Opinion Poll by Gallup, 8 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.2–29.0%
Venstre 23.4% 22.9% 21.5–24.3% 21.2–24.7% 20.8–25.1% 20.2–25.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.2–11.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.4–9.8% 7.2–10.0% 6.8–10.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.3% 6.6–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.3% 6.6–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.5% 5.5–8.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.2% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.8%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.5% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 45–52 44–53 44–53 42–53
Venstre 43 42 39–45 38–45 38–46 36–46
Dansk Folkeparti 16 18 15–20 14–20 14–20 14–20
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–18 10–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 11–14 11–15 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 6–8 6–8 5–8 4–9
Alternativet 5 5 4–6 0–6 0–7 0–8
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.4%  
44 8% 98%  
45 27% 90%  
46 8% 63%  
47 15% 55% Median
48 11% 40% Last Result
49 13% 29%  
50 5% 17%  
51 2% 12%  
52 5% 10%  
53 5% 5%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.5%  
38 7% 99.2%  
39 11% 92%  
40 17% 81%  
41 6% 64%  
42 30% 58% Median
43 6% 28% Last Result
44 9% 22%  
45 9% 12%  
46 3% 4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 5% 99.5%  
15 10% 95%  
16 14% 85% Last Result
17 18% 70%  
18 15% 52% Median
19 25% 37%  
20 12% 12%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.9%  
13 4% 98.9%  
14 16% 94%  
15 28% 79%  
16 7% 51% Last Result, Median
17 39% 43%  
18 4% 4%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 6% 98%  
12 10% 92%  
13 53% 82% Median
14 10% 28% Last Result
15 12% 18%  
16 3% 6%  
17 0.4% 3%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 4% 99.7%  
12 6% 95% Last Result
13 14% 89%  
14 56% 75% Median
15 9% 19%  
16 9% 9%  
17 0.5% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 1.3% 99.9%  
11 9% 98.6%  
12 26% 90%  
13 31% 64% Last Result, Median
14 29% 33%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.3% 0.6%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.9% 100% Last Result
5 2% 99.1%  
6 63% 97% Median
7 14% 34%  
8 19% 20%  
9 0.6% 0.9%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 26% 91%  
5 46% 64% Last Result, Median
6 15% 18%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 5% 12% Last Result
5 5% 7%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 34%  
2 0% 34%  
3 0% 34%  
4 30% 34%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 94 94% 90–98 89–98 89–98 86–101
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 89 36% 86–93 85–93 85–96 82–97
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0.1% 77–85 77–86 77–86 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 81 0% 77–85 77–86 77–86 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 77–85 77–86 77–86 74–89
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 80 0% 76–85 74–86 74–86 72–86
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 76–85 74–86 74–86 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 77 0% 75–83 74–83 73–83 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 75 0% 73–79 72–81 72–82 69–85
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 75 0% 71–78 71–78 70–79 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 72 0% 71–77 69–78 69–79 68–79
Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 69–78 68–78 68–78 64–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 60–67 59–68 58–68 56–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 52–60 52–61 51–61 49–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 52–60 52–60 51–61 49–61
Venstre 43 42 0% 39–45 38–45 38–46 36–46

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.6% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.4%  
88 0.4% 99.2%  
89 5% 98.8%  
90 6% 94% Majority
91 24% 88%  
92 1.4% 64%  
93 6% 63%  
94 27% 57% Median
95 4% 30%  
96 1.5% 26% Last Result
97 12% 25%  
98 11% 13%  
99 0.4% 2%  
100 0.3% 1.2%  
101 0.7% 0.8%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.4% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.5%  
83 0.3% 99.3%  
84 0.8% 99.0%  
85 5% 98%  
86 10% 93%  
87 16% 83%  
88 5% 67%  
89 26% 62% Median
90 4% 36% Majority
91 15% 32% Last Result
92 6% 17%  
93 7% 11%  
94 0.2% 4%  
95 0.3% 3%  
96 0.7% 3%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.7% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.2%  
76 0.4% 98.8%  
77 11% 98%  
78 12% 87%  
79 1.5% 75% Last Result
80 4% 74% Median
81 27% 70%  
82 6% 43%  
83 1.4% 37%  
84 24% 36%  
85 6% 12%  
86 5% 6%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.2% 0.8%  
89 0.6% 0.6%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.7% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.2%  
76 0.5% 98.8%  
77 11% 98%  
78 12% 87%  
79 1.5% 75% Last Result
80 4% 74% Median
81 27% 70%  
82 6% 43%  
83 1.4% 37%  
84 24% 36%  
85 6% 12%  
86 5% 6%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.2% 0.8%  
89 0.6% 0.6%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.7% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.2%  
76 0.5% 98.8%  
77 11% 98%  
78 12% 87%  
79 1.5% 75% Last Result
80 4% 74% Median
81 27% 70%  
82 6% 43%  
83 1.4% 37%  
84 24% 36%  
85 6% 12%  
86 5% 6%  
87 0.4% 1.2%  
88 0.2% 0.8%  
89 0.6% 0.6%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 1.0% 100%  
73 0.1% 98.9%  
74 8% 98.8%  
75 0.4% 91%  
76 2% 90%  
77 11% 88%  
78 10% 77%  
79 2% 67% Last Result
80 17% 65% Median
81 26% 48%  
82 1.0% 22%  
83 0.9% 21%  
84 10% 20%  
85 5% 11%  
86 5% 5%  
87 0.3% 0.3%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 1.0% 100%  
73 0.1% 98.9%  
74 8% 98.8%  
75 0.4% 91%  
76 2% 90%  
77 11% 88%  
78 10% 77%  
79 2% 67% Last Result
80 17% 65% Median
81 26% 48%  
82 1.0% 22%  
83 0.9% 21%  
84 10% 20%  
85 5% 11%  
86 5% 5%  
87 0.3% 0.3%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.7% 99.7%  
73 3% 99.0%  
74 2% 96%  
75 8% 94%  
76 14% 86%  
77 33% 72%  
78 5% 39% Median
79 9% 34%  
80 9% 25% Last Result
81 1.1% 16%  
82 3% 15%  
83 12% 12%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.5% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.4%  
71 0.3% 99.2%  
72 6% 98.8%  
73 5% 92%  
74 4% 87%  
75 41% 83%  
76 5% 43% Median
77 3% 38%  
78 17% 34% Last Result
79 8% 18%  
80 0.5% 9%  
81 5% 8%  
82 1.4% 4%  
83 0% 2%  
84 0.1% 2%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.7% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.3%  
68 0.1% 99.0%  
69 1.0% 98.8%  
70 1.0% 98%  
71 11% 97%  
72 11% 86%  
73 3% 75%  
74 4% 72% Median
75 28% 67% Last Result
76 11% 39%  
77 5% 29%  
78 21% 24%  
79 1.0% 3%  
80 1.2% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.9%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.7% 99.5%  
69 5% 98.9%  
70 1.1% 94%  
71 9% 93%  
72 39% 84%  
73 8% 46% Median
74 12% 38%  
75 2% 26% Last Result
76 1.4% 24%  
77 13% 23%  
78 6% 10%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 1.0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.0%  
66 0.7% 99.0%  
67 0.7% 98%  
68 7% 98%  
69 2% 90%  
70 1.3% 88%  
71 14% 87%  
72 8% 73%  
73 3% 64%  
74 15% 61% Median
75 24% 46% Last Result
76 7% 21%  
77 4% 14%  
78 9% 11%  
79 0.6% 1.4%  
80 0.7% 0.8%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.6%  
57 0.2% 99.5%  
58 2% 99.3%  
59 4% 97%  
60 7% 93%  
61 6% 86%  
62 41% 81%  
63 9% 40% Median
64 4% 31% Last Result
65 10% 27%  
66 3% 16%  
67 7% 13%  
68 5% 6%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 2% 100%  
50 0.1% 98%  
51 1.3% 98%  
52 8% 97%  
53 6% 89%  
54 16% 83%  
55 4% 67%  
56 32% 63% Median
57 3% 30%  
58 8% 27%  
59 2% 19% Last Result
60 8% 17%  
61 7% 9%  
62 0.7% 2%  
63 0.3% 1.2%  
64 0.9% 0.9%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 2% 99.9%  
50 0.7% 98%  
51 2% 98%  
52 8% 95%  
53 7% 87%  
54 17% 80%  
55 8% 63% Last Result
56 32% 55% Median
57 3% 23%  
58 7% 20%  
59 2% 13%  
60 6% 10%  
61 4% 4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.5%  
38 7% 99.2%  
39 11% 92%  
40 17% 81%  
41 6% 64%  
42 30% 58% Median
43 6% 28% Last Result
44 9% 22%  
45 9% 12%  
46 3% 4%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations