99.3%  
14 43% 99.2%  
15 22% 56% Median
16 25% 34% Last Result
17 2% 9%  
18 7% 7%  
19 0.4% 0.7%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 5% 99.6% Last Result
14 8% 95%  
15 24% 87%  
16 49% 63% Median
17 1.1% 13%  
18 11% 12%  
19 0.9% 1.0%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.4% 99.9%  
10 2% 98.5%  
11 12% 97%  
12 48% 85% Last Result, Median
13 26% 37%  
14 0.6% 12%  
15 7% 11%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 47% 98% Last Result
5 44% 52% Median
6 7% 8%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 50% 94% Median
5 44% 44% Last Result
6 0.5% 0.7%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 0.3% 1.0%  
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 29%  
2 0% 29%  
3 0% 29%  
4 28% 29%  
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 101 99.9% 95–102 95–102 93–102 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 97 99.8% 91–97 91–98 91–99 90–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 0.7% 79–88 79–88 76–88 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 82 0.2% 75–83 75–83 75–84 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0% 75–81 75–82 75–83 75–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 74 0% 73–80 73–80 73–82 70–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 73–78 73–78 72–78 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 73–78 73–78 72–78 68–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige 79 73 0% 73–78 73–78 72–78 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 73 0% 73–78 73–78 72–78 68–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige 79 73 0% 73–78 73–78 72–78 68–80
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 73–78 73–78 72–78 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 59–66 59–66 59–66 59–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 55–60 55–60 55–61 53–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 50–56 50–56 50–56 50–59
Venstre 43 38 0% 38–43 38–43 36–44 36–45

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.9% 99.9% Majority
91 0.3% 99.1%  
92 0.2% 98.7%  
93 1.4% 98.5%  
94 0.8% 97%  
95 23% 96%  
96 0.6% 74% Last Result
97 14% 73%  
98 2% 59%  
99 6% 57% Median
100 0.7% 51%  
101 0.9% 51%  
102 48% 50%  
103 1.2% 2%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.5%  
107 0.4% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 1.1% 99.8% Majority
91 23% 98.7% Last Result
92 0.8% 76%  
93 15% 75%  
94 2% 60%  
95 6% 58% Median
96 0.7% 52%  
97 43% 51%  
98 5% 8%  
99 1.4% 3%  
100 0.2% 2%  
101 0.6% 1.5%  
102 0.3% 0.8%  
103 0.2% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.3%  
105 0.3% 0.3%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.8% 100%  
76 2% 99.1%  
77 0% 97%  
78 0.1% 97%  
79 23% 97%  
80 0.2% 74% Last Result
81 6% 74%  
82 16% 68%  
83 0.1% 52%  
84 1.2% 52% Median
85 0.9% 51%  
86 0.5% 50%  
87 6% 49%  
88 43% 44%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.3% 0.7% Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 23% 99.7% Last Result
76 2% 76%  
77 6% 74%  
78 16% 68%  
79 0.7% 53%  
80 1.0% 52% Median
81 0.5% 51%  
82 0.7% 50%  
83 47% 50%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.5% 1.4%  
86 0.1% 0.9%  
87 0.1% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 12% 99.9%  
76 22% 88%  
77 0.2% 66%  
78 2% 65% Last Result
79 0.8% 63% Median
80 7% 63%  
81 48% 56%  
82 5% 8%  
83 0.9% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.8% 1.2%  
86 0% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Stram Kurs – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.5%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 0% 99.3%  
72 1.2% 99.3%  
73 48% 98% Median
74 0.9% 50%  
75 0.7% 49%  
76 6% 49%  
77 2% 43%  
78 14% 41%  
79 0.6% 27% Last Result
80 23% 26%  
81 0.8% 4%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.2% 1.5%  
84 0.3% 1.3%  
85 0.9% 0.9%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.4%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.2%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 48% 97% Median
74 4% 49%  
75 0.5% 45%  
76 28% 45%  
77 2% 17%  
78 12% 15%  
79 0.8% 2% Last Result
80 0.4% 2%  
81 0.1% 1.1%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0% 0.7%  
84 0% 0.7%  
85 0.6% 0.6%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.1%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 48% 97% Median
74 4% 49%  
75 0.5% 45%  
76 28% 45%  
77 2% 17%  
78 12% 15%  
79 0.8% 2% Last Result
80 1.0% 1.3%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.4%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.2%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 48% 97% Median
74 4% 49%  
75 0.5% 45%  
76 28% 45%  
77 2% 17%  
78 12% 15%  
79 0.8% 2% Last Result
80 0.4% 2%  
81 0.1% 1.1%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0% 0.7%  
84 0% 0.7%  
85 0.6% 0.6%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.2%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 48% 97% Median
74 4% 49%  
75 0.5% 45% Last Result
76 28% 45%  
77 2% 17%  
78 12% 15%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.4% 2%  
81 0.1% 1.1%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0% 0.7%  
84 0% 0.7%  
85 0.6% 0.6%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Nye Borgerlige

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.1%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 48% 97% Median
74 4% 49%  
75 0.5% 45%  
76 28% 45%  
77 2% 17%  
78 12% 15%  
79 0.8% 2% Last Result
80 1.0% 1.3%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.8%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0% 99.4%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.1%  
72 2% 98.8%  
73 48% 97% Median
74 4% 49%  
75 0.5% 45% Last Result
76 28% 45%  
77 2% 17%  
78 12% 15%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 1.0% 1.3%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 23% 99.8%  
60 1.5% 77%  
61 11% 75%  
62 2% 64%  
63 0.7% 62%  
64 10% 62% Last Result, Median
65 1.1% 52%  
66 48% 50%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.3% 2%  
69 0.5% 1.3%  
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.3% 0.6%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.5% 99.6%  
54 0.4% 99.2%  
55 43% 98.8% Median
56 4% 56%  
57 6% 52%  
58 17% 46%  
59 2% 28% Last Result
60 24% 27%  
61 0.3% 3%  
62 1.3% 2%  
63 0.7% 1.0%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.7%  
50 43% 99.6% Median
51 0.8% 57%  
52 9% 56%  
53 7% 47%  
54 11% 40%  
55 4% 29% Last Result
56 23% 25%  
57 0.2% 2%  
58 0.9% 2%  
59 0.9% 1.0%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 3% 100%  
37 0.4% 97%  
38 47% 96% Median
39 1.0% 49%  
40 8% 48%  
41 0.6% 40%  
42 3% 40%  
43 33% 37% Last Result
44 2% 4%  
45 1.3% 1.5%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations